Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Grizzlies	55%	121	113	111.9	101	107.5
	10	Pacers	45%	119	127	124.5	102	96.2

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+20

-13

108

IND

+11

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.3%

IND

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.1	23	68%	5	7	0	2	3	4	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	30.3	12	35%	0	6	0	0	5	3	0	0	4-5	80%	4-12	33%	0-3	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	29.9	18	60%	7	4	0	2	1	5	0	7	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	27.5	17	77%	4	0	1	0	0	2	2	2	8-8	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.9	5	42%	11	1	0	1	1	1	4	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	24.7	10	36%	7	3	1	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	20.4	7	50%	6	2	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	19.6	6	60%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	16.5	9	45%	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	10.0	4	67%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	1.5	2	100%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #99 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	46	28	6	7	13	19	12	34	19-22	86%	29-60	48%	12-39	31%

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4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.1	23	68%	5	7	0	2	3	4	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	30.3	12	35%	0	6	0	0	5	3	0	0	4-5	80%	4-12	33%	0-3	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	29.9	18	60%	7	4	0	2	1	5	0	7	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	27.5	17	77%	4	0	1	0	0	2	2	2	8-8	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.9	5	42%	11	1	0	1	1	1	4	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	24.7	10	36%	7	3	1	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	20.4	7	50%	6	2	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	19.6	6	60%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	16.5	9	45%	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	10.0	4	67%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	1.5	2	100%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #99 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	46	28	6	7	13	19	12	34	19-22	86%	29-60	48%	12-39	31%

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10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	32.5	17	50%	10	2	1	7	0	2	1	9	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	32.4	22	65%	5	9	1	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	4-11	36%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	29.9	11	55%	3	4	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	28.1	16	57%	4	2	0	0	1	4	1	3	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.3	13	72%	7	1	0	1	0	3	3	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	24.4	16	80%	4	1	2	1	1	0	1	3	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	19.9	12	86%	5	1	0	0	3	1	0	5	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	15.7	7	88%	2	7	0	1	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	15.5	6	60%	5	1	0	1	1	1	2	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	14.3	7	58%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jahlil Okafor #15 · C · 6'11" 260 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	62%	46	29	6	12	10	20	9	37	18-22	82%	29-46	63%	17-45	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.3%

IND

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

IND

92%

Midrange

MEM

46%

IND

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

31%

46%

IND

25.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

IND

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Jackson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Wells	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Morant	12	35%	6.0 / 17
S. Aldama	10	36%	5.0 / 14
G. Jackson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
V. Williams	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Kennard	6	60%	3.0 / 5
Z. Edey	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Clarke	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Pippen	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	22	65%	11.0 / 17
M. Turner	17	50%	8.5 / 17
P. Siakam	16	57%	8.0 / 14
B. Mathurin	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Nesmith	13	72%	6.5 / 9
O. Toppin	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Nembhard	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. McConnell	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Sheppard	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Bryant	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 9 115.3	MEM 111.9 IND 124.5 +12.6
Pace	1 103.7 6 100.9	MEM 107.5 +11.3 IND 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 24 14.0	MEM 13.4 −1.6 IND 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 4 56.2%	MEM 47.5% IND 59.9% +12.4%
TO %	25 14.4% 3 12.0%	MEM 10.7% IND 9.8% −0.9%
ORB %	3 28.7% 29 21.3%	MEM 24.5% +3.6% IND 20.9%
FTrt	10 24.9 17 24.1	MEM 22.2 IND 24.2 +2.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 8 67.1%	MEM 68.3% +5.3% IND 63.0%
STL %	7 8.5% 10 8.3%	MEM 5.9% IND 5.9%
BLK %	3 10.8% 8 10.2%	MEM 15.2% IND 20.0% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 7 57.6%	MEM 52.3% IND 61.7% +9.4%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 6 66.7%	MEM 58.3% IND 91.7% +33.4%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 6 45.8%	MEM 45.8% IND 52.9% +7.1%
3P %	12 36.7% 9 36.8%	MEM 30.8% IND 37.8% +7.0%
FT %	12 78.6% 9 78.9%	MEM 86.4% +4.6% IND 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 17 31.4%	MEM 12.1% IND 13.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 24 28.6%	MEM 48.5% IND 37.4% −11.1%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 21 40.0%	MEM 39.4% IND 49.5% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	IND
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	113	127
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	28	29
Steals	6	6
Blocks	7	12
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (8)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	41-99	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	7-12	11-12
Midrange FG	22-48	18-34
2-Point FG	29-60	29-46
3-Point FG	12-39	17-45
Free Throws	19-22	18-22
Fast Break Pts	15	28
2nd Chance Pts	20	10
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	19
Bench Points	38	48
Biggest Lead	13	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg