Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Heat	16%	101	101	105.2	96	89.7
	1	Thunder	84%	115	115	118.6	97	104.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+11

-16

OKC

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.10 54.9%

OKC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	35.4	27	68%	15	4	1	1	3	3	2	13	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	3-4	75%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	34.8	14	70%	1	3	1	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	34.1	13	46%	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.2	14	54%	2	6	2	0	4	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	24.4	7	70%	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	28.7	11	42%	3	4	0	0	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	28.2	11	55%	9	1	2	1	1	2	1	8	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	14.7	1	25%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	7.4	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Stomach Illness
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Stomach Illness
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	NWT - Not With Team \| Personal Reasons
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	45	24	7	5	16	17	10	35	18-25	72%	25-45	56%	11-34	32%

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19 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	35.4	27	68%	15	4	1	1	3	3	2	13	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	3-4	75%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	34.8	14	70%	1	3	1	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	34.1	13	46%	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.2	14	54%	2	6	2	0	4	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	24.4	7	70%	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	28.7	11	42%	3	4	0	0	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	28.2	11	55%	9	1	2	1	1	2	1	8	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	14.7	1	25%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	7.4	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Stomach Illness
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Stomach Illness
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	NWT - Not With Team \| Personal Reasons
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	45	24	7	5	16	17	10	35	18-25	72%	25-45	56%	11-34	32%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	38.2	32	64%	5	9	2	0	1	4	1	4	6-9	67%	7-13	54%	4-9	44%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	32.1	17	85%	2	1	3	1	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	30.6	18	53%	6	3	1	0	2	1	3	3	3-5	60%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	29.7	8	57%	8	1	2	1	3	3	5	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	28.0	11	39%	5	2	2	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-6	17%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	27.5	10	56%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	20.4	14	88%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.7	3	75%	5	3	0	1	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	12.8	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	6.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	INACTIVE
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	41	22	10	3	13	19	11	30	14-20	70%	28-49	57%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.10 54.9%

OKC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

71%

OKC

63%

Midrange

MIA

38%

OKC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

16.5

32%

49%

OKC

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

MIA

72%

OKC

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	27	68%	13.5 / 20
D. Mitchell	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Herro	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Wiggins	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Jović	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Burks	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Ware	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Larsson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
H. Highsmith	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	64%	16.0 / 25
J. Williams	18	53%	9.0 / 17
L. Dort	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Williams	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Wiggins	11	39%	5.5 / 14
I. Joe	10	56%	5.0 / 9
I. Hartenstein	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Caruso	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 112.4 3 119.2	MIA 105.2 OKC 118.6 +13.3
Pace	27 97.2 5 100.9	MIA 89.7 OKC 104.4 +14.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.9 25 13.9	MIA 16.1 OKC 13.8 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.4% 7 56.0%	MIA 52.5% OKC 57.4% +4.9%
TO %	8 12.8% 1 10.9%	MIA 15.1% OKC 11.8% −3.3%
ORB %	27 22.3% 21 24.2%	MIA 25.0% +1.1% OKC 23.9%
FTrt	24 23.2 28 22.0	MIA 31.6 +8.9 OKC 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 65.3% 26 60.2%	MIA 66.7% +15.5% OKC 51.2%
STL %	12 8.3% 1 10.2%	MIA 7.3% OKC 10.3% +3.0%
BLK %	30 7.6% 2 11.9%	MIA 10.2% +3.5% OKC 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.0% 4 57.9%	MIA 54.9% OKC 59.3% +4.4%
Rim FG%	22 62.5% 10 65.7%	MIA 70.8% +8.3% OKC 62.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.4% 7 45.7%	MIA 38.1% OKC 52.0% +13.9%
3P %	11 36.7% 6 37.4%	MIA 32.4% OKC 38.5% +6.1%
FT %	8 79.1% 1 81.9%	MIA 72.0% +2.0% OKC 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.6% 26 29.5%	MIA 30.4% +3.1% OKC 27.3%
Mid Att. %	20 27.5% 25 28.6%	MIA 26.6% −1.8% OKC 28.4%
3P Att. %	12 42.9% 16 41.9%	MIA 43.0% OKC 44.3% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	OKC
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	101	115
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	24	22
Steals	7	10
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	30 (3)
Field Goals	36-79	43-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	15-24
Midrange FG	8-21	13-25
2-Point FG	25-45	28-49
3-Point FG	11-34	15-39
Free Throws	18-25	14-20
Fast Break Pts	10	20
2nd Chance Pts	10	11
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	27
Bench Points	26	29
Biggest Lead	21	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg