Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Hornets	13%	101	92	90.2	102	97.0
	6	Warriors	87%	118	128	125.5	102	107.6

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+23

-24

101

GSW

+19

-11

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.91 45.5%

GSW

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	35.6	16	44%	6	2	2	0	3	1	4	2	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	1-7	14%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.6	9	38%	2	2	1	1	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.1	9	32%	7	2	0	0	6	2	1	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	0-5	0%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	25.1	12	50%	12	0	0	3	3	3	4	8	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	24.7	6	75%	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	28.6	9	30%	5	5	2	0	5	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-7	14%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	28.0	12	75%	10	0	0	0	3	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	22.5	5	63%	5	3	0	2	1	1	2	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	16.8	14	70%	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	50	18	7	8	24	15	18	32	15-18	83%	22-49	45%	11-40	28%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	35.6	16	44%	6	2	2	0	3	1	4	2	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	1-7	14%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.6	9	38%	2	2	1	1	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.1	9	32%	7	2	0	0	6	2	1	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	0-5	0%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	25.1	12	50%	12	0	0	3	3	3	4	8	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	24.7	6	75%	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	28.6	9	30%	5	5	2	0	5	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-7	14%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	28.0	12	75%	10	0	0	0	3	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	22.5	5	63%	5	3	0	2	1	1	2	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	16.8	14	70%	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	50	18	7	8	24	15	18	32	15-18	83%	22-49	45%	11-40	28%

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6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	24.6	10	71%	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	23.6	15	54%	4	6	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-9	22%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	22.9	15	58%	6	6	3	2	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Moses Moody #4 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	22.6	13	108%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	18.9	6	38%	8	5	1	0	0	0	2	6	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	19.5	16	73%	2	1	2	0	2	0	1	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	4-9	44%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	19.4	3	25%	5	6	2	0	2	2	3	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.7	8	44%	3	2	2	0	2	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	14.7	12	75%	5	3	1	2	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	14.3	14	78%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	13.1	4	50%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	10.1	6	33%	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Yuri Collins #99 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 24	10.1	0	0%	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	8.4	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	51	40	16	5	11	20	16	35	15-18	83%	34-58	59%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.91 45.5%

GSW

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

59%

GSW

63%

Midrange

CHA

38%

GSW

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

16.5

28%

41%

GSW

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

CHA

83%

GSW

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Simpson	16	44%	8.0 / 18
S. Curry	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Williams	12	50%	6.0 / 12
W. Moore	12	75%	6.0 / 8
N. Smith	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Bridges	9	32%	4.5 / 14
D. Baugh	9	30%	4.5 / 15
J. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Diabaté	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	16	73%	8.0 / 11
S. Curry	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Green	15	58%	7.5 / 13
G. Payton	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Moody	13	108%	6.5 / 6
K. Knox	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Podziemski	10	71%	5.0 / 7
Q. Post	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Butler	6	38%	3.0 / 8
P. Spencer	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Rowe	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Looney	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Santos	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 16 114.2	CHA 90.2 GSW 125.5 +35.3
Pace	23 98.2 17 99.4	CHA 97.0 GSW 107.6 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 18 14.3	CHA 14.9 GSW 13.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 20 53.6%	CHA 43.3% GSW 56.5% +13.2%
TO %	28 15.1% 13 13.2%	CHA 20.5% GSW 10.0% −10.5%
ORB %	8 26.5% 5 27.3%	CHA 34.0% +0.7% GSW 33.3%
FTrt	27 22.2 14 24.4	CHA 20.2 +2.2 GSW 18.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 1 71.4%	CHA 54.5% GSW 81.6% +27.1%
STL %	24 7.5% 3 9.4%	CHA 6.9% GSW 15.7% +8.8%
BLK %	18 9.2% 13 9.5%	CHA 13.8% +3.6% GSW 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 21 55.3%	CHA 45.5% GSW 58.2% +12.7%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 21 62.7%	CHA 58.8% GSW 63.2% +4.4%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 25 39.9%	CHA 37.5% GSW 50.0% +12.5%
3P %	28 33.9% 16 36.4%	CHA 27.5% GSW 35.7% +8.2%
FT %	14 78.3% 25 76.3%	CHA 83.3% GSW 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 23 30.1%	CHA 19.1% GSW 38.0% +18.9%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 7 23.1%	CHA 36.0% GSW 20.0% −16.0%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 2 46.9%	CHA 44.9% +2.9% GSW 42.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	GSW
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.8
Points	92	128
Rebounds	50	51
Assists	18	40
Steals	7	16
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	24 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (5)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	35 (0)
Field Goals	33-89	49-100
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	24-38
Midrange FG	12-32	10-20
2-Point FG	22-49	34-58
3-Point FG	11-40	15-42
Free Throws	15-18	15-18
Fast Break Pts	14	18
2nd Chance Pts	25	16
Points in Paint	38	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	37
Bench Points	40	69
Biggest Lead	5	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg