Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Spurs	24%	110	103	104.0	99	112.3
	2	Celtics	76%	120	116	116.0	100	89.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+11

-8

102

BOS

+21

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	38.7	23	68%	3	5	0	0	3	4	2	1	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	36.4	17	50%	13	4	0	2	2	4	1	12	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 24	31.5	8	33%	2	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.3	14	50%	7	3	0	0	1	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.2	5	31%	2	8	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	24.1	20	56%	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	3	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-6	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	18.9	7	58%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.3	5	50%	1	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	12.6	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	38	30	9	2	8	16	9	29	10-12	83%	33-57	58%	9-39	23%

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10 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	38.7	23	68%	3	5	0	0	3	4	2	1	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	36.4	17	50%	13	4	0	2	2	4	1	12	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 24	31.5	8	33%	2	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.3	14	50%	7	3	0	0	1	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.2	5	31%	2	8	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	24.1	20	56%	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	3	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-6	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	18.9	7	58%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.3	5	50%	1	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	12.6	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	38	30	9	2	8	16	9	29	10-12	83%	33-57	58%	9-39	23%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	39.4	19	56%	7	9	1	0	6	1	1	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	3-11	27%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	37.9	32	55%	14	7	0	1	2	3	1	13	4-8	50%	8-11	73%	4-14	29%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	37.4	29	73%	6	1	1	1	5	2	3	3	6-9	67%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Al Horford #42 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 39	34.4	6	30%	10	3	0	2	1	1	2	8	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-7	29%
Sam Hauser #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 27	29.1	12	60%	7	0	1	0	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	31.4	10	42%	7	3	0	0	1	3	4	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-10	20%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	16.0	2	100%	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	56	25	3	5	15	12	15	41	14-21	67%	24-36	67%	18-55	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

71%

BOS

75%

Midrange

SAS

48%

BOS

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

23%

35%

BOS

27.0

33%

49%

Free Throws

SAS

83%

BOS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	23	68%	11.5 / 17
S. Castle	20	56%	10.0 / 18
V. Wembanyama	17	50%	8.5 / 17
H. Barnes	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Vassell	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Champagnie	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Paul	5	31%	2.5 / 8
K. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Sochan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	32	55%	16.0 / 29
K. Porziņģis	29	73%	14.5 / 20
D. White	19	56%	9.5 / 17
S. Hauser	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Pritchard	10	42%	5.0 / 12
A. Horford	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Craig	6	150%	3.0 / 2
L. Kornet	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 2 119.5	SAS 104.0 BOS 116.0 +12.0
Pace	13 100.1 29 96.6	SAS 112.3 +22.9 BOS 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 2 15.5	SAS 12.8 −3.3 BOS 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 5 56.1%	SAS 48.4% BOS 56.0% +7.6%
TO %	11 13.2% 2 11.7%	SAS 7.3% −7.2% BOS 14.5%
ORB %	20 24.3% 15 25.6%	SAS 18.0% BOS 34.1% +16.1%
FTrt	22 23.4 30 21.2	SAS 12.5 BOS 23.1 +10.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 20 62.8%	SAS 71.4% +11.9% BOS 59.5%
STL %	14 8.2% 26 7.4%	SAS 9.1% +6.1% BOS 3.0%
BLK %	5 10.5% 4 10.5%	SAS 5.6% BOS 8.8% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 6 57.8%	SAS 50.0% BOS 55.2% +5.2%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 4 67.3%	SAS 70.8% BOS 75.0% +4.2%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 14 43.9%	SAS 48.5% BOS 60.0% +11.5%
3P %	20 35.7% 10 36.8%	SAS 23.1% BOS 32.7% +9.6%
FT %	21 77.4% 6 79.9%	SAS 83.3% +16.6% BOS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 29 26.2%	SAS 25.0% +7.4% BOS 17.6%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 1 20.2%	SAS 34.4% BOS 22.0% −12.4%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 1 53.6%	SAS 40.6% BOS 60.4% +19.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	SAS	BOS
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	21.2	26.8
Points	103	116
Rebounds	38	56
Assists	30	25
Steals	9	3
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	16	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	41 (3)
Field Goals	42-96	42-91
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	12-16
Midrange FG	16-33	12-20
2-Point FG	33-57	24-36
3-Point FG	9-39	18-55
Free Throws	10-12	14-21
Fast Break Pts	16	14
2nd Chance Pts	6	14
Points in Paint	44	34
Pts off Turnovers	22	13
Bench Points	36	18
Biggest Lead	2	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg