FinalWin Prob.pScore
2154%106
113
2646%104
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.79699.8
DAL logo DAL
120.49894.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:01.8MavericksKessler Edwards defensive rebound113
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot113
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
0.7%
117
99.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0HeatKyle Anderson personal foul (Take) (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)113
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 0:13.5MavericksMax Christie defensive rebound113
2.6%
116
97.4%
Q4 - 0:16.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot113
3.9%
116
96.1%
Q4 - 0:28.6MavericksMavericks turnover (shot clock violation)113
12.8%
116
87.2%
Q4 - 0:28.6MavericksMavericks offensive rebound113
5.0%
116
95.0%
Q4 - 0:29.1MavericksMax Christie misses three point jump shot113
9.8%
116
90.2%
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
10.4%
116
89.6%
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatAlec Burks misses regular free throw 1 of 2112
9.6%
116
90.4%
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1112
11.2%
116
88.8%
Q4 - 0:52.6MavericksNaji Marshall technical foul111
9.8%
116
90.2%
Q4 - 0:52.6MavericksMax Christie shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)111
8.8%
116
91.2%
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound111
6.4%
116
93.6%
Q4 - 0:53.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot111
4.1%
116
95.9%
Q4 - 1:07MavericksMax Christie makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot111
7.9%
116
92.1%
Q4 - 1:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)111
14.3%
114
85.7%
Q4 - 1:30HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound108
6.6%
114
93.4%
Q4 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot108
4.6%
114
95.4%
Q4 - 1:40MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
7.2%
114
92.8%
Q4 - 1:40MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
7.9%
113
92.1%
Q4 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)108
8.7%
112
91.3%
Q4 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1108
10.4%
112
89.6%
Q4 - 1:41MavericksDante Exum shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
9.9%
112
90.1%
Q4 - 1:49MavericksNaji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
3.2%
112
96.8%
Q4 - 1:49MavericksNaji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
3.4%
111
96.6%
Q4 - 1:49HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)104
3.7%
110
96.3%
Q4 - 1:49MavericksNaji Marshall offensive rebound104
4.6%
110
95.4%
Q4 - 1:50MavericksMax Christie misses three point jump shot104
6.6%
110
93.4%
Q4 - 1:53MavericksNaji Marshall offensive rebound104
4.6%
110
95.4%
Q4 - 1:56MavericksMax Christie misses three point jump shot104
6.5%
110
93.5%
Q4 - 2:22HeatAlec Burks makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)104
3.8%
110
96.2%
Q4 - 2:39MavericksDante Exum makes two point running dunk (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)102
2.7%
110
97.3%
Q4 - 2:44HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Naji Marshall steals)102
3.7%
108
96.3%
Q4 - 3:07MavericksDante Exum makes two point driving layup102
9.0%
108
91.0%
Q4 - 3:31MavericksMavericks defensive rebound102
17.7%
106
82.3%
Q4 - 3:34HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot102
19.3%
106
80.7%
Q4 - 3:43MavericksNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)102
23.5%
106
76.5%
Q4 - 4:05HeatAlec Burks turnover (offensive foul)102
37.3%
103
62.7%
Q4 - 4:05HeatAlec Burks offensive foul (Off the ball) (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)102
47.0%
103
53.0%
Q4 - 4:17MavericksKessler Edwards makes two point driving layup (Naji Marshall assists)102
47.0%
103
53.0%
Q4 - 4:26MavericksKessler Edwards defensive rebound102
55.1%
101
44.9%
Q4 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot102
58.1%
101
41.9%
Q4 - 4:49MavericksMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Kessler Edwards assists)102
64.8%
101
35.2%
Q4 - 4:53MavericksKessler Edwards offensive rebound102
78.7%
98
21.3%
Q4 - 4:54MavericksKessler Edwards misses two point tip layup102
83.0%
98
17.0%
Q4 - 4:55MavericksKessler Edwards offensive rebound102
78.7%
98
21.3%
Q4 - 4:55MavericksMax Christie misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
83.0%
98
17.0%
Q4 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot102
76.0%
98
24.0%
Q4 - 5:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound100
70.5%
98
29.5%
Q4 - 5:20MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot100
68.2%
98
31.8%
Q4 - 5:34MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound100
62.7%
98
37.3%
Q4 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot100
65.2%
98
34.8%
Q4 - 5:52MavericksJaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
70.6%
98
29.4%
Q4 - 5:52MavericksJaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
71.9%
97
28.1%
Q4 - 5:52HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)100
73.3%
96
26.7%
Q4 - 6:15HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)100
73.9%
96
26.1%
Q4 - 6:19MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)98
69.2%
96
30.8%
Q4 - 6:27MavericksNaji Marshall offensive rebound98
61.7%
96
38.3%
Q4 - 6:29MavericksMax Christie misses three point jump shot98
67.0%
96
33.0%
Q4 - 6:43MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound98
61.7%
96
38.3%
Q4 - 6:45HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot98
64.1%
96
35.9%
Q4 - 7:06MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup98
68.4%
96
31.6%
Q4 - 7:21HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 3 of 398
72.5%
94
27.5%
Q4 - 7:21HeatAlec Burks misses regular free throw 2 of 397
71.8%
94
28.2%
Q4 - 7:21HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 397
75.9%
94
24.1%
Q4 - 7:21MavericksBrandon Williams shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)96
75.2%
94
24.8%
Q4 - 7:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound96
68.4%
94
31.6%
Q4 - 7:28MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point driving layup96
66.3%
94
33.7%
Q4 - 7:48HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk96
61.1%
94
38.9%
Q4 - 7:48HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound94
56.4%
94
43.6%
Q4 - 7:49HeatAlec Burks misses two point cutting layup94
50.8%
94
49.2%
Q4 - 7:56HeatHeat offensive rebound94
56.4%
94
43.6%
Q4 - 7:57HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving hook shot94
50.8%
94
49.2%
Q4 - 8:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound94
55.9%
94
44.1%
Q4 - 8:13MavericksKessler Edwards misses three point jump shot94
53.8%
94
46.2%
Q4 - 8:18MavericksKessler Edwards offensive rebound94
49.1%
94
50.9%
Q4 - 8:19MavericksKessler Edwards misses two point driving reverse layup94
53.8%
94
46.2%
Q4 - 8:36HeatKyle Anderson makes two point tip layup94
49.1%
94
50.9%
Q4 - 8:37HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound92
43.8%
94
56.2%
Q4 - 8:38HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving layup92
39.2%
94
60.8%
Q4 - 8:39HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound92
43.8%
94
56.2%
Q4 - 8:42HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot92
39.2%
94
60.8%
Q4 - 8:57MavericksBrandon Williams makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)92
43.8%
94
56.2%
Q4 - 9:20HeatKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot92
55.0%
91
45.0%
Q4 - 9:20HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound90
50.2%
91
49.8%
Q4 - 9:22HeatKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround hook shot90
45.6%
91
54.4%
Q4 - 9:39HeatHeat defensive rebound90
50.2%
91
49.8%
Q4 - 9:40MavericksNaji Marshall misses two point driving layup90
48.2%
91
51.8%
Q4 - 9:58HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)90
43.6%
91
56.4%
Q4 - 10:07MavericksDante Exum makes two point running layup88
39.8%
91
60.2%
Q4 - 10:12HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Dante Exum steals)88
44.4%
89
55.6%
Q4 - 10:30MavericksDante Exum makes two point driving layup88
50.4%
89
49.6%
Q4 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)88
55.0%
87
45.0%
Q4 - 11:17MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point bank jump shot (Dante Exum assists)85
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 11:40HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)85
55.2%
84
44.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
50.3%
84
49.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1MavericksMavericks offensive rebound83
45.8%
84
54.2%
Q3 - 0:00.4MavericksNaji Marshall misses three point driving floating jump shot83
49.2%
84
50.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running finger roll layup (Alec Burks assists)83
45.8%
84
54.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound81
41.0%
84
59.0%
Q3 - 0:11.6MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot81
39.6%
84
60.4%
Q3 - 0:28.2HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 281
36.4%
84
63.6%
Q3 - 0:28.2HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 280
35.9%
84
64.1%
Q3 - 0:28.2MavericksBrandon Williams shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)80
39.8%
84
60.2%
Q3 - 0:28.2HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound80
36.4%
84
63.6%
Q3 - 0:29.5HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot80
33.3%
84
66.7%
Q3 - 0:40.4HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound80
36.3%
84
63.7%
Q3 - 0:43.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot80
33.3%
84
66.7%
Q3 - 0:48.8MavericksMax Christie makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)80
36.3%
84
63.7%
Q3 - 1:05HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)80
41.7%
82
58.3%
Q3 - 1:18MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point driving layup (Max Christie assists)77
33.2%
82
66.8%
Q3 - 1:26MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound77
37.3%
80
62.7%
Q3 - 1:28HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running layup77
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q3 - 1:30HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound77
41.8%
80
58.2%
Q3 - 1:33MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot77
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 1:40MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound77
37.3%
80
62.7%
Q3 - 1:42HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving layup77
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q3 - 2:07MavericksBrandon Williams makes two point driving layup77
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q3 - 2:22HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving bank hook shot77
46.4%
78
53.6%
Q3 - 2:29HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound75
42.5%
78
57.5%
Q3 - 2:33MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point running jump shot75
41.1%
78
58.9%
Q3 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)75
38.0%
78
62.0%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound75
42.5%
78
57.5%
Q3 - 2:42MavericksKyle Anderson blocks Jaden Hardy's two point cutting layup75
41.1%
78
58.9%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 175
38.0%
78
62.0%
Q3 - 2:52MavericksBrandon Williams shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)74
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q3 - 3:10MavericksKessler Edwards makes three point jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)72
31.6%
78
68.4%
Q3 - 3:17MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound72
38.4%
75
61.6%
Q3 - 3:19HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot72
39.9%
75
60.1%
Q3 - 3:40MavericksKessler Edwards makes two point tip layup72
43.2%
75
56.8%
Q3 - 3:41MavericksKessler Edwards offensive rebound72
46.6%
73
53.4%
Q3 - 3:41MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point driving layup72
50.0%
73
50.0%
Q3 - 3:49HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)72
46.6%
73
53.4%
Q3 - 3:59MavericksMax Christie defensive rebound72
46.6%
73
53.4%
Q3 - 4:02HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving hook shot72
48.7%
73
51.3%
Q3 - 4:18MavericksMax Christie makes two point running layup72
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q3 - 4:23HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Max Christie steals)72
55.3%
71
44.7%
Q3 - 4:38MavericksKessler Edwards makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Williams assists)72
59.6%
71
40.4%
Q3 - 4:45MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound72
63.0%
69
37.0%
Q3 - 4:48HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot72
64.3%
69
35.7%
Q3 - 5:08MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 272
66.5%
69
33.5%
Q3 - 5:08MavericksBrandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 272
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q3 - 5:08HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)72
64.7%
68
35.3%
Q3 - 5:11MavericksBrandon Williams defensive rebound72
66.2%
68
33.8%
Q3 - 5:13HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup72
67.4%
68
32.6%
Q3 - 5:39MavericksKessler Edwards makes three point jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)72
69.9%
68
30.1%
Q3 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)72
75.8%
65
24.2%
Q3 - 6:07HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound70
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot70
70.3%
65
29.7%
Q3 - 6:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound70
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 6:21MavericksMax Christie misses two point pullup jump shot70
71.6%
65
28.4%
Q3 - 6:39HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 270
69.2%
65
30.8%
Q3 - 6:39HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 269
68.4%
65
31.6%
Q3 - 6:39MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)68
67.5%
65
32.5%
Q3 - 6:41MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)68
66.3%
65
33.7%
Q3 - 6:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (back court violation)68
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 7:04MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (offensive foul)68
65.8%
65
34.2%
Q3 - 7:04MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)68
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot68
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 7:27MavericksMax Christie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
55.8%
65
44.2%
Q3 - 7:27MavericksMavericks offensive rebound65
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 7:28MavericksKel'el Ware blocks Olivier-Maxence Prosper's two point driving layup65
54.5%
65
45.5%
Q3 - 7:50HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)65
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound62
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q3 - 7:58MavericksMax Christie misses three point jump shot62
43.9%
65
56.1%
Q3 - 8:05HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Max Christie steals)62
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 8:22MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup62
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q3 - 8:30MavericksDante Exum offensive rebound62
48.2%
63
51.8%
Q3 - 8:33MavericksMax Christie misses three point pullup jump shot62
51.2%
63
48.8%
Q3 - 8:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)62
48.2%
63
51.8%
Q3 - 9:05MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point layup62
52.7%
63
47.3%
Q3 - 9:20MavericksKessler Edwards defensive rebound62
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q3 - 9:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot62
56.5%
61
43.5%
Q3 - 9:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 9:31MavericksKessler Edwards misses two point driving floating jump shot62
58.1%
61
41.9%
Q3 - 9:46HeatKyle Anderson personal foul (Kessler Edwards draws the foul)62
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q3 - 10:08HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)62
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q3 - 10:14MavericksMax Christie turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)60
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 10:33HeatKyle Anderson makes two point layup60
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 10:51MavericksKessler Edwards makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)58
46.3%
61
53.7%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point putback layup58
52.3%
58
47.7%
Q3 - 11:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound56
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 11:15HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip layup56
47.0%
58
53.0%
Q3 - 11:16HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound56
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot56
47.0%
58
53.0%
Q3 - 11:41MavericksDante Exum makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)56
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q2 - 0:03.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup56
56.1%
55
43.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0MavericksNaji Marshall turnover (offensive foul)54
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MavericksNaji Marshall offensive foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)54
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q2 - 0:32.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup54
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q2 - 0:48.6MavericksDante Exum makes two point cutting layup (Naji Marshall assists)52
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q2 - 1:03MavericksMavericks offensive rebound52
50.5%
53
49.5%
Q2 - 1:05MavericksDavion Mitchell blocks Dante Exum's two point running dunk52
52.4%
53
47.6%
Q2 - 1:06HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Dante Exum steals)52
50.5%
53
49.5%
Q2 - 1:15MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 1 of 152
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q2 - 1:15HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)52
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q2 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Anderson assists)52
59.4%
50
40.6%
Q2 - 1:36HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound50
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q2 - 1:36MavericksBrandon Williams misses three point pullup jump shot50
55.4%
50
44.6%
Q2 - 1:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot50
53.5%
50
46.5%
Q2 - 2:02MavericksNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Kessler Edwards assists)48
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q2 - 2:19HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)48
56.1%
47
43.9%
Q2 - 2:38MavericksDante Exum makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)45
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q2 - 2:57HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 245
56.1%
44
43.9%
Q2 - 2:57HeatKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 244
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 2:57MavericksBrandon Williams shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)44
57.5%
44
42.5%
Q2 - 2:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound44
56.5%
44
43.5%
Q2 - 3:01HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot44
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q2 - 3:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound44
56.7%
44
43.3%
Q2 - 3:07MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point driving layup44
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q2 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 244
53.2%
44
46.8%
Q2 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 243
52.9%
44
47.1%
Q2 - 3:23MavericksMax Christie personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)43
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 3:33MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point layup (Brandon Williams assists)43
53.9%
44
46.1%
Q2 - 3:50MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound43
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 3:53HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot43
57.1%
42
42.9%
Q2 - 4:03HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound43
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 4:05MavericksBrandon Williams misses two point jump shot43
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 4:09MavericksNaji Marshall offensive rebound43
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 4:11MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot43
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 4:35MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound43
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup43
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 4:48MavericksBrandon Williams personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)43
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 4:52MavericksBrandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)43
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 4:55HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)43
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 4:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound43
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 4:56MavericksKessler Edwards misses two point driving floating jump shot43
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 5:11HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup43
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 5:11HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound41
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 5:12HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving hook shot41
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 5:28MavericksBrandon Williams makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)41
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot41
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 6:03MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup39
57.0%
39
43.0%
Q2 - 6:11HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)39
59.0%
37
41.0%
Q2 - 6:32MavericksMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)37
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q2 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 237
61.6%
34
38.4%
Q2 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 236
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 6:57MavericksNaji Marshall shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)35
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q2 - 7:09HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound35
59.3%
34
40.7%
Q2 - 7:13MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point driving floating jump shot35
58.5%
34
41.5%
Q2 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)35
56.6%
34
43.4%
Q2 - 7:33MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 233
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 7:33MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 233
54.7%
33
45.3%
Q2 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)33
55.2%
32
44.8%
Q2 - 7:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot33
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q2 - 7:53MavericksDante Exum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)31
54.3%
32
45.7%
Q2 - 8:10HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)31
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 8:14HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound28
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 8:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 8:25MavericksDante Exum misses two point driving reverse layup28
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q2 - 8:42HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 128
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 8:42MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)27
48.4%
30
51.6%
Q2 - 8:51MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 125
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 8:51HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)25
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q2 - 8:54MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound25
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q2 - 8:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving hook shot25
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q2 - 9:11MavericksDante Exum makes two point stepback jump shot25
51.5%
27
48.5%
Q2 - 9:31HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)25
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q2 - 9:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound23
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q2 - 9:46MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot23
50.8%
25
49.2%
Q2 - 10:08HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 223
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q2 - 10:08HeatAlec Burks misses regular free throw 1 of 222
49.0%
25
51.0%
Q2 - 10:08MavericksKessler Edwards shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)22
51.0%
25
49.0%
Q2 - 10:24MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot (Kessler Edwards assists)22
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 10:44MavericksMavericks defensive rebound22
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 10:45HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running jump shot22
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q2 - 10:52MavericksBrandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)22
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 10:55HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)22
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 11:07HeatNikola Jovic turnover (traveling)22
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q2 - 11:20MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup (Dante Exum assists)22
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 11:29MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound22
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 11:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot22
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q2 - 11:33HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound22
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q2 - 11:37HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot22
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q2 - 11:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound22
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q2 - 11:44MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point driving layup22
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.4MavericksMavericks offensive rebound22
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q1 - 0:00.4MavericksNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot22
58.0%
21
42.0%
Q1 - 0:08.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)22
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q1 - 0:28.7MavericksKylor Kelley makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)19
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q1 - 0:32.6HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)19
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 0:49.9MavericksKylor Kelley defensive rebound19
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 0:51.7HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 119
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 0:51.7MavericksKylor Kelley shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)19
55.9%
19
44.1%
Q1 - 0:59.8MavericksBrandon Williams makes two point pullup jump shot17
51.8%
19
48.2%
Q1 - 1:21HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Alec Burks assists)17
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q1 - 1:37HeatHeat defensive rebound15
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 1:38MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot15
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:44MavericksMavericks offensive rebound15
49.8%
17
50.2%
Q1 - 1:45MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point running dunk15
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:48MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound15
49.8%
17
50.2%
Q1 - 1:51HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving reverse layup15
50.4%
17
49.6%
Q1 - 2:03MavericksKylor Kelley makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Williams assists)15
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 2:10MavericksKylor Kelley offensive rebound15
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q1 - 2:12MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point running pullup jump shot15
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 2:18MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound15
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q1 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot15
55.1%
15
44.9%
Q1 - 2:38HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound15
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 2:41MavericksJaden Hardy misses regular free throw 2 of 215
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q1 - 2:41MavericksJaden Hardy misses regular free throw 1 of 215
55.0%
15
45.0%
Q1 - 2:41HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)15
53.3%
15
46.7%
Q1 - 2:44MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound15
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q1 - 2:46HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround hook shot15
55.1%
15
44.9%
Q1 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 2:54MavericksKessler Edwards misses two point driving layup15
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 3:04MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound15
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 3:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot15
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 3:11MavericksBrandon Williams turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)15
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 3:32HeatKyle Anderson makes two point putback layup15
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 3:32HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound13
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 3:35HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot13
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 3:41MavericksMax Christie turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)13
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 3:48MavericksMax Christie defensive rebound13
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 3:51HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot13
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 4:03MavericksBrandon Williams misses three point jump shot13
52.0%
15
48.0%
Q1 - 4:16MavericksMavericks defensive rebound13
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 4:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup13
51.1%
15
48.9%
Q1 - 4:32MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot13
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 4:47MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound13
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup13
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 4:56HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound13
56.4%
13
43.6%
Q1 - 4:59MavericksMax Christie misses three point pullup jump shot13
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 5:22MavericksKessler Edwards defensive rebound13
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 5:25HeatKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 213
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 5:25HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 213
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 5:25MavericksJaden Hardy shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)12
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 5:47MavericksMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)12
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot12
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 6:23MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 6:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup10
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 6:53HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 6:56MavericksMax Christie misses three point pullup jump shot8
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 7:04MavericksMax Christie defensive rebound8
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 7:06HeatKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 28
51.8%
10
48.2%
Q1 - 7:06HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 28
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 7:06MavericksDante Exum shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)7
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 7:15MavericksMax Christie makes two point driving finger roll layup7
51.8%
10
48.2%
Q1 - 7:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup7
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 7:36HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound5
51.9%
8
48.1%
Q1 - 7:39MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot5
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 7:46MavericksKessler Edwards defensive rebound5
50.3%
8
49.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot5
50.8%
8
49.2%
Q1 - 8:06MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point cutting layup (Dante Exum assists)5
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 8:16MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound5
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 8:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot5
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 8:26MavericksMax Christie turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)5
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 8:46HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)5
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 9:00MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point driving layup (Max Christie assists)2
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 9:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:20HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound2
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 9:23MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot2
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 9:27MavericksMax Christie offensive rebound2
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 9:27MavericksKyle Anderson blocks Max Christie's two point pullup jump shot2
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 9:51HeatKel'el Ware makes two point driving hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 10:05HeatHeat offensive rebound0
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 10:07HeatDante Exum blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup0
51.6%
4
48.4%
Q1 - 10:11MavericksDante Exum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:25MavericksMavericks defensive rebound0
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot0
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 10:34MavericksDante Exum turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)0
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 10:42MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound0
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:45HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot0
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 11:01MavericksMax Christie makes two point stepback jump shot0
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 11:16MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 11:16HeatMax Christie blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point running layup0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:25MavericksOlivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Olivier-Maxence Prosper steals)0
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 12:00Kel'el Ware vs. Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Jaime Jaquez Jr. gains possession)0
54.1%
0
45.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 55.9%
DAL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
38
55%
DAL
24
34
71%
Midrange
MIA
12
17
71%
DAL
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
DAL
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
17
26
65%
DAL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro4061%20.0 / 33
K. Ware1761%8.5 / 14
K. Anderson1558%7.5 / 13
A. Burks1260%6.0 / 10
D. Robinson964%4.5 / 7
J. Jaquez643%3.0 / 7
N. Jović627%3.0 / 11
D. Mitchell550%2.5 / 5
P. Larsson3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Exum2796%13.5 / 14
M. Christie1950%9.5 / 19
S. Dinwiddie1860%9.0 / 15
K. Edwards1563%7.5 / 12
N. Marshall1275%6.0 / 8
B. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
O. Prosper1056%5.0 / 9
K. Kelley4100%2.0 / 2
J. Hardy210%1.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+18
-13
101
DAL
85
+17
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 55.9%
DAL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
113.6
MIA 117.7
DAL 120.4 +2.7
Pace
97.2
100.3
MIA 99.8 +5.4
DAL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.4
MIA 14.4 +0.8
DAL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
54.9%
MIA 52.7%
DAL 58.3% +5.6%
TO %
12.8%
13.2%
MIA 11.3% +1.3%
DAL 12.6%
ORB %
22.3%
23.4%
MIA 35.6% +5.9%
DAL 29.7%
FTrt
23.2
26.3
MIA 28.6 +10.8
DAL 17.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
60.1%
MIA 53.5%
DAL 60.9% +7.4%
STL %
8.3%
7.7%
MIA 9.4% +2.3%
DAL 7.1%
BLK %
7.6%
9.7%
MIA 7.4% +3.8%
DAL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.9%
MIA 55.9%
DAL 57.8% +1.9%
Rim FG%
62.5%
66.0%
MIA 55.3%
DAL 70.6% +15.3%
Mid FG%
44.4%
43.7%
MIA 70.6% +25.6%
DAL 45.0%
3P %
36.7%
36.4%
MIA 27.8%
DAL 36.1% +8.3%
FT %
79.1%
77.0%
MIA 65.4%
DAL 81.3% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
31.4%
MIA 41.8% +4.0%
DAL 37.8%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
29.6%
MIA 18.7% +3.5%
DAL 22.2%
3P Att. %
42.9%
38.9%
MIA 39.6%
DAL 40.0% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points113118
Rebounds4240
Assists2328
Steals97
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1417
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals43-9146-90
At-the-Rim FG21-3824-34
Midrange FG12-179-20
2-Point FG33-5533-54
3-Point FG10-3613-36
Free Throws17-2613-16
Fast Break Pts1110
2nd Chance Pts2513
Points in Paint6262
Pts off Turnovers1515
Bench Points3029
Biggest Lead78

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 26
37.8
5
50%
0
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
37.4
40
61%
8
3
3
0
3
1
1
7
7-9
78%
12-16
75%
3-14
21%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
32.1
17
61%
9
1
1
1
2
2
5
4
1-2
50%
8-11
73%
0-3
0%
#20 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 31
27.1
15
58%
10
3
0
2
0
3
6
4
3-6
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
22.6
6
43%
6
3
2
0
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34
28.4
12
60%
7
4
1
0
1
1
2
5
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
24.9
6
27%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
20.0
9
64%
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
9.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
NWT – Personal
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Stomach; Illness
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Stomach; Illness
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 28
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
56%
42
23
9
4
13
14
16
26
17-26
65%
33-55
60%
10-36
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.