Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pelicans35%110103
21Mavericks65%116111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 24.6
27.4
19.1
29
73%
7
3
2
1
0
3
3
4
7-11
64%
11-15
6-11
73%
58%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
23.5
7.9
4
33%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Yves Missi
C · 7'0" 235 · 20.8
23.8
21.8
6
38%
10
1
0
0
4
3
5
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
0-0
-
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.7
36.2
36.0
20
50%
6
6
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-11
5-8
27%
57%
4-8
50%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.4
30.3
28.8
16
45%
6
5
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-4
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 26.9
30.5
27.9
8
47%
7
4
3
2
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.5
21.8
18.7
6
38%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
21.1
20.3
5
32%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Karlo Matković
F-C · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
21.0
21.1
9
61%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Antonio Reeves
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.3
4.5
14.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 24.3
11.4
0
1-2
54%
Keion Brooks Jr.
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 28.4
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.9
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 26.4
Brandon Boston
G · 6'6" 188 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 35.0
25.3
18.8
12
55%
3
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
52%
4-7
57%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 26.5
36.6
11.9
24
58%
7
3
2
0
1
1
1
6
5-8
63%
5-9
2-3
56%
55%
3-8
38%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 24.5
12.5
27.4
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Danté Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 29.6
20.7
16.3
4
25%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
54%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 32.9
37.2
26.8
35
69%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
8-8
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
57%
5-12
42%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
31.8
34.1
16
102%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
54%
2-3
67%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
24.9
27.0
0
0%
4
7
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
0-5
0%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
24.2
27.9
15
74%
10
1
0
1
0
1
0
10
4-5
80%
4-5
4-6
80%
58%
1-3
33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
15.3
21.0
1
13%
7
1
1
1
0
0
4
3
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Moses Brown
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.4
11.5
1.8
2
50%
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
59%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.3
14.0
0
2-3
51%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 22.6
11.4
0
1-3
51%
Kylor Kelley
C · 7'0" 215 · 27.5
3.5
0
0-1
62%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 26.4
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.4
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 21.0
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.