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All Games Friday, February 28, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Pacers
54%114
120
16
Heat
46%112
125
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
129.093101.6
MIA logo MIA
134.49387.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.120
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:03.8HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound120
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.8PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point pullup jump shot120
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.5HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
0.3%
125
99.7%
Q4 - 0:06.5HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
0.4%
124
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.5PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)120
0.5%
123
99.5%
Q4 - 0:27.1PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)120
4.8%
123
95.2%
Q4 - 0:43.8HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)120
16.8%
123
83.2%
Q4 - 1:04PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)120
43.2%
120
56.8%
Q4 - 1:15PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound118
33.7%
120
66.3%
Q4 - 1:16HeatAndrew Nembhard blocks Tyler Herro's two point floating jump shot118
29.3%
120
70.7%
Q4 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound118
20.8%
120
79.2%
Q4 - 1:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot118
29.5%
120
70.5%
Q4 - 1:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound118
21.9%
120
78.1%
Q4 - 1:29PacersPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot118
25.7%
120
74.3%
Q4 - 1:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)118
34.7%
120
65.3%
Q4 - 1:53PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)118
43.9%
118
56.1%
Q4 - 2:10PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)118
42.9%
118
57.1%
Q4 - 2:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)115
24.7%
118
75.3%
Q4 - 2:55PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)115
44.2%
115
55.8%
Q4 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)112
26.8%
115
73.2%
Q4 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound112
33.4%
113
66.6%
Q4 - 3:17PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup112
37.4%
113
62.6%
Q4 - 3:26HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)112
47.4%
113
52.6%
Q4 - 3:36PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound112
47.3%
113
52.7%
Q4 - 3:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot112
44.3%
113
55.7%
Q4 - 3:50PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)112
37.6%
113
62.4%
Q4 - 4:03HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound112
37.4%
113
62.6%
Q4 - 4:07PacersPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot112
40.3%
113
59.7%
Q4 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)112
47.1%
113
52.9%
Q4 - 4:33PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point running dunk112
55.2%
111
44.8%
Q4 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)110
47.1%
111
52.9%
Q4 - 4:50PacersPascal Siakam turnover (traveling)110
37.2%
111
62.8%
Q4 - 5:00PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound110
47.1%
111
52.9%
Q4 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot110
45.5%
111
54.5%
Q4 - 5:11HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound110
39.5%
111
60.5%
Q4 - 5:14PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot110
42.1%
111
57.9%
Q4 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)110
48.1%
111
51.9%
Q4 - 5:50PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup110
62.9%
108
37.1%
Q4 - 5:58PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound108
56.0%
108
44.0%
Q4 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot108
53.8%
108
46.2%
Q4 - 6:25PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)108
48.0%
108
52.0%
Q4 - 6:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot105
35.4%
108
64.6%
Q4 - 7:00PacersMyles Turner makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)105
40.9%
106
59.1%
Q4 - 7:06HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)102
31.8%
106
68.2%
Q4 - 7:34PacersPascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
25.2%
106
74.8%
Q4 - 7:40HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)100
21.6%
106
78.4%
Q4 - 7:55HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (back court violation)100
21.6%
106
78.4%
Q4 - 8:04PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)100
18.6%
106
81.4%
Q4 - 8:16HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)97
12.6%
106
87.4%
Q4 - 8:37PacersPascal Siakam makes two point running layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)97
15.1%
104
84.9%
Q4 - 8:42PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound95
12.6%
104
87.4%
Q4 - 8:46HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot95
11.7%
104
88.3%
Q4 - 9:06PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)95
11.2%
104
88.8%
Q4 - 9:19HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup92
7.6%
104
92.4%
Q4 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound92
9.0%
102
91.0%
Q4 - 9:32PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot92
9.7%
102
90.3%
Q4 - 9:47HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)92
11.4%
102
88.6%
Q4 - 10:01PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Loose ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)92
18.2%
99
81.8%
Q4 - 10:01HeatHeat defensive rebound92
18.2%
99
81.8%
Q4 - 10:02PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot92
19.4%
99
80.6%
Q4 - 10:14HeatAlec Burks personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)92
22.0%
99
78.0%
Q4 - 10:24PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound92
22.0%
99
78.0%
Q4 - 10:28HeatAlec Burks misses two point fadeaway jump shot92
20.8%
99
79.2%
Q4 - 10:47HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound92
18.1%
99
81.9%
Q4 - 10:51PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot92
19.2%
99
80.8%
Q4 - 11:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Alec Burks assists)92
23.1%
99
76.9%
Q4 - 11:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound92
26.7%
97
73.3%
Q4 - 11:25PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot92
28.0%
97
72.0%
Q4 - 11:30PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound92
31.1%
97
68.9%
Q4 - 11:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point turnaround jump shot92
29.7%
97
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.92
26.7%
97
73.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound92
28.3%
97
71.7%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot92
31.1%
97
68.9%
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound92
28.3%
97
71.7%
Q3 - 0:02.1PacersThomas Bryant misses three point pullup jump shot92
29.5%
97
70.5%
Q3 - 0:08.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)92
32.3%
97
67.7%
Q3 - 0:12.4PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)92
36.7%
95
63.3%
Q3 - 0:34.1HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup92
41.2%
95
58.8%
Q3 - 0:34.1HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound92
46.0%
93
54.0%
Q3 - 0:38.2HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving floating jump shot92
49.4%
93
50.6%
Q3 - 0:51.6PacersBen Sheppard turnover (lost ball) (Kel'el Ware steals)92
46.0%
93
54.0%
Q3 - 1:03HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 292
51.2%
93
48.8%
Q3 - 1:03HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 292
52.3%
92
47.7%
Q3 - 1:03PacersThomas Bryant shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)92
53.6%
91
46.4%
Q3 - 1:20PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)92
55.6%
91
44.4%
Q3 - 1:25PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound90
51.2%
91
48.8%
Q3 - 1:28HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot90
49.8%
91
50.2%
Q3 - 1:47PacersThomas Bryant makes two point running layup (T.J. McConnell assists)90
46.5%
91
53.5%
Q3 - 1:51HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)88
42.1%
91
57.9%
Q3 - 1:54HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound88
37.5%
91
62.5%
Q3 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot88
40.7%
91
59.3%
Q3 - 2:14PacersObi Toppin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)88
38.3%
91
61.7%
Q3 - 2:25PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound88
42.8%
91
57.2%
Q3 - 2:28PacersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot88
39.7%
91
60.3%
Q3 - 2:35HeatAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
42.8%
91
57.2%
Q3 - 2:37HeatHeat defensive rebound88
38.3%
91
61.7%
Q3 - 2:38PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot88
39.6%
91
60.4%
Q3 - 2:49HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)88
42.8%
91
57.2%
Q3 - 3:02HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound88
38.8%
91
61.2%
Q3 - 3:04PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
40.2%
91
59.8%
Q3 - 3:17HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving finger roll layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)88
43.6%
91
56.4%
Q3 - 3:29PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)88
46.9%
89
53.1%
Q3 - 3:50HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 286
43.5%
89
56.5%
Q3 - 3:50HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 286
44.5%
88
55.5%
Q3 - 3:50PacersThomas Bryant shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)86
45.8%
87
54.2%
Q3 - 3:58HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound86
46.9%
87
53.1%
Q3 - 4:01PacersObi Toppin misses three point fadeaway jump shot86
49.0%
87
51.0%
Q3 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)86
52.0%
87
48.0%
Q3 - 4:25HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound86
55.6%
85
44.4%
Q3 - 4:29PacersThomas Bryant misses two point layup86
56.9%
85
43.1%
Q3 - 4:42HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)86
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q3 - 4:52HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 286
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q3 - 4:52HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 286
60.8%
84
39.2%
Q3 - 4:52PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)86
61.9%
83
38.1%
Q3 - 4:52HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound86
63.3%
83
36.7%
Q3 - 4:52HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup86
66.1%
83
33.9%
Q3 - 5:00HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound86
63.3%
83
36.7%
Q3 - 5:03PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot86
64.2%
83
35.8%
Q3 - 5:18HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
66.8%
83
33.2%
Q3 - 5:30PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)86
63.0%
83
37.0%
Q3 - 5:39PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound84
59.7%
83
40.3%
Q3 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot84
58.4%
83
41.6%
Q3 - 6:01PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)84
55.7%
83
44.3%
Q3 - 6:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
48.7%
83
51.3%
Q3 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
55.7%
80
44.3%
Q3 - 6:12PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup81
56.9%
80
43.1%
Q3 - 6:14PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound81
59.7%
80
40.3%
Q3 - 6:19PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks Tyrese Haliburton's two point driving layup81
56.9%
80
43.1%
Q3 - 6:32PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound81
59.7%
80
40.3%
Q3 - 6:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot81
58.5%
80
41.5%
Q3 - 6:52HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound81
55.7%
80
44.3%
Q3 - 6:56PacersDavion Mitchell blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point running layup81
56.9%
80
43.1%
Q3 - 7:01PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound81
59.5%
80
40.5%
Q3 - 7:04HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot81
58.4%
80
41.6%
Q3 - 7:25PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)81
55.7%
80
44.3%
Q3 - 7:40HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)78
49.0%
80
51.0%
Q3 - 8:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
45.1%
80
54.9%
Q3 - 8:05PacersPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot78
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q3 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot78
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q3 - 8:38HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound78
52.1%
78
47.9%
Q3 - 8:41PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot78
53.3%
78
46.7%
Q3 - 8:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point hook shot (Davion Mitchell assists)78
56.2%
78
43.8%
Q3 - 9:20HeatHeat defensive rebound78
59.0%
76
41.0%
Q3 - 9:22PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot78
60.2%
76
39.8%
Q3 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)78
62.9%
76
37.1%
Q3 - 9:45PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 278
65.3%
74
34.7%
Q3 - 9:45PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 277
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)77
67.0%
74
33.0%
Q3 - 10:01HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)77
65.7%
74
34.3%
Q3 - 10:02HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound77
70.6%
71
29.4%
Q3 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup77
72.9%
71
27.1%
Q3 - 10:11PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)77
70.7%
71
29.3%
Q3 - 10:26HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
73.9%
71
26.1%
Q3 - 10:34PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)77
78.1%
68
21.9%
Q3 - 10:41PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point running layup77
78.1%
68
21.9%
Q3 - 10:44HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)75
76.3%
68
23.7%
Q3 - 10:59PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Myles Turner assists)75
73.3%
68
26.7%
Q3 - 11:09HeatAlec Burks turnover (double dribble)73
70.8%
68
29.2%
Q3 - 11:20PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point running layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)73
67.8%
68
32.2%
Q3 - 11:21PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound71
65.3%
68
34.7%
Q3 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup71
64.3%
68
35.7%
Q3 - 11:41PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)71
62.0%
68
38.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
59.3%
68
40.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1PacersPacers offensive rebound69
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q2 - 0:00.6PacersPascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot69
57.4%
68
42.6%
Q2 - 0:02.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot69
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q2 - 0:19.6PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point tip dunk69
62.5%
66
37.5%
Q2 - 0:19.6PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound67
59.4%
66
40.6%
Q2 - 0:20.9PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving floating jump shot67
57.4%
66
42.6%
Q2 - 0:36.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)67
59.4%
66
40.6%
Q2 - 0:53.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
62.4%
64
37.6%
Q2 - 0:56.2PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot67
63.3%
64
36.7%
Q2 - 1:21HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point running pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)67
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q2 - 1:24PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)67
70.7%
61
29.3%
Q2 - 1:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q2 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q2 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot67
79.0%
58
21.0%
Q2 - 1:56PacersMyles Turner turnover (traveling)67
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q2 - 2:10HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot67
79.1%
58
20.9%
Q2 - 2:32PacersThomas Bryant makes two point tip layup67
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q2 - 2:34PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound65
81.0%
55
19.0%
Q2 - 2:34PacersThomas Bryant misses two point tip layup65
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q2 - 2:34PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound65
81.0%
55
19.0%
Q2 - 2:41PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot65
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 265
80.4%
55
19.6%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 265
80.7%
54
19.3%
Q2 - 3:04PacersThomas Bryant shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)65
81.1%
53
18.9%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound65
81.7%
53
18.3%
Q2 - 3:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot65
83.1%
53
16.9%
Q2 - 3:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound65
81.8%
53
18.2%
Q2 - 3:27PacersThomas Bryant misses two point tip layup65
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 3:27PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound65
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 3:28PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point tip layup65
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 3:30PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound65
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 3:32PacersTyler Herro blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point running layup65
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 3:35HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)65
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 3:54PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)65
81.8%
53
18.2%
Q2 - 3:56PacersThomas Bryant defensive rebound63
80.5%
53
19.5%
Q2 - 3:59HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot63
79.8%
53
20.2%
Q2 - 4:14PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)63
77.8%
53
22.2%
Q2 - 4:22HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup60
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q2 - 4:33PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)60
75.9%
51
24.1%
Q2 - 4:52HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)58
74.2%
51
25.8%
Q2 - 5:02HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound58
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q2 - 5:06PacersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot58
78.3%
48
21.7%
Q2 - 5:12PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound58
79.9%
48
20.1%
Q2 - 5:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot58
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q2 - 5:21HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound58
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q2 - 5:23PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point pullup jump shot58
78.3%
48
21.7%
Q2 - 5:35HeatKel'el Ware makes two point putback dunk58
79.8%
48
20.2%
Q2 - 5:36HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound58
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q2 - 5:40HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup58
82.5%
46
17.5%
Q2 - 5:52PacersTyrese Haliburton personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)58
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q2 - 6:00PacersMyles Turner makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)58
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q2 - 6:06PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound55
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q2 - 6:08HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot55
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q2 - 6:22PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)55
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 6:31HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)52
71.8%
46
28.2%
Q2 - 6:45PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 252
69.1%
46
30.9%
Q2 - 6:45PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 251
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q2 - 6:45HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)50
68.1%
46
31.9%
Q2 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)50
66.9%
46
33.1%
Q2 - 7:28PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)50
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)47
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q2 - 7:50HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)47
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q2 - 7:52PacersBen Sheppard turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)47
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q2 - 7:55HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)47
71.3%
41
28.7%
Q2 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)47
71.1%
41
28.9%
Q2 - 8:20PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)47
74.8%
38
25.2%
Q2 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot44
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 9:03PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point pullup jump shot44
72.5%
36
27.5%
Q2 - 9:12HeatKyle Anderson personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)41
68.5%
36
31.5%
Q2 - 9:24HeatKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)41
68.5%
36
31.5%
Q2 - 9:39PacersBen Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)41
72.5%
33
27.5%
Q2 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)38
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 10:04PacersBen Sheppard makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)38
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 10:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot36
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 10:47PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 236
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 10:47PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 235
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 10:47HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)35
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 11:03PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound35
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 11:07HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot35
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 11:15HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound35
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 11:19PacersMyles Turner misses three point running jump shot35
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q2 - 11:24PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound35
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 11:28HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot35
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 11:42PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving layup35
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
70.2%
29
29.8%
Q1 - 0:06.3PacersBen Sheppard offensive rebound35
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q1 - 0:09.3PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot35
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q1 - 0:32.4HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)35
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q1 - 0:45.4PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)35
71.7%
27
28.3%
Q1 - 0:52.2PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound35
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q1 - 0:54.4HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot35
73.0%
27
27.0%
Q1 - 1:13PacersMyles Turner makes two point fadeaway jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)35
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 1:31PacersPacers defensive rebound33
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q1 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot33
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q1 - 1:49PacersObi Toppin makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)33
67.8%
27
32.2%
Q1 - 2:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)31
65.6%
27
34.4%
Q1 - 2:35PacersThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup31
69.2%
24
30.8%
Q1 - 2:37PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound29
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:40PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot29
66.0%
24
34.0%
Q1 - 2:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)29
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 3:07PacersObi Toppin makes two point layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)29
70.7%
21
29.3%
Q1 - 3:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot27
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q1 - 3:42PacersThomas Bryant makes two point running layup (Aaron Nesmith assists)27
70.7%
19
29.3%
Q1 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)25
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q1 - 4:14PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot25
65.6%
19
34.4%
Q1 - 4:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Davion Mitchell assists)22
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 4:38PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot22
63.8%
17
36.2%
Q1 - 5:02HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)19
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q1 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound19
61.8%
15
38.2%
Q1 - 5:15PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot19
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 5:23PacersPacers offensive rebound19
63.6%
15
36.4%
Q1 - 5:24PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot19
62.3%
15
37.7%
Q1 - 5:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot19
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 5:55PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)19
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 6:11PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound16
61.6%
13
38.4%
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot16
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 6:32PacersPascal Siakam makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)16
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 6:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot14
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 6:56PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)14
59.6%
11
40.4%
Q1 - 7:10PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound12
58.3%
11
41.7%
Q1 - 7:13HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point running layup12
57.7%
11
42.3%
Q1 - 7:18HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound12
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 7:22PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot12
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 7:29PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound12
58.2%
11
41.8%
Q1 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot12
57.6%
11
42.4%
Q1 - 7:56PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot12
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 8:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot9
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound9
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 8:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot9
56.3%
9
43.7%
Q1 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 8:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot9
56.2%
9
43.8%
Q1 - 8:31PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)9
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)6
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 9:08PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 26
55.1%
6
44.9%
Q1 - 9:08PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 25
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 9:08HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)5
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 9:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)5
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 9:19HeatHeat offensive rebound5
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 9:19HeatAndrew Nembhard blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot5
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound5
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 9:28PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point pullup jump shot5
54.4%
6
45.6%
Q1 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 35
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 35
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 35
54.4%
5
45.6%
Q1 - 9:39PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)5
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 9:55PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)5
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)2
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 10:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound2
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot2
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 10:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound2
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 10:39PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving layup2
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 10:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)2
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 10:57HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound2
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 10:59HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot2
55.2%
2
44.8%
Q1 - 11:20PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot2
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Kel'el Ware (Davion Mitchell gains possession)0
54.5%
0
45.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.28 63.8%
MIA
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
27
56%
MIA
16
21
76%
Midrange
IND
11
22
50%
MIA
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
21
31.5
39
54%
81%
MIA
17
25.5
32
53%
80%
Free Throws
IND
5
8
63%
MIA
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Siakam3678%18.0 / 23
M. Turner2279%11.0 / 14
T. Haliburton1963%9.5 / 15
A. Nembhard964%4.5 / 7
T. Bryant840%4.0 / 10
A. Nesmith744%3.5 / 8
O. Toppin788%3.5 / 4
T. McConnell744%3.5 / 8
B. Sheppard583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2954%14.5 / 27
D. Robinson20100%10.0 / 10
B. Adebayo1864%9.0 / 14
A. Burks1372%6.5 / 9
J. Jaquez11110%5.5 / 5
D. Mitchell1063%5.0 / 8
H. Highsmith975%4.5 / 6
K. Ware880%4.0 / 5
T. Rozier440%2.0 / 5
K. Anderson3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+11
-10
94
MIA
79
+14
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.28 63.8%
MIA
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.3
112.4
IND 129.0
MIA 134.4 +5.4
Pace
100.9
97.2
IND 101.6 +13.8
MIA 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
14.9
IND 14.2 +2.2
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
54.4%
IND 65.3%
MIA 67.3% +2.0%
TO %
12.0%
12.8%
IND 9.9% +4.4%
MIA 14.3%
ORB %
21.3%
22.3%
IND 25.0%
MIA 36.4% +11.4%
FTrt
24.1
23.2
IND 9.1
MIA 15.5 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
65.3%
IND 74.5% +3.7%
MIA 70.8%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
IND 10.8% +3.3%
MIA 7.5%
BLK %
10.2%
7.6%
IND 5.8%
MIA 8.2% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
56.0%
IND 63.8%
MIA 67.2% +3.4%
Rim FG%
66.7%
62.5%
IND 55.6%
MIA 76.2% +20.6%
Mid FG%
45.8%
44.4%
IND 50.0% +1.6%
MIA 48.4%
3P %
36.8%
36.7%
IND 53.8% +0.7%
MIA 53.1%
FT %
78.9%
79.1%
IND 62.5%
MIA 92.3% +29.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
29.6%
IND 30.7% +5.7%
MIA 25.0%
Mid Att. %
28.6%
27.5%
IND 25.0% +11.9%
MIA 36.9%
3P Att. %
40.0%
42.9%
IND 44.3% +6.2%
MIA 38.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.025.4
Points120125
Rebounds3039
Assists3534
Steals107
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1111
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)27 (3)
Field Goals47-8848-84
At-the-Rim FG15-2716-21
Midrange FG11-2215-31
2-Point FG26-4931-52
3-Point FG21-3917-32
Free Throws5-812-13
Fast Break Pts1710
2nd Chance Pts618
Points in Paint4254
Pts off Turnovers2519
Bench Points2749
Biggest Lead1212

BOXSCORE

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8 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrew Nembhard
#2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25
37.4
9
64%
3
11
1
2
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Tyrese Haliburton
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25
36.0
19
63%
2
10
4
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
3-5
60%
Aaron Nesmith
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25
35.4
7
44%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Myles Turner
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29
35.3
22
79%
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31
32.5
36
78%
6
2
2
0
1
3
1
5
2-4
50%
5-10
50%
8-11
73%
Obi Toppin
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27
15.6
7
88%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
Ben Sheppard
#26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24
15.0
5
83%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
T.J. McConnell
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33
13.2
7
44%
0
5
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
Thomas Bryant
#3 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28
12.7
8
40%
5
1
0
0
0
3
4
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
Jarace Walker
#5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Johnny Furphy
#12 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38
DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson
#29 · PG · 6'5" 173 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin
#00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Wrist; Sprain
Isaiah Jackson
#22 · C · 6'9" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Enrique Freeman
#8 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis
#10 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
64%
30
35
10
3
10
11
9
21
5-8
63%
26-49
53%
21-39
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.