FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%114
123
257%116
116
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
130.994101.1
BOS logo BOS
124.79386.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.123
100%
116
0%
Q4 - 0:15.2CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.5CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.8CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2123
99.5%
116
0.5%
Q4 - 0:22.8CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
99.5%
116
0.5%
Q4 - 0:22.8CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Take) (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)121
99.4%
116
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.8CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound121
99.1%
116
0.9%
Q4 - 0:26.9CelticsDe'Andre Hunter blocks Jayson Tatum's three point running jump shot121
98.5%
116
1.5%
Q4 - 0:32.3CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound121
96.8%
116
3.2%
Q4 - 0:34.5CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup121
97.7%
116
2.3%
Q4 - 0:49.8CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
96.9%
116
3.1%
Q4 - 0:49.8CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
97.1%
115
2.9%
Q4 - 0:49.8CavaliersMax Strus shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)121
97.3%
114
2.7%
Q4 - 0:55.7CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point stepback jump shot121
97.8%
114
2.2%
Q4 - 1:13CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound119
95.3%
114
4.7%
Q4 - 1:16CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot119
94.0%
114
6.0%
Q4 - 1:26CelticsCeltics defensive rebound119
89.5%
114
10.5%
Q4 - 1:27CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot119
91.0%
114
9.0%
Q4 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)119
92.2%
114
7.8%
Q4 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)119
87.3%
114
12.7%
Q4 - 1:57CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1119
87.3%
114
12.7%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)118
86.6%
114
13.4%
Q4 - 2:17CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound116
76.7%
114
23.3%
Q4 - 2:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup116
73.0%
114
27.0%
Q4 - 2:45CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dean Wade assists)116
63.2%
114
36.8%
Q4 - 3:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot114
54.0%
114
46.0%
Q4 - 3:28CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound114
61.8%
112
38.2%
Q4 - 3:30CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup114
66.0%
112
34.0%
Q4 - 3:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)114
67.9%
112
32.1%
Q4 - 4:01CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound114
74.7%
110
25.3%
Q4 - 4:04CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot114
76.9%
110
23.1%
Q4 - 4:09CavaliersMax Strus offensive rebound114
81.5%
110
18.5%
Q4 - 4:13CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot114
77.0%
110
23.0%
Q4 - 4:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)114
81.7%
110
18.3%
Q4 - 4:51CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)114
86.2%
108
13.8%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip layup111
72.0%
108
28.0%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound111
77.3%
106
22.7%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point tip layup111
81.3%
106
18.7%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound111
77.3%
106
22.7%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point tip layup111
81.3%
106
18.7%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound111
77.3%
106
22.7%
Q4 - 5:07CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup111
81.3%
106
18.7%
Q4 - 5:27CelticsCeltics defensive rebound111
77.5%
106
22.5%
Q4 - 5:30CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot111
79.4%
106
20.6%
Q4 - 5:40CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound111
83.1%
106
16.9%
Q4 - 5:42CelticsIsaac Okoro blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving reverse layup111
81.6%
106
18.4%
Q4 - 5:53CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)111
77.7%
106
22.3%
Q4 - 5:53CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound111
83.2%
106
16.8%
Q4 - 5:54CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot111
79.5%
106
20.5%
Q4 - 6:06CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound111
79.9%
106
20.1%
Q4 - 6:10CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot111
76.0%
106
24.0%
Q4 - 6:13CavaliersDarius Garland offensive rebound111
80.0%
106
20.0%
Q4 - 6:16CavaliersJayson Tatum blocks Darius Garland's two point pullup jump shot111
76.0%
106
24.0%
Q4 - 6:21CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound111
80.0%
106
20.0%
Q4 - 6:24CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot111
76.1%
106
23.9%
Q4 - 6:44CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)111
80.1%
106
19.9%
Q4 - 6:56CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point putback layup111
74.4%
106
25.6%
Q4 - 6:57CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound109
69.6%
106
30.4%
Q4 - 6:58CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup109
64.5%
106
35.5%
Q4 - 7:03CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound109
67.4%
106
32.6%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround bank jump shot109
65.3%
106
34.7%
Q4 - 7:31CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot109
60.2%
106
39.8%
Q4 - 7:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)106
49.0%
106
51.0%
Q4 - 8:13CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot106
59.5%
103
40.5%
Q4 - 8:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup104
54.2%
103
45.8%
Q4 - 8:43CavaliersEvan Mobley makes three point running jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)104
59.5%
101
40.5%
Q4 - 8:50CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound101
48.2%
101
51.8%
Q4 - 8:53CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot101
46.1%
101
53.9%
Q4 - 9:09CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
41.2%
101
58.8%
Q4 - 9:09CavaliersEvan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
39.9%
101
60.1%
Q4 - 9:09CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)100
44.0%
101
56.0%
Q4 - 9:14CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Evan Mobley draws the foul)100
42.1%
101
57.9%
Q4 - 9:14CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound100
42.1%
101
57.9%
Q4 - 9:16CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot100
37.7%
101
62.3%
Q4 - 9:28CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound100
42.1%
101
57.9%
Q4 - 9:32CavaliersTy Jerome misses three point stepback jump shot100
37.7%
101
62.3%
Q4 - 9:39CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound100
42.1%
101
57.9%
Q4 - 9:43CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot100
40.2%
101
59.8%
Q4 - 10:04CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound100
36.4%
101
63.6%
Q4 - 10:06CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup100
38.1%
101
61.9%
Q4 - 10:16CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound100
42.1%
101
57.9%
Q4 - 10:20CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot100
40.3%
101
59.7%
Q4 - 10:20CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound100
36.4%
101
63.6%
Q4 - 10:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
41.3%
101
58.7%
Q4 - 10:23CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
38.1%
101
61.9%
Q4 - 10:23CavaliersDean Wade shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)100
39.4%
100
60.6%
Q4 - 10:40CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ty Jerome assists)100
41.5%
100
58.5%
Q4 - 10:56CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound98
37.0%
100
63.0%
Q4 - 10:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot98
35.3%
100
64.7%
Q4 - 11:22CavaliersEvan Mobley makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)98
32.3%
100
67.7%
Q4 - 11:24CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound95
24.2%
100
75.8%
Q4 - 11:25CavaliersLuke Kornet blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving layup95
21.6%
100
78.4%
Q4 - 11:25CavaliersSam Merrill offensive rebound95
24.2%
100
75.8%
Q4 - 11:29CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point jump shot95
21.6%
100
78.4%
Q4 - 11:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot (Derrick White assists)95
24.2%
100
75.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.95
28.0%
98
72.0%
Q3 - 0:01.7CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound95
28.8%
98
71.2%
Q3 - 0:02.7CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot95
30.0%
98
70.0%
Q3 - 0:11.3CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)95
32.9%
98
67.1%
Q3 - 0:32.6CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 295
37.3%
96
62.7%
Q3 - 0:32.6CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 294
36.7%
96
63.3%
Q3 - 0:32.6CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)93
36.0%
96
64.0%
Q3 - 0:38.8CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound93
32.9%
96
67.1%
Q3 - 0:41.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot93
31.6%
96
68.4%
Q3 - 0:56.6CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)93
28.7%
96
71.3%
Q3 - 1:02CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound90
22.5%
96
77.5%
Q3 - 1:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot90
21.5%
96
78.5%
Q3 - 1:26CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot90
19.3%
96
80.7%
Q3 - 1:34CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound88
16.7%
96
83.3%
Q3 - 1:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving reverse layup88
15.9%
96
84.1%
Q3 - 1:37CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound88
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q3 - 1:41CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot88
15.9%
96
84.1%
Q3 - 2:08CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot88
15.2%
96
84.8%
Q3 - 2:23CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)85
11.3%
96
88.7%
Q3 - 2:26CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound85
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q3 - 2:28CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot85
16.9%
93
83.1%
Q3 - 2:47CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)85
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q3 - 2:55CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Sam Merrill draws the foul)83
13.2%
93
86.8%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound83
13.2%
93
86.8%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot83
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q3 - 3:00CavaliersTy Jerome offensive rebound83
13.2%
93
86.8%
Q3 - 3:01CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot83
12.5%
93
87.5%
Q3 - 3:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot83
14.0%
93
86.0%
Q3 - 3:43CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point turnaround hook shot (Darius Garland assists)83
15.7%
91
84.3%
Q3 - 3:51CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound81
14.0%
91
86.0%
Q3 - 3:53CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot81
13.3%
91
86.7%
Q3 - 4:12CelticsCeltics defensive rebound81
12.7%
91
87.3%
Q3 - 4:12CavaliersLuke Kornet blocks Darius Garland's two point pullup jump shot81
13.3%
91
86.7%
Q3 - 4:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup81
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound81
16.6%
89
83.4%
Q3 - 4:34CavaliersJayson Tatum blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving layup81
17.4%
89
82.6%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)81
19.2%
89
80.8%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Darius Garland draws the foul)81
16.6%
89
83.4%
Q3 - 5:05CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 281
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q3 - 5:05CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 280
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q3 - 5:05CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)79
16.2%
89
83.8%
Q3 - 5:05CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound79
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q3 - 5:07CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup79
13.9%
89
86.1%
Q3 - 5:17CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound79
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q3 - 5:19CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
13.9%
89
86.1%
Q3 - 5:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup79
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q3 - 5:52CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot79
17.3%
87
82.7%
Q3 - 6:01CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound77
16.0%
87
84.0%
Q3 - 6:05CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot77
15.4%
87
84.6%
Q3 - 6:25CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point alley-oop layup (Max Strus assists)77
13.9%
87
86.1%
Q3 - 6:33CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (traveling)75
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q3 - 6:54CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot75
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q3 - 7:08CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Darius Garland draws the foul)73
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q3 - 7:08CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound73
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q3 - 7:09CelticsSam Hauser misses two point pullup jump shot73
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q3 - 7:22CavaliersMax Strus personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)73
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q3 - 7:32CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)73
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q3 - 7:41CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound70
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q3 - 7:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q3 - 8:04CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter turnover (offensive foul)70
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q3 - 8:04CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter offensive foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)70
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 8:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup70
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound70
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q3 - 8:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup70
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound70
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q3 - 8:40CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving hook shot70
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q3 - 9:02CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)70
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q3 - 9:24CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point putback layup70
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q3 - 9:25CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound68
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q3 - 9:27CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot68
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q3 - 9:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup68
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q3 - 9:38CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound68
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 9:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
13.6%
80
86.4%
Q3 - 10:03CavaliersEvan Mobley personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)68
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsCeltics defensive rebound68
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 10:06CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q3 - 10:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Derrick White assists)68
14.7%
80
85.3%
Q3 - 10:32CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving dunk (Max Strus assists)68
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q3 - 10:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 266
14.7%
78
85.3%
Q3 - 10:44CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 266
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 10:44CavaliersEvan Mobley shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)66
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q3 - 10:53CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Evan Mobley assists)66
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q3 - 11:04CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound64
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 11:06CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot64
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q3 - 11:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound64
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q3 - 11:18CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot64
12.3%
77
87.7%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 364
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 364
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 364
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 11:25CavaliersEvan Mobley shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)64
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q3 - 11:32CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound64
16.4%
74
83.6%
Q3 - 11:35CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot64
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q3 - 11:42CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound64
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q3 - 11:48CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot64
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.64
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound64
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot64
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q2 - 0:02.9CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Payton Pritchard assists)64
18.8%
74
81.2%
Q2 - 0:22.5CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (lost ball) (Payton Pritchard steals)64
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q2 - 0:34.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot64
22.9%
72
77.1%
Q2 - 0:45.9CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 264
25.2%
70
74.8%
Q2 - 0:45.9CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 263
24.9%
70
75.1%
Q2 - 0:45.9CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)62
24.5%
70
75.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot62
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q2 - 1:12CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)62
25.8%
68
74.2%
Q2 - 1:20CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound59
21.2%
68
78.8%
Q2 - 1:23CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q2 - 1:42CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot59
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)56
15.8%
68
84.2%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)56
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound56
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q2 - 2:02CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot56
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q2 - 2:11CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)56
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q2 - 2:27CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point running finger roll layup56
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q2 - 2:32CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound54
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q2 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running pullup jump shot54
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q2 - 2:43CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound54
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q2 - 2:43CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point driving hook shot54
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q2 - 3:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point bank jump shot54
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q2 - 3:15CavaliersIsaac Okoro personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)54
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q2 - 3:27CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Darius Garland assists)54
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q2 - 3:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running pullup jump shot52
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q2 - 3:49CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound52
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q2 - 3:50CavaliersDean Wade misses two point pullup jump shot52
24.9%
59
75.1%
Q2 - 3:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup52
26.8%
59
73.2%
Q2 - 4:18CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound52
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q2 - 4:20CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot52
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)52
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q2 - 4:54CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)52
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q2 - 5:00CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound49
29.3%
55
70.7%
Q2 - 5:02CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot49
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q2 - 5:16CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q2 - 5:19CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot49
27.6%
55
72.4%
Q2 - 5:38CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)49
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q2 - 5:53CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving finger roll layup49
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)47
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q2 - 6:25CavaliersDean Wade makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)47
36.1%
49
63.9%
Q2 - 6:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot44
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q2 - 6:45CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound44
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 6:47CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot44
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 6:58CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound44
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 7:01CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot44
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 7:07CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 7:17CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound44
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 7:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot44
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 7:32CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)44
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 7:43CelticsAl Horford turnover (lost ball) (Sam Merrill steals)41
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 7:53CavaliersDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)41
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 7:53CelticsCeltics offensive rebound41
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 7:55CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround jump shot41
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q2 - 8:18CavaliersDean Wade makes two point putback layup41
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 8:18CavaliersDean Wade offensive rebound39
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 8:21CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot39
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q2 - 8:32CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound39
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot39
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 8:55CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 239
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 8:55CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 238
23.3%
47
76.7%
Q2 - 8:55CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)37
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 8:59CavaliersSam Merrill offensive rebound37
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 9:03CavaliersDean Wade misses three point jump shot37
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q2 - 9:11CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound37
22.2%
47
77.8%
Q2 - 9:16CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot37
21.7%
47
78.3%
Q2 - 9:31CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point layup (Evan Mobley assists)37
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 9:32CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound35
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 9:35CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot35
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 9:45CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 135
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 9:45CavaliersDean Wade shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)35
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 9:51CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)35
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 9:59CavaliersDean Wade defensive rebound35
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 10:01CelticsEvan Mobley blocks Al Horford's two point layup35
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 10:24CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point running layup35
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 10:29CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)33
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 10:47CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot33
19.3%
44
80.7%
Q2 - 10:59CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot30
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 11:17CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 230
19.8%
41
80.2%
Q2 - 11:17CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 229
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)28
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 11:31CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)28
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 11:47CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q1 - 0:01.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot26
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)26
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q1 - 0:36.5CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 123
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q1 - 0:36.5CavaliersEvan Mobley shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)23
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q1 - 0:44.4CelticsCeltics defensive rebound23
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q1 - 0:44.6CavaliersJayson Tatum blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving layup23
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q1 - 0:57.7CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound23
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q1 - 0:59.3CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 223
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 0:59.3CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 223
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q1 - 0:59.3CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)23
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q1 - 0:59.3CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound23
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q1 - 1:00CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup23
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q1 - 1:20CavaliersTy Jerome makes three point pullup jump shot23
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q1 - 1:32CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (offensive foul)20
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q1 - 1:32CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)20
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q1 - 1:45CavaliersTy Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot20
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q1 - 1:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot18
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q1 - 2:16CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot18
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q1 - 2:24CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound16
18.1%
30
81.9%
Q1 - 2:30CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q1 - 2:57CavaliersTy Jerome makes three point pullup jump shot16
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q1 - 3:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 213
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 3:05CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 213
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 3:05CavaliersJarrett Allen shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)13
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q1 - 3:14CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound13
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q1 - 3:19CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot13
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 3:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q1 - 3:27CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot13
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 3:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot13
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 4:06CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)13
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q1 - 4:15CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound10
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 4:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot10
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 4:30CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound10
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 4:32CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 2 of 210
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 4:32CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 210
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 4:32CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)9
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 4:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 29
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 4:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 29
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 4:44CavaliersJarrett Allen shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)9
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 5:03CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)9
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 5:10CelticsLuke Kornet personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)7
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 5:21CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound7
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsSam Hauser misses two point hook shot7
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 5:24CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound7
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 5:27CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot7
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 5:38CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 5:39CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating bank jump shot7
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 5:51CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound7
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 5:53CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot7
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 6:03CavaliersMax Strus makes two point running reverse layup (Darius Garland assists)7
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 6:08CelticsLuke Kornet turnover (lost ball) (Ty Jerome steals)5
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 6:10CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound5
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 6:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 6:23CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound5
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 6:26CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot5
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 6:30CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)5
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 6:34CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound5
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 6:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot5
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 6:52CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving finger roll layup5
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 7:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running jump shot (Al Horford assists)3
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 7:20CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)3
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 7:27CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)3
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 7:29CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound3
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 7:32CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running jump shot3
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound3
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 7:38CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup3
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 7:48CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup3
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 7:49CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound3
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 7:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup3
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 8:03CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound3
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 8:05CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 23
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 8:05CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 23
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)2
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 8:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point running pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)2
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 8:22CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)2
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 8:28CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jarrett Allen steals)2
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 8:42CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound2
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 8:44CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot2
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 8:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot2
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 9:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
33.1%
11
66.9%
Q1 - 9:15CavaliersMax Strus misses three point fadeaway jump shot2
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 9:29CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound2
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 9:31CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot2
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 9:52CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point cutting dunk (Darius Garland assists)2
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 10:05CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound0
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 10:17CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot0
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 10:29CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
37.9%
8
62.1%
Q1 - 10:34CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)0
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 10:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)0
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 11:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 11:04CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot0
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 11:14CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (back court violation)0
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 11:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 11:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot0
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point stepback jump shot0
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 12:00Jarrett Allen vs. Al Horford (Derrick White gains possession)0
43.3%
0
56.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.15 57.5%
BOS
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
13
16
81%
BOS
10
15
67%
Midrange
CLE
15
39
38%
BOS
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
17
25.5
39
44%
65%
BOS
17
25.5
39
44%
65%
Free Throws
CLE
16
19
84%
BOS
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell4166%20.5 / 31
D. Garland2043%10.0 / 23
E. Mobley1761%8.5 / 14
D. Hunter1286%6.0 / 7
J. Allen10100%5.0 / 5
T. Jerome840%4.0 / 10
D. Wade550%2.5 / 5
I. Okoro563%2.5 / 4
S. Merrill3150%1.5 / 1
M. Strus233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum4659%23.0 / 39
J. Brown3766%18.5 / 28
D. White1662%8.0 / 13
S. Hauser638%3.0 / 8
P. Pritchard675%3.0 / 4
A. Horford563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
87
+20
-7
107
BOS
82
+15
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.15 57.5%
BOS
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
120.9
119.5
CLE 130.9 +6.1
BOS 124.7
Pace
100.4
96.6
CLE 101.1 +14.3
BOS 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.5
CLE 14.2 +2.3
BOS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.8%
56.1%
CLE 56.9%
BOS 57.9% +1.0%
TO %
12.4%
11.7%
CLE 7.2% +3.0%
BOS 10.2%
ORB %
25.9%
25.6%
CLE 35.0% +3.2%
BOS 31.8%
FTrt
24.1
21.2
CLE 20.2 +1.1
BOS 19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
62.8%
CLE 51.1% +4.6%
BOS 46.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
CLE 4.3%
BOS 5.4% +1.1%
BLK %
7.9%
10.5%
CLE 6.0%
BOS 9.1% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.2%
57.8%
CLE 57.5%
BOS 59.8% +2.3%
Rim FG%
66.0%
67.3%
CLE 81.3% +14.6%
BOS 66.7%
Mid FG%
47.9%
43.9%
CLE 38.5%
BOS 45.7% +7.2%
3P %
38.3%
36.8%
CLE 43.6%
BOS 43.6%
FT %
77.6%
79.9%
CLE 84.2% +7.7%
BOS 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
26.2%
CLE 17.0% +0.2%
BOS 16.9%
Mid Att. %
23.7%
20.2%
CLE 41.5%
BOS 39.3% +2.2%
3P Att. %
45.7%
53.6%
CLE 41.5%
BOS 43.8% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.
Game TotalsCLEBOS
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points123116
Rebounds4440
Assists2320
Steals45
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1419
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (5)
Field Goals45-9443-89
At-the-Rim FG13-1610-15
Midrange FG15-3916-35
2-Point FG28-5526-50
3-Point FG17-3917-39
Free Throws16-1913-17
Fast Break Pts912
2nd Chance Pts1816
Points in Paint4634
Pts off Turnovers1514
Bench Points336
Biggest Lead722

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 28
35.1
41
66%
3
5
1
0
2
1
0
3
10-11
91%
8-14
57%
5-12
42%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25
31.5
20
43%
3
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-16
44%
2-7
29%
#4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24
28.9
17
61%
12
3
0
1
2
4
5
7
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
#31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27
23.7
10
100%
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29
21.6
2
33%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27
28.9
12
86%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28
21.1
8
40%
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
2-3
67%
#32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28
19.2
5
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
17.7
3
150%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#35 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 24
12.1
5
63%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SF · 6'9" 170 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#33 · SG · 6'7" 207 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
57%
44
23
4
3
7
14
14
30
16-19
84%
28-55
51%
17-39
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.