Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Kings	70%	121	118	121.6	97	93.2
	29	Jazz	30%	113	101	103.1	98	102.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-12

UTA

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 60.2%

UTA

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	37.8	22	61%	8	3	0	0	3	0	0	8	0-0	-	5-10	50%	4-8	50%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	35.5	13	50%	9	6	1	0	3	0	1	8	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	34.0	12	46%	9	5	1	1	3	3	0	9	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.6	19	63%	6	8	2	1	0	1	1	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.9	26	72%	6	2	0	2	0	1	1	5	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	33.4	11	110%	1	2	2	3	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	14.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	14.0	15	94%	7	2	0	0	1	1	3	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	47	28	6	7	12	13	7	40	11-12	92%	31-51	61%	15-36	42%

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16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	37.8	22	61%	8	3	0	0	3	0	0	8	0-0	-	5-10	50%	4-8	50%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	35.5	13	50%	9	6	1	0	3	0	1	8	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	34.0	12	46%	9	5	1	1	3	3	0	9	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.6	19	63%	6	8	2	1	0	1	1	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.9	26	72%	6	2	0	2	0	1	1	5	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	33.4	11	110%	1	2	2	3	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	14.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	14.0	15	94%	7	2	0	0	1	1	3	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	47	28	6	7	12	13	7	40	11-12	92%	31-51	61%	15-36	42%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
KJ Martin #99 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 24	34.0	16	73%	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	33.8	25	96%	14	5	2	0	0	2	2	12	5-7	71%	10-10	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	31.3	2	7%	0	6	2	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-8	0%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	26.4	9	56%	3	7	2	0	0	1	1	2	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	22.6	12	55%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	32.8	11	46%	3	5	0	1	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	18.0	3	21%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	16.4	9	75%	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	14.2	9	75%	1	3	0	0	1	5	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	10.6	5	63%	1	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	34	32	9	2	9	13	7	27	9-17	53%	22-40	55%	16-44	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 60.2%

UTA

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

74%

UTA

81%

Midrange

SAC

50%

UTA

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

22.5

42%

63%

UTA

24.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

SAC

92%

UTA

53%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	26	72%	13.0 / 18
Z. LaVine	22	61%	11.0 / 18
D. DeRozan	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Valančiūnas	15	94%	7.5 / 8
M. Monk	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Sabonis	12	46%	6.0 / 13
K. Ellis	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Kessler	25	96%	12.5 / 13
K. Martin	16	73%	8.0 / 11
B. Sensabaugh	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. George	11	46%	5.5 / 12
I. Collier	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Juzang	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Filipowski	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Springer	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Williams	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Clarkson	2	7%	1.0 / 14

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 24 110.3	SAC 121.6 +18.6 UTA 103.1
Pace	19 98.9 7 100.8	SAC 93.2 UTA 102.1 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 13 14.7	SAC 15.4 UTA 14.1 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 21 53.3%	SAC 61.5% +6.7% UTA 54.8%
TO %	6 12.6% 30 16.2%	SAC 14.8% UTA 9.9% −4.9%
ORB %	16 25.4% 6 26.9%	SAC 20.6% +5.7% UTA 14.9%
FTrt	21 23.5 7 25.2	SAC 13.8 UTA 20.2 +6.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 18 63.3%	SAC 60.9% UTA 84.2% +23.3%
STL %	23 7.6% 30 6.6%	SAC 6.2% UTA 9.2% +3.0%
BLK %	23 8.8% 25 8.5%	SAC 17.5% +13.6% UTA 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 20 55.4%	SAC 60.2% +7.6% UTA 52.6%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 15 63.8%	SAC 73.9% UTA 81.0% +7.1%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 17 43.1%	SAC 50.0% +23.7% UTA 26.3%
3P %	19 35.7% 22 35.0%	SAC 41.7% +5.3% UTA 36.4%
FT %	4 80.6% 22 77.4%	SAC 91.7% +38.8% UTA 52.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 27 28.8%	SAC 26.4% +1.4% UTA 25.0%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 15 26.2%	SAC 32.2% UTA 22.6% −9.6%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 7 44.9%	SAC 41.4% UTA 52.4% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	UTA
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	118	101
Rebounds	47	34
Assists	28	32
Steals	6	9
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (4)	9 (1)
Fouls	13	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	27 (1)
Field Goals	46-87	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	17-21
Midrange FG	14-28	5-19
2-Point FG	31-51	22-40
3-Point FG	15-36	16-44
Free Throws	11-12	9-17
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	11
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	26	37
Biggest Lead	22	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg