Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Win Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat
2Thunder
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
33.3
1
6-11
51%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.1
33.3
1
4-8
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
28.4
1
4-7
53%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
28.1
1
1-3
53%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
26.9
1
3-6
48%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
26.9
1
2-4
52%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
21.0
1
1-2
55%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
19.2
1
2-4
51%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.4
17.5
1
2-5
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.4
11.9
0
1-1
47%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.6
8.2
0
0-1
39%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
7.4
0
0-1
48%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
6.3
0
0-1
41%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
5.1
0
0-1
47%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
2.0
0
0-1
51%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.6
28.1
1
8-14
59%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.1
25.8
1
3-5
61%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.8
25.7
1
1-2
49%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
23.0
1
4-6
62%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.6
22.8
1
1-2
57%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
21.6
1
5-8
57%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
21.5
1
1-2
55%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.7
20.7
1
2-3
60%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
19.4
1
2-3
57%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
18.8
1
2-3
58%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
14.9
0
1-2
54%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
11.5
1
1-1
54%
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
7.7
0
1-1
54%
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.2
7.1
0
0-1
51%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.