Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Timberwolves20%102131
2Thunder80%115128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Clark
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.4
28.6
18.7
5
64%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'10" 185 · 24.4
42.4
38.3
27
68%
10
4
2
1
0
1
2
8
9-9
100%
9-16
5-9
56%
55%
0-0
-
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 25.5
40.6
36.1
22
47%
11
3
0
1
0
2
2
9
6-6
100%
5-13
5-8
38%
54%
2-8
25%
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.6
35.7
37.2
17
44%
13
8
0
1
1
4
2
11
6-10
60%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 37.4
14.1
24.9
8
80%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-4
50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.5
35.1
34.6
21
72%
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
5-6
83%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
2-4
50%
Terrence Shannon Jr.
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
29.0
18.4
17
75%
10
1
1
0
2
1
2
8
3-3
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
47%
0-1
0%
Rob Dillingham
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.1
25.6
10.8
12
53%
4
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Luka Garza
C · 6'10" 243 · 26.2
8.7
10.0
2
25%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 37.4
5.2
2.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Leonard Miller
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.2
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Tristen Newton
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
Jesse Edwards
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.9
28.6
29.3
5
23%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
1-5
20%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
42.0
32.1
27
53%
6
6
1
1
1
3
2
4
5-6
83%
8-15
6-11
53%
56%
2-8
25%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
15.7
25.0
4
41%
5
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
61%
0-1
0%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
34.4
21.0
12
55%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
57%
2-8
25%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.6
42.5
34.4
39
71%
10
8
0
2
0
4
1
9
14-17
82%
8-15
9-16
53%
57%
3-5
60%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.1
29.2
20.8
19
56%
7
0
2
1
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
7-10
3-4
70%
60%
1-6
17%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
24.2
19.2
5
31%
4
4
2
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.7
18.2
15.4
9
64%
3
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
3-6
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
17.8
5.7
6
100%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
2-3
67%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
12.4
8.3
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
58%
0-3
0%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.8
7.6
0
1-1
58%
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.2
3.7
0
0-0
51%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
3.3
0
0-0
51%
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.8
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.5
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.