Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Spurs	47%	106	111	114.4	97	97.3
	16	Magic	53%	107	112	115.5	97	96.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-14

ORL

+17

-14

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

ORL

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	36.3	21	95%	8	1	1	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	0-1	0%	7-10	70%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	34.1	9	35%	3	9	1	0	5	4	0	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 24	33.7	25	89%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	8-10	80%	3-4	75%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	30.9	18	60%	9	4	4	4	4	1	0	9	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	26.8	6	50%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.5	15	50%	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	5-7	71%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	18.5	7	70%	2	3	0	2	2	4	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.7	10	83%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	12.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	63%	34	27	10	7	14	14	4	30	16-20	80%	28-47	60%	13-30	43%

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9 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	36.3	21	95%	8	1	1	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	0-1	0%	7-10	70%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	34.1	9	35%	3	9	1	0	5	4	0	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 24	33.7	25	89%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	8-10	80%	3-4	75%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	30.9	18	60%	9	4	4	4	4	1	0	9	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	26.8	6	50%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.5	15	50%	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	5-7	71%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	18.5	7	70%	2	3	0	2	2	4	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.7	10	83%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	12.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	63%	34	27	10	7	14	14	4	30	16-20	80%	28-47	60%	13-30	43%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	38.1	33	53%	12	5	1	0	3	3	3	9	3-6	50%	12-21	57%	2-7	29%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	33.7	17	45%	7	6	0	1	5	1	0	7	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	30.3	3	38%	3	1	2	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	26.4	2	33%	9	0	1	0	1	2	3	6	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	20.9	13	54%	0	2	2	0	1	2	0	0	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.9	20	111%	1	1	2	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	3-3	100%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	18.4	14	100%	8	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	17.7	3	75%	2	1	2	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	16.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	11.1	7	39%	2	3	0	0	1	4	2	0	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	45	19	10	1	14	18	13	32	12-20	60%	35-58	60%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

ORL

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

88%

ORL

72%

Midrange

SAS

45%

ORL

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

43%

65%

ORL

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

80%

ORL

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	25	89%	12.5 / 14
H. Barnes	21	95%	10.5 / 11
V. Wembanyama	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Castle	15	50%	7.5 / 15
K. Johnson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Fox	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Sochan	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Paul	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	33	53%	16.5 / 31
A. Black	20	111%	10.0 / 9
P. Banchero	17	45%	8.5 / 19
J. Isaac	14	100%	7.0 / 7
C. Anthony	13	54%	6.5 / 12
W. Carter	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. da Silva	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Bitadze	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 27 109.1	SAS 114.4 ORL 115.5 +1.0
Pace	13 100.1 30 96.4	SAS 97.3 +0.6 ORL 96.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 1 15.5	SAS 14.8 −0.1 ORL 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 29 51.0%	SAS 61.7% +4.9% ORL 56.8%
TO %	11 13.2% 18 13.5%	SAS 14.0% ORL 13.4% −0.6%
ORB %	20 24.3% 17 25.3%	SAS 11.1% ORL 30.2% +19.1%
FTrt	22 23.4 2 26.9	SAS 26.0 +3.3 ORL 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 25 60.3%	SAS 65.9% +23.7% ORL 42.2%
STL %	14 8.2% 6 9.2%	SAS 10.3% ORL 10.3%
BLK %	5 10.5% 1 11.9%	SAS 12.1% +10.0% ORL 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 28 53.3%	SAS 63.1% +7.1% ORL 56.0%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 19 63.6%	SAS 87.5% +15.5% ORL 72.0%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 22 41.4%	SAS 45.2% ORL 51.5% +6.3%
3P %	20 35.7% 30 31.8%	SAS 43.3% +10.0% ORL 33.3%
FT %	21 77.4% 19 77.5%	SAS 80.0% +20.0% ORL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 15 31.5%	SAS 20.8% ORL 28.4% +7.6%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 19 27.4%	SAS 40.3% ORL 37.5% −2.8%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 18 41.1%	SAS 39.0% +4.9% ORL 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	111	112
Rebounds	34	45
Assists	27	19
Steals	10	10
Blocks	7	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	14	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	32 (0)
Field Goals	41-77	45-88
At-the-Rim FG	14-16	18-25
Midrange FG	14-31	17-33
2-Point FG	28-47	35-58
3-Point FG	13-30	10-30
Free Throws	16-20	12-20
Fast Break Pts	16	18
2nd Chance Pts	6	20
Points in Paint	34	56
Pts off Turnovers	26	24
Bench Points	32	44
Biggest Lead	13	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg