Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Hawks	46%	112	109	116.0	94	94.6
	17	Heat	54%	114	131	139.4	94	93.5

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-15

MIA

+10

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.6%

MIA

1.46 72.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	35.7	17	57%	2	8	0	0	4	2	0	2	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.0	18	82%	5	5	2	0	3	1	2	3	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.8	13	43%	9	3	1	2	2	1	5	4	0-1	0%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.6	11	79%	3	3	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	12.0	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	32.4	17	65%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.0	13	72%	4	4	1	0	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	24.3	7	35%	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	16.2	8	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	33	29	6	3	15	15	9	24	15-19	79%	29-49	59%	12-32	38%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	35.7	17	57%	2	8	0	0	4	2	0	2	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.0	18	82%	5	5	2	0	3	1	2	3	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.8	13	43%	9	3	1	2	2	1	5	4	0-1	0%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.6	11	79%	3	3	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	12.0	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	32.4	17	65%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.0	13	72%	4	4	1	0	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	24.3	7	35%	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	16.2	8	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	33	29	6	3	15	15	9	24	15-19	79%	29-49	59%	12-32	38%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	37.0	20	125%	0	6	2	0	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	5-5	100%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	35.3	20	77%	9	3	0	1	2	4	1	8	1-2	50%	8-10	80%	1-2	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	34.4	24	63%	2	10	3	0	2	1	0	2	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	4-8	50%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	29.4	12	100%	8	2	2	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	28.8	15	58%	2	6	2	0	3	0	0	2	8-10	80%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	32.7	24	75%	5	6	0	0	3	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	6-13	46%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	27.1	14	117%	7	5	1	1	0	3	4	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	8.0	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	73%	35	39	10	2	14	13	8	27	18-22	82%	22-34	65%	23-42	55%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.6%

MIA

1.46 72.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

73%

MIA

81%

Midrange

ATL

43%

MIA

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

18.0

38%

56%

MIA

34.5

55%

82%

Free Throws

ATL

79%

MIA

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Daniels	18	82%	9.0 / 11
T. Young	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. LeVert	17	65%	8.5 / 13
O. Okongwu	13	43%	6.5 / 15
T. Mann	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Z. Risacher	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Capela	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Niang	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Gueye	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	24	63%	12.0 / 19
D. Robinson	24	75%	12.0 / 16
D. Mitchell	20	125%	10.0 / 8
B. Adebayo	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Wiggins	15	58%	7.5 / 13
H. Highsmith	14	117%	7.0 / 6
K. Ware	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. Jaquez	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Burks	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 21 112.4	ATL 116.0 MIA 139.4 +23.4
Pace	3 103.4 27 97.2	ATL 94.6 +1.1 MIA 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 9 14.9	ATL 15.2 −0.2 MIA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 19 54.4%	ATL 58.0% MIA 74.3% +16.3%
TO %	23 14.1% 8 12.8%	ATL 16.0% −0.6% MIA 16.6%
ORB %	10 26.3% 27 22.3%	ATL 25.0% MIA 25.0%
FTrt	8 25.2 24 23.2	ATL 23.5 MIA 28.9 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 10 65.3%	ATL 70.7% MIA 86.7% +16.0%
STL %	4 9.4% 12 8.3%	ATL 6.4% MIA 10.6% +4.2%
BLK %	11 9.7% 30 7.6%	ATL 8.8% +4.7% MIA 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 19 56.0%	ATL 58.6% MIA 72.8% +14.2%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 22 62.5%	ATL 73.1% MIA 81.3% +8.2%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 12 44.4%	ATL 43.5% MIA 50.0% +6.5%
3P %	18 35.8% 11 36.7%	ATL 37.5% MIA 54.8% +17.3%
FT %	18 77.5% 8 79.1%	ATL 78.9% MIA 81.8% +2.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 25 29.6%	ATL 32.1% +11.0% MIA 21.1%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 20 27.5%	ATL 28.4% MIA 23.7% −4.7%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 12 42.9%	ATL 39.5% MIA 55.3% +15.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	109	131
Rebounds	33	35
Assists	29	39
Steals	6	10
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	14 (3)
Fouls	15	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (0)	27 (2)
Field Goals	41-81	45-76
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	13-16
Midrange FG	10-23	9-18
2-Point FG	29-49	22-34
3-Point FG	12-32	23-42
Free Throws	15-19	18-22
Fast Break Pts	2	4
2nd Chance Pts	12	20
Points in Paint	54	32
Pts off Turnovers	17	22
Bench Points	45	40
Biggest Lead	5	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg