Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat47%11486
19Hawks53%11598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.6
37.0
33.4
14
47%
5
1
2
1
0
4
3
2
4-4
100%
5-11
7-12
45%
55%
0-2
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 30.0
36.2
35.4
23
67%
4
1
0
1
3
3
2
2
7-7
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
49%
4-9
44%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
35.5
36.9
11
27%
6
3
2
1
0
4
0
6
3-3
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
52%
0-9
0%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
24.1
30.7
6
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
23.9
28.9
8
54%
15
3
0
1
1
0
5
10
0-1
0%
4-5
4-8
80%
58%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
28.0
9.8
14
83%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
9-10
90%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.6
27.2
6.6
5
19%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
1-8
13%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
21.0
21.0
3
25%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
1-5
20%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
7.1
6.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
13.7
0
2-3
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
5.9
0
0-1
55%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
3.6
0
0-0
53%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.2
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.5
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 26.4
37.8
36.2
11
36%
3
14
0
1
1
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
0-7
0%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
33.8
34.9
10
42%
11
2
7
3
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
54%
0-3
0%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
28.9
29.3
17
78%
8
3
2
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
5-7
5-7
71%
65%
2-3
67%
Zaccharie Risacher
F · 6'8" 200 · 19.9
26.4
27.2
2
13%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
53%
0-3
0%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 22.3
15.8
13.2
9
75%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
28.4
23.6
15
55%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Terance Mann
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.4
26.1
15.9
15
73%
2
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
1-3
33%
4-4
1-2
100%
56%
2-5
40%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
23.6
30.6
11
61%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
3-7
43%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 30.8
19.1
17.1
8
50%
11
1
2
0
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Keaton Wallace
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
4.8
0
0-1
51%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
4.4
0
1-1
53%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
3.6
0
0-0
53%
Daeqwon Plowden
G-F · 6'6" 216 · 26.5
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.2
Vít Krejčí
G · 6'8" 195 · 24.7
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.4
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.