Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Hornets	26%	106	88	88.9	99	100.1
	12	Kings	74%	116	130	131.3	99	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+19

-19

SAC

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.89 44.4%

SAC

1.35 67.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.7	13	43%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	30.1	23	57%	6	1	0	1	4	0	2	4	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	4-8	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	28.6	13	41%	6	9	1	0	3	4	3	3	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	1-7	14%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	26.9	12	75%	9	3	3	1	4	1	1	8	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	25.0	3	25%	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	26.4	4	22%	2	4	4	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	23.2	4	33%	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	21.1	12	50%	7	0	2	0	1	1	5	2	2-4	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	14.4	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	11.6	4	67%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Management
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	37	24	14	4	19	16	15	22	18-24	75%	20-45	44%	10-40	25%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.7	13	43%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	30.1	23	57%	6	1	0	1	4	0	2	4	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	4-8	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	28.6	13	41%	6	9	1	0	3	4	3	3	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	1-7	14%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	26.9	12	75%	9	3	3	1	4	1	1	8	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	25.0	3	25%	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	26.4	4	22%	2	4	4	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	23.2	4	33%	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	21.1	12	50%	7	0	2	0	1	1	5	2	2-4	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	14.4	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	11.6	4	67%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Management
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	37	24	14	4	19	16	15	22	18-24	75%	20-45	44%	10-40	25%

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12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	31.4	13	46%	4	10	1	2	5	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	31.0	42	105%	3	2	1	0	3	0	0	3	2-3	67%	8-10	80%	8-9	89%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	30.6	18	60%	7	3	1	0	1	1	1	6	8-8	100%	2-9	22%	2-3	67%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	27.3	7	44%	10	7	0	0	4	2	2	8	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	25.4	10	56%	5	0	2	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%

Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	18.2	5	36%	3	1	3	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	16.4	0	0%	2	5	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	14.1	6	60%	8	1	1	1	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	13.0	8	133%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	9.3	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	6.7	9	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	6.7	2	50%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	3.5	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	68%	49	30	12	4	18	18	11	38	16-18	89%	27-49	55%	20-38	53%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.89 44.4%

SAC

1.35 67.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

67%

SAC

74%

Midrange

CHA

36%

SAC

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

15.0

25%

38%

SAC

30.0

53%

79%

Free Throws

CHA

75%

SAC

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	23	57%	11.5 / 20
N. Smith	13	43%	6.5 / 15
L. Ball	13	41%	6.5 / 16
J. Nurkić	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Diabaté	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Baugh	4	22%	2.0 / 9
T. Salaün	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Moore	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Green	3	25%	1.5 / 6
E. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	42	105%	21.0 / 20
D. DeRozan	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Monk	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Murray	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Carter	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Lyles	8	133%	4.0 / 3
D. Sabonis	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Ellis	6	150%	3.0 / 2
M. Fultz	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Jones	4	67%	2.0 / 3
I. Crawford	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 7 115.9	CHA 88.9 SAC 131.3 +42.4
Pace	23 98.2 19 98.9	CHA 100.1 +2.1 SAC 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 15 14.4	CHA 14.4 −0.3 SAC 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 15 54.8%	CHA 41.2% SAC 65.5% +24.3%
TO %	28 15.1% 6 12.6%	CHA 16.6% SAC 15.9% −0.7%
ORB %	8 26.5% 16 25.4%	CHA 28.3% SAC 33.3% +5.0%
FTrt	27 22.2 21 23.5	CHA 28.2 +7.5 SAC 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 22 61.5%	CHA 80.0% +16.2% SAC 63.8%
STL %	24 7.5% 23 7.6%	CHA 14.1% +2.0% SAC 12.1%
BLK %	18 9.2% 23 8.8%	CHA 8.2% SAC 8.9% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 15 56.8%	CHA 44.4% SAC 67.7% +23.3%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 2 67.6%	CHA 66.7% SAC 73.7% +7.0%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 4 46.0%	CHA 36.4% SAC 43.3% +6.9%
3P %	28 33.9% 19 35.7%	CHA 25.0% SAC 52.6% +27.6%
FT %	14 78.3% 4 80.6%	CHA 75.0% SAC 88.9% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 28 26.8%	CHA 14.1% SAC 21.8% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 29 34.1%	CHA 38.8% SAC 34.5% −4.3%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 23 39.1%	CHA 47.1% +3.4% SAC 43.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	CHA	SAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	88	130
Rebounds	37	49
Assists	24	30
Steals	14	12
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (4)	38 (1)
Field Goals	30-85	47-87
At-the-Rim FG	8-12	14-19
Midrange FG	12-33	13-30
2-Point FG	20-45	27-49
3-Point FG	10-40	20-38
Free Throws	18-24	16-18
Fast Break Pts	10	31
2nd Chance Pts	12	19
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	30
Bench Points	24	40
Biggest Lead	6	45

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg