Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Timberwolves	20%	102	131	113.9	115	102.3
	2	Thunder	80%	115	128	111.3	115	106.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 24	42.4	27	71%	10	4	2	0	1	2	2	8	9-9	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	40.6	22	46%	11	3	0	0	2	2	2	9	6-6	100%	5-13	38%	2-8	25%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	35.7	17	43%	13	8	0	1	4	4	2	11	6-10	60%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 23	28.6	5	63%	1	2	1	0	0	4	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	14.1	8	80%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	35.1	21	70%	5	3	0	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.0	17	77%	10	1	1	2	1	4	2	8	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	25.6	12	55%	4	5	1	0	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	8.7	2	25%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	5.2	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	56%	54	29	6	5	13	23	11	43	34-39	87%	35-65	54%	9-32	28%

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10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 24	42.4	27	71%	10	4	2	0	1	2	2	8	9-9	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	40.6	22	46%	11	3	0	0	2	2	2	9	6-6	100%	5-13	38%	2-8	25%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	35.7	17	43%	13	8	0	1	4	4	2	11	6-10	60%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 23	28.6	5	63%	1	2	1	0	0	4	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	14.1	8	80%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	35.1	21	70%	5	3	0	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.0	17	77%	10	1	1	2	1	4	2	8	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	25.6	12	55%	4	5	1	0	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	8.7	2	25%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	5.2	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	56%	54	29	6	5	13	23	11	43	34-39	87%	35-65	54%	9-32	28%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	42.5	39	72%	10	8	0	0	4	5	1	9	14-17	82%	8-15	53%	3-5	60%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	42.0	27	52%	6	6	1	1	3	3	2	4	5-6	83%	8-15	53%	2-8	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	34.4	12	55%	6	1	1	0	0	6	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-8	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.6	5	23%	3	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	15.7	4	40%	5	2	0	1	1	3	4	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	29.2	19	56%	7	0	2	1	0	4	3	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	24.2	5	31%	4	4	2	2	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	18.1	9	64%	3	2	3	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	17.8	6	100%	6	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	12.4	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	INACTIVE
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	128	53%	53	27	10	8	11	30	16	37	23-29	79%	30-57	53%	15-49	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.13 56.5%

OKC

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

24

38

63%

OKC

20

34

59%

Midrange

MIN

11

27

41%

OKC

10

23

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

9

13.5

32

28%

42%

OKC

15

22.5

49

31%

46%

Free Throws

MIN

34

39

87%

OKC

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McDaniels	27	71%	13.5 / 19
N. Reid	22	46%	11.0 / 24
N. Alexander-Walker	21	70%	10.5 / 15
A. Edwards	17	43%	8.5 / 20
T. Shannon	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Dillingham	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Conley	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Clark	5	63%	2.5 / 4
L. Garza	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	39	72%	19.5 / 27
J. Williams	27	52%	13.5 / 26
A. Wiggins	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Wallace	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Joe	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Williams	6	100%	3.0 / 3
L. Dort	5	23%	2.5 / 11
A. Caruso	5	31%	2.5 / 8
I. Hartenstein	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 3 119.2	MIN 113.9 +2.6 OKC 111.3
Pace	25 98.1 5 100.9	MIN 102.3 OKC 106.1 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 25 13.9	MIN 14.1 OKC 13.6 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 7 56.0%	MIN 50.0% +0.5% OKC 49.5%
TO %	19 13.9% 1 10.9%	MIN 10.2% OKC 8.5% −1.7%
ORB %	14 25.7% 21 24.2%	MIN 22.9% OKC 27.1% +4.2%
FTrt	11 24.9 28 22.0	MIN 40.2 +12.8 OKC 27.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 26 60.2%	MIN 65.9% +5.9% OKC 60.0%
STL %	16 8.1% 1 10.2%	MIN 5.2% OKC 8.7% +3.5%
BLK %	14 9.5% 2 11.9%	MIN 8.8% OKC 12.3% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 4 57.9%	MIN 56.5% +4.0% OKC 52.5%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 10 65.7%	MIN 63.2% +4.4% OKC 58.8%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 7 45.7%	MIN 40.7% OKC 43.5% +2.8%
3P %	4 37.7% 6 37.4%	MIN 28.1% OKC 30.6% +2.5%
FT %	10 78.9% 1 81.9%	MIN 87.2% +7.9% OKC 79.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 26 29.5%	MIN 39.2% +7.1% OKC 32.1%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 25 28.6%	MIN 27.8% OKC 21.7% −6.1%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 16 41.9%	MIN 33.0% OKC 46.2% +13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	OKC
Possessions	115	115
Possession Minutes	27.0	26.0
Points	131	128
Rebounds	54	53
Assists	29	27
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	23	30
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (3)	37 (3)
Field Goals	44-97	45-106
At-the-Rim FG	24-38	20-34
Midrange FG	11-27	10-23
2-Point FG	35-65	30-57
3-Point FG	9-32	15-49
Free Throws	34-39	23-29
Fast Break Pts	11	20
2nd Chance Pts	20	12
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	11
Bench Points	52	41
Biggest Lead	3	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg