Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Warriors	54%	116	107	109.2	98	98.8
	15	Mavericks	46%	115	111	112.1	99	99.9

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+22

-15

105

DAL

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.0%

DAL

1.14 57.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	37.2	25	50%	5	8	2	0	4	3	1	4	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	4-13	31%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	35.1	21	55%	9	7	0	1	3	3	6	3	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.6	13	59%	5	5	3	2	3	1	2	3	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	28.9	3	17%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	11.7	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	27.5	14	50%	5	0	0	2	0	4	2	3	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	24.4	8	44%	2	5	3	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	16.4	14	78%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	15.0	4	50%	8	2	0	1	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	12.2	0	0%	7	2	0	0	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	50	29	9	6	15	16	18	32	15-18	83%	31-61	51%	10-35	29%

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6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	37.2	25	50%	5	8	2	0	4	3	1	4	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	4-13	31%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	35.1	21	55%	9	7	0	1	3	3	6	3	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.6	13	59%	5	5	3	2	3	1	2	3	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	28.9	3	17%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	11.7	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	27.5	14	50%	5	0	0	2	0	4	2	3	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	24.4	8	44%	2	5	3	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	16.4	14	78%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	15.0	4	50%	8	2	0	1	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	12.2	0	0%	7	2	0	0	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	50	29	9	6	15	16	18	32	15-18	83%	31-61	51%	10-35	29%

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15 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	40.0	42	81%	7	0	1	0	3	2	1	6	5-5	100%	8-15	53%	7-10	70%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	39.2	17	61%	5	4	1	0	3	1	0	5	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	33.7	17	45%	7	2	1	2	1	2	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	5-14	36%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	32.8	4	40%	6	6	2	3	2	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	24.2	6	33%	3	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	30.3	10	50%	8	1	1	1	3	4	4	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-4	0%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	17.9	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	15.0	12	86%	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kylor Kelley #50 · C · 7'0" 215 · 27	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tightness
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	57%	39	20	9	7	14	16	9	30	12-15	80%	27-51	53%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.0%

DAL

1.14 57.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

59%

DAL

56%

Midrange

GSW

27%

DAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

15.0

29%

43%

DAL

22.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

GSW

83%

DAL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	25	50%	12.5 / 25
J. Butler	21	55%	10.5 / 19
M. Moody	14	50%	7.0 / 14
G. Payton	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Green	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Podziemski	8	44%	4.0 / 9
Q. Post	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Looney	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Hield	3	17%	1.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	42	81%	21.0 / 26
M. Christie	17	61%	8.5 / 14
K. Thompson	17	45%	8.5 / 19
B. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
N. Marshall	10	50%	5.0 / 10
O. Prosper	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Edwards	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Dinwiddie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Hardy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 18 113.6	GSW 109.2 DAL 112.1 +2.9
Pace	17 99.4 11 100.3	GSW 98.8 DAL 99.9 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 16 14.4	GSW 14.6 DAL 14.4 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 14 54.9%	GSW 47.9% DAL 56.9% +9.0%
TO %	13 13.2% 12 13.2%	GSW 13.3% −0.5% DAL 13.8%
ORB %	5 27.3% 23 23.4%	GSW 37.5% +15.5% DAL 22.0%
FTrt	14 24.4 4 26.3	GSW 18.8 +1.6 DAL 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 27 60.1%	GSW 70.7% +23.1% DAL 47.6%
STL %	3 9.4% 22 7.7%	GSW 9.2% +0.1% DAL 9.1%
BLK %	13 9.5% 10 9.7%	GSW 11.8% +0.3% DAL 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 14 56.9%	GSW 51.0% DAL 57.2% +6.2%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 8 66.0%	GSW 58.7% +2.7% DAL 56.0%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 15 43.7%	GSW 26.7% DAL 50.0% +23.3%
3P %	16 36.4% 15 36.4%	GSW 28.6% DAL 41.7% +13.1%
FT %	25 76.3% 24 77.0%	GSW 83.3% +3.3% DAL 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 16 31.4%	GSW 47.9% +19.2% DAL 28.7%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 27 29.6%	GSW 15.6% −14.3% DAL 29.9%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 24 38.9%	GSW 36.5% DAL 41.4% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	DAL
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.8	23.8
Points	107	111
Rebounds	50	39
Assists	29	20
Steals	9	9
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	30 (5)
Field Goals	41-96	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-46	14-25
Midrange FG	4-15	13-26
2-Point FG	31-61	27-51
3-Point FG	10-35	15-36
Free Throws	15-18	12-15
Fast Break Pts	2	10
2nd Chance Pts	33	11
Points in Paint	62	48
Pts off Turnovers	23	22
Bench Points	40	25
Biggest Lead	2	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg