Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Blazers	59%	116	129	120.6	107	106.6
	28	Wizards	41%	113	121	111.0	109	109.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+25

-15

117

WAS

+10

-19

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.7%

WAS

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 31	37.0	15	44%	6	1	1	1	2	1	1	5	6-7	86%	3-7	43%	1-7	14%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.5	16	57%	4	5	2	0	4	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	31.5	11	55%	5	2	3	0	1	6	5	0	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.5	4	50%	8	3	1	0	1	5	3	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	5.7	5	63%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	33.3	36	60%	8	5	1	1	3	3	3	5	7-10	70%	10-19	53%	3-7	43%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	25.6	16	57%	2	1	2	0	1	5	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	23.7	12	60%	6	1	0	2	0	1	2	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	18.5	12	60%	4	4	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	10.8	2	50%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · SG · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	55%	46	27	11	4	15	28	17	29	27-35	77%	33-64	52%	12-37	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 31	37.0	15	44%	6	1	1	1	2	1	1	5	6-7	86%	3-7	43%	1-7	14%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.5	16	57%	4	5	2	0	4	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	31.5	11	55%	5	2	3	0	1	6	5	0	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.5	4	50%	8	3	1	0	1	5	3	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	5.7	5	63%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	33.3	36	60%	8	5	1	1	3	3	3	5	7-10	70%	10-19	53%	3-7	43%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	25.6	16	57%	2	1	2	0	1	5	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	23.7	12	60%	6	1	0	2	0	1	2	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	18.5	12	60%	4	4	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	10.8	2	50%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · SG · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	55%	46	27	11	4	15	28	17	29	27-35	77%	33-64	52%	12-37	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	35.2	16	73%	2	3	2	1	3	1	0	2	2-6	33%	7-7	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	30.6	24	67%	5	3	1	1	2	3	2	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	3-9	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	26.8	7	58%	5	2	1	2	4	5	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.0	8	36%	4	5	0	1	0	2	0	4	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 31	18.9	20	100%	5	2	0	0	1	4	2	3	6-6	100%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	26.4	20	67%	3	1	0	1	0	5	0	3	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	5-6	83%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	26.2	8	57%	8	4	2	0	2	0	1	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	20.4	10	50%	2	3	1	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	18.8	8	50%	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	12.5	0	0%	5	1	2	1	3	0	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen McDaniels #26 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	41	25	9	8	19	26	7	34	23-33	70%	31-47	66%	12-36	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	WAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.7%

WAS

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

77%

WAS

69%

Midrange

POR

12%

WAS

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

18.0

32%

49%

WAS

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

POR

77%

WAS

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	36	60%	18.0 / 30
A. Simons	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Henderson	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Grant	15	44%	7.5 / 17
K. Murray	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Walker	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Camara	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Avdija	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Clingan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Banton	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	24	67%	12.0 / 18
R. Holmes	20	100%	10.0 / 10
C. Kispert	20	67%	10.0 / 15
B. Coulibaly	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Smart	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Middleton	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Carrington	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Vukcevic	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. George	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 30 105.8	POR 120.6 +9.6 WAS 111.0
Pace	16 99.5 4 101.8	POR 106.6 WAS 109.4 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 23 14.0	POR 13.5 WAS 13.2 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 28 51.2%	POR 50.5% WAS 59.0% +8.5%
TO %	29 15.1% 27 14.6%	POR 12.7% −3.6% WAS 16.3%
ORB %	2 29.2% 25 22.7%	POR 33.3% +13.9% WAS 19.4%
FTrt	13 24.6 26 22.9	POR 34.7 WAS 39.8 +5.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 12 63.7%	POR 60.0% +1.9% WAS 58.1%
STL %	13 8.2% 25 7.4%	POR 10.3% +2.0% WAS 8.3%
BLK %	9 10.0% 12 9.6%	POR 8.5% WAS 12.5% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 29 53.2%	POR 54.7% WAS 60.5% +5.8%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 17 63.7%	POR 76.9% +7.9% WAS 69.0%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 30 38.0%	POR 12.0% WAS 61.1% +49.1%
3P %	26 34.2% 29 33.5%	POR 32.4% WAS 33.3% +0.9%
FT %	26 76.2% 16 77.8%	POR 77.1% +7.4% WAS 69.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 21 30.5%	POR 38.6% +3.7% WAS 34.9%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 11 25.9%	POR 24.8% WAS 21.7% −3.1%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 10 43.6%	POR 36.6% WAS 43.4% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	WAS
Possessions	107	109
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	129	121
Rebounds	46	41
Assists	27	25
Steals	11	9
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	28	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (8)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (5)	34 (3)
Field Goals	45-101	43-83
At-the-Rim FG	30-39	20-29
Midrange FG	3-25	11-18
2-Point FG	33-64	31-47
3-Point FG	12-37	12-36
Free Throws	27-35	23-33
Fast Break Pts	32	16
2nd Chance Pts	21	6
Points in Paint	62	42
Pts off Turnovers	27	18
Bench Points	78	46
Biggest Lead	10	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg