Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	62%	121	112	103.7	108	113.8
	18	Bucks	38%	116	121	113.1	107	102.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+17

-13

112

MIL

-11

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

MIL

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.6	20	50%	3	5	1	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	37.5	32	84%	14	10	1	0	5	4	1	13	5-7	71%	12-14	86%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	35.0	12	27%	10	3	1	0	1	2	6	4	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-11	18%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.8	9	35%	5	2	1	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.2	13	54%	10	3	2	0	0	4	1	9	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.2	10	38%	6	5	1	0	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.8	12	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.3	2	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	8.6	2	100%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	50%	55	28	8	2	13	17	14	41	9-11	82%	38-71	54%	9-34	26%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.6	20	50%	3	5	1	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	37.5	32	84%	14	10	1	0	5	4	1	13	5-7	71%	12-14	86%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	35.0	12	27%	10	3	1	0	1	2	6	4	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-11	18%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.8	9	35%	5	2	1	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.2	13	54%	10	3	2	0	0	4	1	9	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.2	10	38%	6	5	1	0	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.8	12	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.3	2	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	8.6	2	100%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	50%	55	28	8	2	13	17	14	41	9-11	82%	38-71	54%	9-34	26%

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18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	37.5	16	44%	9	5	0	2	1	0	1	8	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	37.3	22	58%	4	3	0	1	1	4	1	3	7-8	88%	6-10	60%	1-6	17%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	35.3	19	79%	4	4	2	0	4	0	1	3	6-6	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	32.6	28	52%	19	7	0	1	2	3	2	17	5-8	63%	10-21	48%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	29.8	10	71%	4	1	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	24.5	15	94%	2	1	3	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-4	75%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	19.7	6	75%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	12.7	3	38%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	10.7	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	DNP - Team Suspension
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	48	25	8	4	11	11	7	41	23-28	82%	28-56	50%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

MIL

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

60%

MIL

55%

Midrange

DEN

42%

MIL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

26%

40%

MIL

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

DEN

82%

MIL

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	84%	16.0 / 19
J. Murray	20	50%	10.0 / 20
C. Braun	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Porter	12	27%	6.0 / 22
J. Strawther	12	75%	6.0 / 8
R. Westbrook	10	38%	5.0 / 13
A. Gordon	9	35%	4.5 / 13
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	28	52%	14.0 / 27
B. Lopez	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. Lillard	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Kuzma	16	44%	8.0 / 18
G. Trent	15	94%	7.5 / 8
T. Prince	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Porter	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Sims	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 10 115.2	DEN 103.7 MIL 113.1 +9.4
Pace	8 100.6 14 99.9	DEN 113.8 +11.2 MIL 102.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 14 14.6	DEN 12.7 −1.4 MIL 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 3 56.8%	DEN 49.0% MIL 54.4% +5.4%
TO %	15 13.3% 7 12.7%	DEN 10.6% MIL 9.7% −0.9%
ORB %	7 26.7% 30 19.3%	DEN 25.5% +10.9% MIL 14.6%
FTrt	5 25.9 3 26.8	DEN 10.5 MIL 31.1 +20.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 23 60.7%	DEN 59.6% +0.1% MIL 59.5%
STL %	19 7.9% 27 7.3%	DEN 7.4% MIL 7.5% +0.1%
BLK %	21 9.0% 20 9.1%	DEN 3.6% MIL 5.6% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 3 58.6%	DEN 50.0% MIL 58.2% +8.2%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 5 66.9%	DEN 59.6% +4.8% MIL 54.8%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 13 44.1%	DEN 41.7% MIL 44.0% +2.3%
3P %	5 37.6% 1 38.7%	DEN 26.5% MIL 41.2% +14.7%
FT %	23 77.0% 28 75.0%	DEN 81.8% MIL 82.1% +0.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 24 30.0%	DEN 44.8% +10.3% MIL 34.4%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 21 27.5%	DEN 22.9% −4.9% MIL 27.8%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 15 42.4%	DEN 32.4% MIL 37.8% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	MIL
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.0
Points	112	121
Rebounds	55	48
Assists	28	25
Steals	8	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	17	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	41 (1)
Field Goals	47-105	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	28-47	17-31
Midrange FG	10-24	11-25
2-Point FG	38-71	28-56
3-Point FG	9-34	14-34
Free Throws	9-11	23-28
Fast Break Pts	32	16
2nd Chance Pts	24	9
Points in Paint	68	42
Pts off Turnovers	8	15
Bench Points	26	26
Biggest Lead	6	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg