Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 21, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Bucks	62%	115	104	103.0	101	96.1
	30	Wizards	38%	111	101	99.0	102	107.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+10

-16

WAS

+14

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.09 54.7%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Green #20 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25	37.1	9	50%	3	3	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	34.4	19	48%	8	5	1	0	2	4	2	6	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-7	29%
Ryan Rollins #13 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 23	33.7	15	75%	4	4	3	1	2	4	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	30.2	18	75%	9	2	1	2	1	2	2	7	6-8	75%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	19.3	18	64%	6	3	1	1	7	6	2	4	6-11	55%	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	30.1	9	35%	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-7	0%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	23.5	12	55%	3	3	3	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	17.8	0	0%	5	1	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	10.9	4	67%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	NWT - League Suspension
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	INACTIVE
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	44	24	11	6	16	24	8	36	17-26	65%	30-50	60%	9-32	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Green #20 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25	37.1	9	50%	3	3	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	34.4	19	48%	8	5	1	0	2	4	2	6	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-7	29%
Ryan Rollins #13 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 23	33.7	15	75%	4	4	3	1	2	4	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	30.2	18	75%	9	2	1	2	1	2	2	7	6-8	75%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	19.3	18	64%	6	3	1	1	7	6	2	4	6-11	55%	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	30.1	9	35%	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-7	0%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	23.5	12	55%	3	3	3	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	17.8	0	0%	5	1	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	10.9	4	67%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	NWT - League Suspension
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	INACTIVE
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	44	24	11	6	16	24	8	36	17-26	65%	30-50	60%	9-32	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	34.4	4	17%	9	5	1	2	0	3	1	8	1-2	50%	0-6	0%	1-5	20%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	31.0	11	39%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 21	30.8	7	50%	5	4	0	0	1	3	3	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.9	22	50%	7	1	2	1	2	4	1	6	2-6	33%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%
Khris Middleton #32 · SG · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.5	12	55%	5	2	2	0	2	2	0	5	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	23.5	8	50%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	23.2	16	73%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	18.9	7	58%	6	3	0	1	2	3	2	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	17.0	5	83%	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	7.7	5	83%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.1	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Erik Stevenson #30 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	INACTIVE
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	42	25	9	4	14	21	8	34	19-27	70%	23-48	48%	12-39	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.09 54.7%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

73%

WAS

52%

Midrange

MIL

50%

WAS

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

13.5

28%

42%

WAS

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

MIL

65%

WAS

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	19	48%	9.5 / 20
B. Lopez	18	75%	9.0 / 12
G. Antetokounmpo	18	64%	9.0 / 14
R. Rollins	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Porter	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Green	9	50%	4.5 / 9
G. Trent	9	35%	4.5 / 13
P. Connaughton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	22	50%	11.0 / 22
C. Kispert	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Middleton	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Poole	11	39%	5.5 / 14
B. Carrington	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Coulibaly	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Holmes	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Smart	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Champagnie	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. George	4	17%	2.0 / 12
T. Vukcevic	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 30 105.8	MIL 103.0 +4.0 WAS 99.0
Pace	14 99.9 4 101.8	MIL 96.1 WAS 107.5 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 23 14.0	MIL 15.0 WAS 13.4 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 28 51.2%	MIL 53.0% +5.9% WAS 47.1%
TO %	7 12.7% 27 14.6%	MIL 15.4% WAS 12.4% −3.0%
ORB %	30 19.3% 25 22.7%	MIL 19.0% +0.8% WAS 18.2%
FTrt	3 26.8 26 22.9	MIL 31.7 +0.7 WAS 31.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 12 63.7%	MIL 61.5% WAS 71.4% +9.9%
STL %	27 7.3% 25 7.4%	MIL 10.9% +2.1% WAS 8.8%
BLK %	20 9.1% 12 9.6%	MIL 12.5% +4.5% WAS 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 29 53.2%	MIL 54.7% +5.2% WAS 49.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 17 63.7%	MIL 72.7% +20.5% WAS 52.2%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 30 38.0%	MIL 50.0% +6.0% WAS 44.0%
3P %	1 38.7% 29 33.5%	MIL 28.1% WAS 30.8% +2.7%
FT %	28 75.0% 16 77.8%	MIL 65.4% WAS 70.4% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 21 30.5%	MIL 26.8% +0.4% WAS 26.4%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 11 25.9%	MIL 34.1% WAS 28.7% −5.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 10 43.6%	MIL 39.0% WAS 44.8% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	WAS
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	104	101
Rebounds	44	42
Assists	24	25
Steals	11	9
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	34 (5)
Field Goals	39-82	35-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-22	12-23
Midrange FG	14-28	11-25
2-Point FG	30-50	23-48
3-Point FG	9-32	12-39
Free Throws	17-26	19-27
Fast Break Pts	17	10
2nd Chance Pts	4	12
Points in Paint	50	34
Pts off Turnovers	16	10
Bench Points	25	45
Biggest Lead	15	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg