Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Mavericks	35%	108	99	100.0	99	102.8
	7	Lakers	65%	114	107	108.1	99	95.5

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+17

-12

104

LAL

+16

-14

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.95 47.6%

LAL

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	39.8	35	60%	7	4	3	2	4	1	1	6	6-6	100%	7-16	44%	5-11	45%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	37.1	10	38%	1	6	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	2-4	50%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	34.7	0	0%	10	5	1	4	3	2	2	8	0-0	-	0-7	0%	0-2	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	30.3	22	61%	8	1	1	0	1	1	5	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	12.6	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	26.5	9	56%	1	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	24.0	9	50%	5	3	2	1	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	16.1	2	50%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	11.5	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	7.3	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kylor Kelley #50 · C · 7'0" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress fracture
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	45	23	7	11	12	14	14	31	12-13	92%	18-54	33%	17-44	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	39.8	35	60%	7	4	3	2	4	1	1	6	6-6	100%	7-16	44%	5-11	45%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	37.1	10	38%	1	6	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	2-4	50%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	34.7	0	0%	10	5	1	4	3	2	2	8	0-0	-	0-7	0%	0-2	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	30.3	22	61%	8	1	1	0	1	1	5	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	12.6	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	26.5	9	56%	1	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	24.0	9	50%	5	3	2	1	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	16.1	2	50%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	11.5	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	7.3	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kylor Kelley #50 · C · 7'0" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress fracture
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	45	23	7	11	12	14	14	31	12-13	92%	18-54	33%	17-44	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	38.4	15	58%	6	0	0	2	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27	37.7	20	63%	3	5	0	0	1	2	0	3	7-8	88%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	37.1	27	71%	12	3	1	0	6	2	3	9	3-4	75%	9-13	69%	2-4	50%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	35.3	19	48%	15	12	3	2	2	2	2	13	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	1-7	14%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	16.9	8	80%	8	0	0	2	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	28.4	2	17%	8	2	2	1	1	0	4	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	16.2	2	17%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	14.1	8	80%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	10.0	5	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jordan Goodwin #30 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 26	6.0	1	17%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	INACTIVE
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	INACTIVE
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	57	24	7	8	14	13	13	44	18-24	75%	28-47	60%	11-40	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.95 47.6%

LAL

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

42%

LAL

69%

Midrange

DAL

22%

LAL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

25.5

39%

58%

LAL

16.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

DAL

92%

LAL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	35	60%	17.5 / 29
K. Thompson	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Christie	10	38%	5.0 / 13
S. Dinwiddie	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Marshall	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Exum	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Edwards	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Powell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Washington	0	-	0.0 / 9
O. Prosper	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	27	71%	13.5 / 19
A. Reaves	20	63%	10.0 / 16
L. Dončić	19	48%	9.5 / 20
R. Hachimura	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Hayes	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Vanderbilt	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Knecht	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	2	17%	1.0 / 6
G. Vincent	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Goodwin	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 113.6 11 114.9	DAL 100.0 LAL 108.1 +8.1
Pace	11 100.3 20 98.4	DAL 102.8 +7.3 LAL 95.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 7 15.0	DAL 14.0 −1.1 LAL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 8 55.7%	DAL 44.4% LAL 51.1% +6.7%
TO %	12 13.2% 14 13.3%	DAL 10.4% −2.1% LAL 12.5%
ORB %	23 23.4% 24 23.3%	DAL 24.1% LAL 29.5% +5.4%
FTrt	4 26.3 1 27.1	DAL 13.3 LAL 27.6 +14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 60.1% 14 63.5%	DAL 65.7% +4.2% LAL 61.5%
STL %	22 7.7% 21 7.8%	DAL 7.1% LAL 7.1%
BLK %	10 9.7% 24 8.7%	DAL 23.4% +8.6% LAL 14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 8 57.6%	DAL 47.6% LAL 53.0% +5.4%
Rim FG%	8 66.0% 1 68.0%	DAL 41.9% LAL 69.4% +27.5%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 18 42.1%	DAL 21.7% LAL 27.3% +5.6%
3P %	15 36.4% 14 36.6%	DAL 38.6% +11.1% LAL 27.5%
FT %	24 77.0% 13 78.5%	DAL 92.3% +17.3% LAL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.4% 18 31.4%	DAL 31.6% LAL 41.4% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	27 29.6% 12 26.1%	DAL 23.5% LAL 12.6% −10.8%
3P Att. %	24 38.9% 13 42.5%	DAL 44.9% LAL 46.0% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	LAL
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	99	107
Rebounds	45	57
Assists	23	24
Steals	7	7
Blocks	11	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	14	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	44 (2)
Field Goals	35-98	39-87
At-the-Rim FG	13-31	25-36
Midrange FG	5-23	3-11
2-Point FG	18-54	28-47
3-Point FG	17-44	11-40
Free Throws	12-13	18-24
Fast Break Pts	13	20
2nd Chance Pts	7	13
Points in Paint	34	52
Pts off Turnovers	8	10
Bench Points	28	18
Biggest Lead	1	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg