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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat16%101101
1Thunder84%115115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.0
34.1
24.6
13
44%
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
4-6
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
35.4
33.9
27
68%
15
4
1
1
1
3
2
13
2-2
100%
8-15
6-11
53%
51%
3-4
75%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
24.4
25.5
7
74%
6
0
0
1
2
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-3
3-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.1
32.2
21.6
14
51%
2
6
2
0
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
1-6
17%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.4
34.8
19.1
14
70%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
2-5
40%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
28.7
29.0
11
43%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
2-8
25%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.6
28.2
15.7
11
54%
9
1
2
0
1
1
1
8
4-5
80%
2-5
1-2
40%
39%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
14.7
12.0
1
27%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
7.4
12.6
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
26.5
1
3-6
47%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
23.5
1
1-2
53%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
11.6
0
1-3
51%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.8
32.1
25.3
17
81%
2
1
3
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
30.6
27.7
18
52%
6
3
1
1
0
2
3
3
3-5
60%
6-11
6-10
55%
58%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
29.7
24.6
8
57%
8
1
2
1
1
3
5
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
63%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.1
28.0
28.4
11
39%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-6
50%
61%
1-6
17%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.6
38.2
30.4
32
62%
5
9
2
2
0
1
1
4
6-9
67%
7-13
9-15
54%
58%
4-9
44%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.6
27.5
23.7
10
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
57%
3-8
38%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
20.3
16.2
14
83%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
3-5
60%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
14.7
19.7
3
75%
5
3
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-2
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
12.8
18.8
2
53%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
6.0
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
5.1
0
0-1
54%
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.2
4.5
0
0-1
53%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.5
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.7
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.