Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Warriors49%117132
11Kings51%118108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.7
28.5
29.1
22
96%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
57%
5-8
63%
Jimmy Butler III
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.4
31.6
30.3
17
65%
3
7
3
1
0
0
2
1
7-7
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.0
28.4
29.4
6
43%
8
9
0
1
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-2
0%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.0
30.1
30.8
21
51%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
53%
2-9
22%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.9
30.8
33.2
20
72%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
54%
4-9
44%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 31.2
25.8
22.7
22
96%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
5-8
63%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.2
15.3
9.4
4
100%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
65%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.0
14.3
15.3
2
20%
5
1
2
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
59%
0-0
-
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 24.9
13.7
12.1
9
90%
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
3-3
100%
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
12.7
13.1
0
0%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-2
0%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.5
3.0
10.7
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
3.0
7.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
3.0
2.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
62%
0-0
-
Jackson Rowe
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.4
Yuri Collins
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.5
33.9
34.5
34
92%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
10-10
100%
6-7
6-12
86%
52%
4-7
57%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
33.7
31.0
13
65%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
57%
3-5
60%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.8
31.5
34.1
14
64%
14
9
1
1
0
4
3
11
1-2
50%
5-7
6-10
71%
62%
1-3
33%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
33.8
34.7
13
52%
5
3
1
1
0
5
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
54%
2-7
29%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
30.2
35.2
13
59%
0
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
54%
1-4
25%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 25.1
23.7
25.0
2
15%
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
58%
0-4
0%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
16.0
10.5
0
0%
4
0
2
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
9.6
6.6
8
80%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
9.1
14.4
6
61%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.3
8.5
10.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
3.6
1.9
3
104%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
3.6
1.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
3.0
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.6
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.1
2.0
0
0-0
55%
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.