Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 21, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Grizzlies	60%	113	105	101.9	103	117.4
	18	Magic	40%	109	104	103.0	101	90.0

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+18

-14

107

ORL

+18

-12

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.98 49.1%

ORL

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	36.3	16	57%	7	2	2	0	3	3	0	7	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	33.4	23	48%	4	5	1	0	7	3	1	3	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	1-7	14%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	26.9	16	44%	4	1	1	3	0	4	0	4	10-11	91%	3-7	43%	0-6	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	16.7	7	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	12.2	2	50%	6	0	0	2	2	4	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	31.3	9	45%	11	4	0	2	0	2	4	7	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.6	13	59%	11	2	1	0	1	2	4	7	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	22.1	5	36%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	17.3	12	100%	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	17.3	2	25%	3	3	1	0	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Johnny Davis #99 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	53	22	7	7	14	26	15	38	22-29	76%	31-59	53%	7-33	21%

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4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	36.3	16	57%	7	2	2	0	3	3	0	7	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	33.4	23	48%	4	5	1	0	7	3	1	3	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	1-7	14%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	26.9	16	44%	4	1	1	3	0	4	0	4	10-11	91%	3-7	43%	0-6	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	16.7	7	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	12.2	2	50%	6	0	0	2	2	4	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	31.3	9	45%	11	4	0	2	0	2	4	7	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.6	13	59%	11	2	1	0	1	2	4	7	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	22.1	5	36%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	17.3	12	100%	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	17.3	2	25%	3	3	1	0	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Johnny Davis #99 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	53	22	7	7	14	26	15	38	22-29	76%	31-59	53%	7-33	21%

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18 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	38.1	25	60%	6	3	1	2	3	1	1	5	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	2-7	29%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	33.6	17	61%	9	7	2	1	3	2	3	6	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	33.5	9	56%	2	3	1	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	29.3	10	42%	11	0	2	0	3	4	7	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.0	21	39%	6	2	0	1	1	4	0	6	10-13	77%	4-15	27%	1-6	17%

Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	18.9	4	100%	5	0	0	4	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	17.2	8	50%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	15.3	0	0%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	12.8	7	117%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	12.4	3	38%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	50	23	7	9	12	21	13	37	23-33	70%	27-57	47%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.98 49.1%

ORL

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

55%

ORL

61%

Midrange

MEM

50%

ORL

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

10.5

21%

32%

ORL

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

MEM

76%

ORL

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	23	48%	11.5 / 24
D. Bane	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Jackson	16	44%	8.0 / 18
B. Clarke	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Jackson	12	100%	6.0 / 6
S. Aldama	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Wells	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Kennard	5	36%	2.5 / 7
Z. Edey	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Pippen	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	25	60%	12.5 / 21
P. Banchero	21	39%	10.5 / 27
C. Anthony	17	61%	8.5 / 14
W. Carter	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. da Silva	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Harris	7	117%	3.5 / 3
G. Bitadze	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Howard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Black	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 27 109.1	MEM 101.9 ORL 103.0 +1.0
Pace	1 103.7 30 96.4	MEM 117.4 +27.4 ORL 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 1 15.5	MEM 12.3 −3.7 ORL 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 29 51.0%	MEM 45.1% ORL 46.0% +0.9%
TO %	25 14.4% 18 13.5%	MEM 12.5% ORL 12.0% −0.5%
ORB %	3 28.7% 17 25.3%	MEM 28.8% +3.3% ORL 25.5%
FTrt	10 24.9 2 26.9	MEM 31.5 ORL 37.5 +6.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 25 60.3%	MEM 57.9% ORL 63.9% +6.0%
STL %	7 8.5% 6 9.2%	MEM 6.8% ORL 6.9% +0.1%
BLK %	3 10.8% 1 11.9%	MEM 12.3% ORL 15.3% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 28 53.3%	MEM 49.1% +0.5% ORL 48.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 19 63.6%	MEM 54.8% ORL 61.1% +6.3%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 22 41.4%	MEM 50.0% +26.2% ORL 23.8%
3P %	12 36.7% 30 31.8%	MEM 21.2% ORL 29.0% +7.8%
FT %	12 78.6% 19 77.5%	MEM 75.9% +6.2% ORL 69.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 15 31.5%	MEM 33.7% ORL 40.9% +7.2%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 19 27.4%	MEM 30.4% ORL 23.9% −6.6%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 18 41.1%	MEM 35.9% +0.6% ORL 35.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	MEM	ORL
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	21.1	26.9
Points	105	104
Rebounds	53	50
Assists	22	23
Steals	7	7
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	26	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	37 (2)
Field Goals	38-92	36-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	22-36
Midrange FG	14-28	5-21
2-Point FG	31-59	27-57
3-Point FG	7-33	9-31
Free Throws	22-29	23-33
Fast Break Pts	9	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	22
Points in Paint	56	52
Pts off Turnovers	15	21
Bench Points	41	22
Biggest Lead	12	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg