Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Spurs	36%	109	106	102.9	103	114.4
	13	Rockets	64%	114	118	115.7	102	92.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+17

-8

112

HOU

+24

-14

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.95 47.3%

HOU

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	27.9	7	29%	3	3	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	23.9	9	50%	5	3	0	0	2	0	0	5	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	21.9	4	33%	1	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	17.8	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	13.9	4	40%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.9	22	46%	7	5	3	0	0	2	4	3	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	1-7	14%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.2	22	73%	5	2	1	0	1	0	2	3	6-6	100%	8-10	80%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	21.1	11	61%	4	1	0	3	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	20.5	12	50%	4	0	3	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	12.1	7	58%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	11.3	5	42%	1	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	6.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.5	0	0%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	47%	41	28	10	5	8	14	12	29	15-21	71%	35-61	57%	7-39	18%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	27.9	7	29%	3	3	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	23.9	9	50%	5	3	0	0	2	0	0	5	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	21.9	4	33%	1	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	17.8	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	13.9	4	40%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.9	22	46%	7	5	3	0	0	2	4	3	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	1-7	14%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.2	22	73%	5	2	1	0	1	0	2	3	6-6	100%	8-10	80%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	21.1	11	61%	4	1	0	3	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	20.5	12	50%	4	0	3	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	12.1	7	58%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	11.3	5	42%	1	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	6.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.5	0	0%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	47%	41	28	10	5	8	14	12	29	15-21	71%	35-61	57%	7-39	18%

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13 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	32.2	9	28%	10	1	0	0	2	1	3	7	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	0-5	0%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	30.0	25	83%	9	5	0	2	2	4	4	5	0-0	-	11-12	92%	1-3	33%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.3	19	73%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	27.6	21	62%	7	4	0	0	3	1	0	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	18.6	9	50%	11	3	1	1	3	3	5	6	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	24.4	7	50%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	20.5	13	54%	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	18.9	4	33%	5	5	2	2	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	15.9	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	7.5	5	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	6.1	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	4.5	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Strain
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	53%	60	22	4	5	14	14	20	40	11-14	79%	37-64	58%	11-38	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.95 47.3%

HOU

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

71%

HOU

54%

Midrange

SAS

38%

HOU

64%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10.5

18%

27%

HOU

16.5

29%

43%

Free Throws

SAS

71%

HOU

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	22	46%	11.0 / 24
K. Johnson	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Mamukelashvili	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Champagnie	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Vassell	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Fox	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Sochan	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Wesley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Paul	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. Biyombo	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Barnes	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Branham	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thompson	25	83%	12.5 / 15
J. Green	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. Brooks	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Green	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Smith	9	28%	4.5 / 16
A. Sengun	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Tate	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Landale	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Adams	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Holiday	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Sheppard	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 12 114.9	SAS 102.9 HOU 115.7 +12.8
Pace	13 100.1 18 99.0	SAS 114.4 +21.7 HOU 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 12 14.8	SAS 12.6 −2.9 HOU 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 23 52.3%	SAS 45.5% HOU 52.5% +7.0%
TO %	11 13.2% 10 13.1%	SAS 6.8% −6.1% HOU 12.9%
ORB %	20 24.3% 1 31.7%	SAS 23.1% HOU 40.8% +17.7%
FTrt	22 23.4 16 24.2	SAS 21.0 +7.3 HOU 13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 30 54.9%	SAS 66.7% +20.9% HOU 45.8%
STL %	14 8.2% 9 8.4%	SAS 9.7% +5.8% HOU 3.9%
BLK %	5 10.5% 15 9.3%	SAS 7.8% HOU 8.2% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 24 53.9%	SAS 47.3% HOU 52.7% +5.4%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 25 61.5%	SAS 71.4% +17.6% HOU 53.8%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 24 40.4%	SAS 38.5% HOU 64.0% +25.5%
3P %	20 35.7% 21 35.3%	SAS 17.9% HOU 28.9% +11.0%
FT %	21 77.4% 30 73.8%	SAS 71.4% HOU 78.6% +7.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 10 33.3%	SAS 35.0% HOU 38.2% +3.2%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 23 28.3%	SAS 26.0% HOU 24.5% −1.5%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 27 38.4%	SAS 39.0% +1.7% HOU 37.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	SAS	HOU
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	106	118
Rebounds	41	60
Assists	28	22
Steals	10	4
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	14	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	20 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	40 (4)
Field Goals	42-100	48-102
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	21-39
Midrange FG	10-26	16-25
2-Point FG	35-61	37-64
3-Point FG	7-39	11-38
Free Throws	15-21	11-14
Fast Break Pts	21	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	68	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	9
Bench Points	79	35
Biggest Lead	0	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg