Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	51%	119	134	127.6	105	101.9
	11	Pistons	49%	118	119	114.4	104	107.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+14

-19

100

DET

+16

-10

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.34 67.0%

DET

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	38.4	28	88%	9	1	0	0	2	3	2	7	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.2	23	82%	6	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.0	31	62%	3	4	2	1	2	1	1	2	6-7	86%	5-13	38%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	34.2	23	68%	17	15	1	2	7	2	0	17	11-12	92%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · SF · 6'10" 240 · 24	20.5	8	100%	2	2	0	3	0	4	2	0	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	26.7	6	43%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	21.4	8	50%	4	2	1	1	4	4	2	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.2	4	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	7.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	3.6	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	67%	50	28	5	8	19	18	10	40	23-31	74%	30-53	57%	17-31	55%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	38.4	28	88%	9	1	0	0	2	3	2	7	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.2	23	82%	6	2	0	1	0	0	1	5	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.0	31	62%	3	4	2	1	2	1	1	2	6-7	86%	5-13	38%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	34.2	23	68%	17	15	1	2	7	2	0	17	11-12	92%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · SF · 6'10" 240 · 24	20.5	8	100%	2	2	0	3	0	4	2	0	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	26.7	6	43%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	21.4	8	50%	4	2	1	1	4	4	2	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.2	4	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	7.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	3.6	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	67%	50	28	5	8	19	18	10	40	23-31	74%	30-53	57%	17-31	55%

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11 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	28.0	11	42%	3	5	2	0	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	3-10	30%	0-2	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	25.9	13	54%	4	5	5	0	1	0	3	1	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	25.6	12	60%	2	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	17.5	10	45%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	16.4	8	67%	8	2	1	0	1	4	3	5	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	25.7	16	44%	4	3	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	4-11	36%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 31
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	20.4	8	67%	4	1	0	1	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24	19.5	7	117%	5	0	0	2	0	5	1	4	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 26	12.0	8	67%	4	2	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	4.2	6	100%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	54%	42	32	15	3	10	22	14	28	17-23	74%	33-62	53%	12-37	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.34 67.0%

DET

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

62%

DET

66%

Midrange

DEN

47%

DET

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

25.5

55%

82%

DET

18.0

32%

49%

Free Throws

DEN

74%

DET

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	31	62%	15.5 / 25
M. Porter	28	88%	14.0 / 16
C. Braun	23	82%	11.5 / 14
N. Jokić	23	68%	11.5 / 17
Z. Nnaji	8	100%	4.0 / 4
R. Westbrook	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Strawther	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Jordan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Šarić	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Beasley	16	44%	8.0 / 18
A. Thompson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
T. Harris	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Fontecchio	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Cunningham	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Hardaway	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Duren	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Schröder	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Holland	8	67%	4.0 / 6
P. Reed	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Stewart	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Sasser	6	100%	3.0 / 3
L. Waters	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 14 114.5	DEN 127.6 +13.2 DET 114.4
Pace	8 100.6 12 100.3	DEN 101.9 DET 107.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 21 14.3	DEN 14.1 DET 13.4 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 16 54.7%	DEN 66.1% +14.6% DET 51.5%
TO %	15 13.3% 21 14.0%	DEN 17.0% DET 9.2% −7.8%
ORB %	7 26.7% 11 26.2%	DEN 26.3% +0.4% DET 25.9%
FTrt	5 25.9 12 24.8	DEN 36.9 +13.7 DET 23.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 21 61.8%	DEN 59.6% DET 71.1% +11.5%
STL %	19 7.9% 20 7.9%	DEN 4.8% DET 14.4% +9.6%
BLK %	21 9.0% 6 10.4%	DEN 12.9% +7.2% DET 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 16 56.6%	DEN 67.0% +12.9% DET 54.1%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 16 63.7%	DEN 61.8% DET 65.9% +4.1%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 16 43.5%	DEN 47.4% +18.8% DET 28.6%
3P %	5 37.6% 17 36.2%	DEN 54.8% +22.4% DET 32.4%
FT %	23 77.0% 20 77.4%	DEN 74.2% +0.3% DET 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 5 34.4%	DEN 40.5% DET 41.4% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 14 26.2%	DEN 22.6% DET 21.2% −1.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 22 39.4%	DEN 36.9% DET 37.4% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	DET
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	134	119
Rebounds	50	42
Assists	28	32
Steals	5	15
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	28 (0)
Field Goals	47-84	45-99
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	27-41
Midrange FG	9-19	6-21
2-Point FG	30-53	33-62
3-Point FG	17-31	12-37
Free Throws	23-31	17-23
Fast Break Pts	21	22
2nd Chance Pts	15	14
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	21	65
Biggest Lead	25	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg