Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder82%121130
28Jazz18%107107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
28.4
30.3
18
60%
9
4
2
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
2-7
7-12
29%
59%
4-7
57%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.8
27.9
24.4
20
57%
7
1
0
1
3
2
4
3
5-6
83%
6-11
4-6
55%
63%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
25.0
26.3
8
40%
13
4
0
1
1
1
4
9
0-0
-
4-10
5-7
40%
64%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.8
26.2
29.1
6
38%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-4
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.6
32.0
32.9
21
56%
2
8
1
2
3
3
0
2
6-6
100%
6-12
9-16
50%
58%
1-4
25%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
22.2
17.9
10
83%
3
5
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
2-4
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.1
21.6
24.9
12
68%
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
61%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.6
18.4
23.6
15
76%
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
3-6
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
17.7
16.3
8
100%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
2-2
100%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
9.8
18.4
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
2-3
67%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.8
2.7
16.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-1
0%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
2.7
9.5
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
1-3
33%
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
2.7
4.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
61%
1-1
100%
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
2.7
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
15.0
0
1-2
54%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.5
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 27.8
29.3
31.3
5
18%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
53%
1-7
14%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
31.3
31.4
26
59%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-7
43%
10-14
5-8
71%
57%
1-5
20%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.6
31.6
23.3
4
41%
19
1
1
0
1
2
6
13
0-2
0%
2-4
4-6
50%
67%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 32.7
29.9
28.3
19
58%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
4-10
40%
Isaiah Collier
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
28.5
28.7
9
45%
3
12
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.3
30.6
31.2
20
75%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
5-8
63%
Kyle Filipowski
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
16.4
20.8
12
87%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
56%
2-4
50%
Cody Williams
F · 6'8" 190 · 20.3
16.0
13.7
3
34%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-1
0%
KJ Martin
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
15.7
8.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
59%
0-2
0%
Jaden Springer
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.4
10.7
3.0
7
122%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 27.7
15.7
0
1-2
48%
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
14.4
0
1-2
48%
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
11.5
0
1-2
52%
Elijah Harkless
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.1
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.3
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 26.1
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 25.2
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.