Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Blazers	66%	117	114	111.8	102	103.3
	30	Jazz	34%	111	112	109.8	102	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+22

-13

111

UTA

+21

-15

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

UTA

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 31	37.8	20	59%	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	4	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	5-10	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.0	28	56%	2	6	2	0	2	1	0	2	5-5	100%	7-10	70%	3-13	23%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	36.2	8	36%	8	3	1	1	1	4	4	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	35.6	18	45%	14	5	0	0	1	5	5	9	7-11	64%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	25.3	7	58%	13	1	1	2	2	0	3	10	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	30.1	17	57%	5	6	1	0	6	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	17.8	12	46%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	13.8	4	100%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #2 · PF · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	51%	51	26	7	6	13	16	16	35	18-24	75%	27-54	50%	14-44	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 31	37.8	20	59%	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	4	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	5-10	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.0	28	56%	2	6	2	0	2	1	0	2	5-5	100%	7-10	70%	3-13	23%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	36.2	8	36%	8	3	1	1	1	4	4	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	35.6	18	45%	14	5	0	0	1	5	5	9	7-11	64%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	25.3	7	58%	13	1	1	2	2	0	3	10	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	30.1	17	57%	5	6	1	0	6	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	17.8	12	46%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	13.8	4	100%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #2 · PF · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	51%	51	26	7	6	13	16	16	35	18-24	75%	27-54	50%	14-44	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	36.5	20	71%	11	5	2	1	2	2	1	10	4-6	67%	2-7	29%	4-4	100%
KJ Martin #99 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 24	28.4	9	56%	5	2	1	1	1	3	0	5	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 21	26.5	21	81%	4	1	0	0	1	4	1	3	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	4-5	80%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	23.9	6	30%	3	4	0	0	4	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SF · 6'7" 226 · 24	16.6	5	36%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	33.6	21	44%	5	5	2	0	4	0	0	5	5-5	100%	2-8	25%	4-14	29%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	26.9	8	44%	8	5	1	0	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	25.9	12	86%	7	1	1	0	1	3	5	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	21.8	10	36%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis injury management
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	52%	45	24	7	2	15	18	11	34	16-19	84%	21-54	39%	18-44	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

UTA

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

56%

UTA

43%

Midrange

POR

39%

UTA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

32%

48%

UTA

27.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

POR

75%

UTA

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	28	56%	14.0 / 25
J. Grant	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Avdija	18	45%	9.0 / 20
S. Henderson	17	57%	8.5 / 15
S. Sharpe	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Camara	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Clingan	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Walker	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	21	81%	10.5 / 13
K. George	21	44%	10.5 / 24
K. Filipowski	20	71%	10.0 / 14
M. Potter	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Mykhailiuk	10	36%	5.0 / 14
K. Martin	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
I. Collier	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Juzang	5	36%	2.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 24 110.3	POR 111.8 +2.0 UTA 109.8
Pace	16 99.5 7 100.8	POR 103.3 +2.5 UTA 100.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 13 14.7	POR 13.9 −0.3 UTA 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 21 53.3%	POR 49.0% UTA 49.0%
TO %	29 15.1% 30 16.2%	POR 10.7% −1.7% UTA 12.4%
ORB %	2 29.2% 6 26.9%	POR 32.0% +8.1% UTA 23.9%
FTrt	13 24.6 7 25.2	POR 24.5 +5.1 UTA 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 18 63.3%	POR 63.4% +1.9% UTA 61.5%
STL %	13 8.2% 30 6.6%	POR 6.9% UTA 6.9%
BLK %	9 10.0% 25 8.5%	POR 11.1% +7.4% UTA 3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 20 55.4%	POR 51.4% UTA 51.9% +0.5%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 15 63.8%	POR 55.6% +12.3% UTA 43.3%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 17 43.1%	POR 38.9% +5.6% UTA 33.3%
3P %	26 34.2% 22 35.0%	POR 31.8% UTA 40.9% +9.1%
FT %	26 76.2% 22 77.4%	POR 75.0% UTA 84.2% +9.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 27 28.8%	POR 36.7% +6.1% UTA 30.6%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 15 26.2%	POR 18.4% −6.1% UTA 24.5%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 7 44.9%	POR 44.9% UTA 44.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	UTA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	114	112
Rebounds	51	45
Assists	26	24
Steals	7	7
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	11 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (5)	34 (5)
Field Goals	41-98	39-98
At-the-Rim FG	20-36	13-30
Midrange FG	7-18	8-24
2-Point FG	27-54	21-54
3-Point FG	14-44	18-44
Free Throws	18-24	16-19
Fast Break Pts	15	15
2nd Chance Pts	18	17
Points in Paint	52	36
Pts off Turnovers	23	14
Bench Points	33	51
Biggest Lead	13	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg