Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Kings68%119133
29Pelicans32%112140
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.5
43.2
33.8
20
50%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
9-9
100%
4-12
6-12
33%
53%
1-4
25%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
35.5
31.4
13
59%
8
3
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
58%
3-9
33%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.8
42.6
33.1
22
65%
28
5
0
1
0
5
13
15
1-2
50%
9-14
6-10
64%
63%
1-2
50%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
45.3
33.2
32
63%
2
10
3
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
55%
5-12
42%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
42.7
34.8
24
47%
6
9
1
1
1
4
1
5
4-4
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
55%
4-12
33%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 25.1
22.7
27.9
7
35%
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
61%
1-4
25%
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
13.7
15.9
4
52%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
59%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
10.5
11.5
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.3
8.7
11.3
8
90%
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
57%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.6
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
2.4
0
0-0
53%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.1
2.4
0
0-0
57%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 23.0
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
0-0
0-0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
33.9
14.2
9
64%
7
2
5
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
60%
1-4
25%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.7
43.8
34.9
18
40%
9
11
0
1
0
3
1
8
9-12
75%
3-8
5-8
38%
58%
1-9
11%
Yves Missi
C · 7'0" 235 · 20.8
11.9
28.1
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.4
41.2
24.6
43
78%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
4-6
67%
9-13
4-8
69%
51%
7-12
58%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 26.8
34.3
26.7
18
70%
5
8
3
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Karlo Matković
F-C · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
27.0
19.8
13
94%
5
2
2
1
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
26.2
18.6
16
82%
2
4
0
0
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 24.3
18.2
8.1
16
91%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
4-6
67%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.5
16.8
21.4
5
37%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Antonio Reeves
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.2
11.8
17.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 26.4
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 28.4
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.9
Brandon Boston
G · 6'6" 188 · 23.2
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 24.6
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
Keion Brooks Jr.
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.