Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 13, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	75%	114	101	104.1	97	100.4
	16	Timberwolves	25%	104	116	118.4	98	94.8

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+13

-9

101

MIN

+22

-8

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.99 49.5%

MIN

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.0	20	53%	3	5	1	1	1	1	0	3	4-5	80%	8-13	62%	0-4	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	33.7	24	46%	8	9	0	0	1	2	2	6	11-11	100%	5-19	26%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	31.9	14	70%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	30.1	11	55%	12	2	2	2	2	2	4	8	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	27.3	10	83%	12	1	0	2	4	2	4	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.1	1	8%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	19.1	9	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	18.7	10	63%	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	8.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	8.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.8	2	33%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	49	25	4	7	9	17	12	37	20-24	83%	30-59	51%	7-29	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	34.0	20	53%	3	5	1	1	1	1	0	3	4-5	80%	8-13	62%	0-4	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	33.7	24	46%	8	9	0	0	1	2	2	6	11-11	100%	5-19	26%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	31.9	14	70%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	30.1	11	55%	12	2	2	2	2	2	4	8	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	27.3	10	83%	12	1	0	2	4	2	4	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.1	1	8%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	19.1	9	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	18.7	10	63%	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	8.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	8.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.8	2	33%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	49	25	4	7	9	17	12	37	20-24	83%	30-59	51%	7-29	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	37.6	27	75%	14	7	0	1	0	1	4	10	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	3-9	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 24	36.9	21	55%	6	5	0	0	0	3	1	5	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-6	17%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	36.3	23	50%	7	7	3	0	2	0	1	6	10-11	91%	2-6	33%	3-12	25%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 26	30.5	14	64%	6	2	0	0	2	4	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-9	44%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 23	24.1	4	29%	3	1	2	0	0	4	2	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%

Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	28.6	13	54%	6	1	0	0	1	2	3	3	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	21.3	6	43%	3	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	14.8	8	57%	8	0	0	0	1	2	6	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Sprain
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	52%	54	28	5	2	8	17	20	34	20-22	91%	30-53	57%	12-46	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.99 49.5%

MIN

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

63%

MIN

57%

Midrange

OKC

37%

MIN

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

10.5

24%

36%

MIN

18.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

OKC

83%

MIN

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	24	46%	12.0 / 26
J. Williams	20	53%	10.0 / 19
L. Dort	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Holmgren	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Hartenstein	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Wiggins	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Flagler	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Joe	1	8%	0.5 / 6
J. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Ducas	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	27	75%	13.5 / 18
A. Edwards	23	50%	11.5 / 23
J. McDaniels	21	55%	10.5 / 19
N. Alexander-Walker	14	64%	7.0 / 11
T. Shannon	13	54%	6.5 / 12
L. Garza	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Dillingham	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Clark	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Minott	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Newton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 8 115.7	OKC 104.1 MIN 118.4 +14.2
Pace	5 100.9 25 98.1	OKC 100.4 +5.5 MIN 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 11 14.8	OKC 14.3 −0.8 MIN 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 10 55.4%	OKC 46.0% MIN 48.5% +2.5%
TO %	1 10.9% 19 13.9%	OKC 9.2% MIN 8.4% −0.8%
ORB %	21 24.2% 14 25.7%	OKC 26.1% MIN 35.1% +9.0%
FTrt	28 22.0 11 24.9	OKC 27.3 +5.1 MIN 22.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 11 63.7%	OKC 67.6% +0.9% MIN 66.7%
STL %	1 10.2% 16 8.1%	OKC 4.1% MIN 5.1% +1.0%
BLK %	2 11.9% 14 9.5%	OKC 13.2% +9.8% MIN 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 11 57.3%	OKC 49.5% MIN 51.8% +2.3%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 12 64.8%	OKC 62.5% +6.0% MIN 56.5%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 27 39.5%	OKC 37.0% MIN 56.7% +19.7%
3P %	6 37.4% 4 37.7%	OKC 24.1% MIN 26.1% +2.0%
FT %	1 81.9% 10 78.9%	OKC 83.3% MIN 90.9% +7.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 12 32.2%	OKC 36.4% +13.1% MIN 23.2%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 6 22.3%	OKC 30.7% MIN 30.3% −0.4%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 6 45.5%	OKC 33.0% MIN 46.5% +13.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	MIN
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	101	116
Rebounds	49	54
Assists	25	28
Steals	4	5
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	8 (2)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	20 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	34 (5)
Field Goals	37-88	42-99
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	13-23
Midrange FG	10-27	17-30
2-Point FG	30-59	30-53
3-Point FG	7-29	12-46
Free Throws	20-24	20-22
Fast Break Pts	12	10
2nd Chance Pts	11	23
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	8
Bench Points	22	27
Biggest Lead	0	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg