Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat48%109113
21Bucks52%110120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
40.0
34.4
40
60%
7
11
0
1
0
2
1
6
13-14
93%
9-15
4-9
60%
51%
3-12
25%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 30.0
40.0
32.8
20
43%
6
4
1
1
1
4
2
4
5-7
71%
6-15
4-8
40%
49%
1-5
20%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
36.9
20.5
12
60%
12
4
0
1
1
1
4
8
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
57%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.6
35.3
31.7
24
69%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
8-14
6-11
57%
54%
2-2
100%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
33.5
29.1
5
63%
4
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
20.7
20.6
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
15.3
29.7
7
88%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
9.8
15.9
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
8.5
10.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.6
10.2
0
0-1
43%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
7.1
0
1-2
53%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
6.2
0
0-1
54%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
4.0
0
0-0
52%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.2
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.6
37.8
34.3
28
71%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
5-12
42%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'1" 282 · 36.9
34.3
29.0
17
69%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
3-3
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
58%
2-7
29%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 221 · 29.6
33.6
33.1
16
56%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 243 · 30.2
31.9
23.0
23
64%
16
7
1
1
1
3
3
13
0-0
-
10-16
8-12
63%
62%
1-2
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.9
19.9
29.2
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-3
0%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
30.1
31.1
5
42%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-5
20%
Gary Trent Jr.
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.1
23.4
25.7
16
74%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Jericho Sims
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
13.7
14.5
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
68%
0-0
-
Kevin Porter Jr.
G-F · 6'4" 203 · 24.8
13.6
18.7
11
63%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Jackson Jr.
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.3
1.7
5.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Rollins
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
0.1
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Chris Livingston
F · 6'6" 220 · 21.4
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Liam Robbins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Tyler Smith
F · 6'9" 224 · 20.3
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Stanley Umude
G · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
Pat Connaughton
G · 6'5" 209 · 32.1
Bobby Portis
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.