Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	22%	102	90	92.8	97	101.9
	16	Magic	78%	114	110	113.4	97	92.6

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+11

-20

ORL

+20

-13

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.1%

ORL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	34.6	11	46%	2	6	1	0	5	3	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	30.8	6	38%	6	0	0	1	0	3	3	3	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 31	28.7	11	79%	10	1	0	2	4	4	1	9	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	28.4	16	47%	3	4	2	0	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	3-9	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.2	9	41%	2	3	0	1	2	4	0	2	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	28.9	13	72%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	3-3	100%	5-5	100%	0-4	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.8	9	35%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	19.2	12	75%	5	2	1	0	3	2	0	5	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	7.2	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jalen McDaniels #26 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	6.2	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear; Injury Management
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	36	22	5	4	20	23	4	32	16-22	73%	22-40	55%	10-38	26%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	34.6	11	46%	2	6	1	0	5	3	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	30.8	6	38%	6	0	0	1	0	3	3	3	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 31	28.7	11	79%	10	1	0	2	4	4	1	9	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	28.4	16	47%	3	4	2	0	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	3-9	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.2	9	41%	2	3	0	1	2	4	0	2	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	28.9	13	72%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	3-3	100%	5-5	100%	0-4	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.8	9	35%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	19.2	12	75%	5	2	1	0	3	2	0	5	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	7.2	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jalen McDaniels #26 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	6.2	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear; Injury Management
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	36	22	5	4	20	23	4	32	16-22	73%	22-40	55%	10-38	26%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	30.6	23	52%	7	5	2	0	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	10-15	67%	1-7	14%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.6	19	59%	5	5	0	1	3	1	2	3	8-9	89%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	22.9	5	42%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	20.8	5	25%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	0-7	0%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	20.3	11	79%	9	2	1	1	3	3	1	8	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	27.2	23	82%	7	3	1	1	2	4	0	7	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	4-5	80%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	21.7	11	79%	9	3	2	0	1	1	5	4	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	15.9	0	0%	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	12.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	9.9	5	50%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	9.8	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	6.4	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	6.0	2	33%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	53%	47	25	9	5	13	23	14	33	19-22	86%	29-58	50%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.1%

ORL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

64%

ORL

61%

Midrange

WAS

44%

ORL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

26%

39%

ORL

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

WAS

73%

ORL

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Carrington	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Vukcevic	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Coulibaly	11	46%	5.5 / 12
R. Holmes	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. George	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Kispert	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Champagnie	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Gill	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	23	52%	11.5 / 22
A. Black	23	82%	11.5 / 14
P. Banchero	19	59%	9.5 / 16
W. Carter	11	79%	5.5 / 7
G. Bitadze	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Anthony	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Howard	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Houstan	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. da Silva	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Queen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Joseph	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 27 109.1	WAS 92.8 ORL 113.4 +20.6
Pace	4 101.8 30 96.4	WAS 101.9 +9.3 ORL 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 1 15.5	WAS 14.1 −1.4 ORL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 29 51.0%	WAS 47.4% ORL 50.6% +3.2%
TO %	27 14.6% 18 13.5%	WAS 18.6% ORL 13.8% −4.8%
ORB %	25 22.7% 17 25.3%	WAS 10.8% ORL 30.4% +19.6%
FTrt	26 22.9 2 26.9	WAS 28.2 +3.8 ORL 24.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 25 60.3%	WAS 68.8% +6.3% ORL 62.5%
STL %	25 7.4% 6 9.2%	WAS 5.2% ORL 9.3% +4.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 1 11.9%	WAS 6.9% ORL 12.5% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 28 53.3%	WAS 51.1% ORL 52.9% +1.8%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 19 63.6%	WAS 63.6% +2.5% ORL 61.1%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 22 41.4%	WAS 44.4% +12.6% ORL 31.8%
3P %	29 33.5% 30 31.8%	WAS 26.3% ORL 34.4% +8.1%
FT %	16 77.8% 19 77.5%	WAS 72.7% ORL 86.4% +13.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 15 31.5%	WAS 28.2% ORL 40.0% +11.8%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 19 27.4%	WAS 23.1% −1.4% ORL 24.4%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 18 41.1%	WAS 48.7% +13.2% ORL 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	WAS	ORL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	90	110
Rebounds	36	47
Assists	22	25
Steals	5	9
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	13 (3)
Fouls	23	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (7)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	33 (4)
Field Goals	32-78	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	22-36
Midrange FG	8-18	7-22
2-Point FG	22-40	29-58
3-Point FG	10-38	11-32
Free Throws	16-22	19-22
Fast Break Pts	16	23
2nd Chance Pts	10	17
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	12	19
Bench Points	37	47
Biggest Lead	6	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg