Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Timberwolves	62%	112	116	114.9	101	104.9
	29	Jazz	38%	108	117	114.7	102	98.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+14

-7

108

UTA

+18

-20

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.07 53.7%

UTA

1.17 58.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	41.1	27	52%	11	5	3	1	2	3	4	7	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	6-15	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 24	35.0	20	63%	10	5	2	0	2	2	2	8	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	34.9	12	55%	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	28.1	17	53%	4	5	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	23.6	3	30%	1	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	18.0	4	50%	3	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	17.5	16	73%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	5-9	56%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	15.8	5	50%	1	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	NWT - Not With Team \| League Suspension
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	40	35	17	4	7	13	11	29	8-14	57%	24-49	49%	20-52	38%

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19 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	41.1	27	52%	11	5	3	1	2	3	4	7	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	6-15	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 24	35.0	20	63%	10	5	2	0	2	2	2	8	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	34.9	12	55%	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	28.1	17	53%	4	5	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	23.6	3	30%	1	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	18.0	4	50%	3	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	17.5	16	73%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	5-9	56%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	15.8	5	50%	1	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	NWT - Not With Team \| League Suspension
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	40	35	17	4	7	13	11	29	8-14	57%	24-49	49%	20-52	38%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	30.2	11	55%	3	14	0	0	6	1	0	3	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	27.0	29	76%	12	1	0	1	3	3	3	9	2-3	67%	9-12	75%	3-6	50%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	25.9	9	56%	13	1	1	2	0	0	3	10	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #33 · SF · 6'7" 226 · 24	21.3	2	17%	6	1	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	16.9	13	59%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	24.7	5	31%	4	9	0	0	0	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	22.7	17	85%	3	2	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	22.5	11	55%	13	2	0	0	5	3	5	8	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	21.6	11	92%	4	0	1	1	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	17.6	9	64%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-4	75%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	9.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury management
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	60	35	3	4	20	13	15	45	9-14	64%	33-57	58%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.07 53.7%

UTA

1.17 58.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

57%

UTA

72%

Midrange

MIN

42%

UTA

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

30.0

38%

58%

UTA

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIN

57%

UTA

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	27	52%	13.5 / 26
J. McDaniels	20	63%	10.0 / 16
T. Shannon	17	53%	8.5 / 16
L. Garza	16	73%	8.0 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. DiVincenzo	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Clark	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Dillingham	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Conley	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Collins	29	76%	14.5 / 19
B. Sensabaugh	17	85%	8.5 / 10
C. Sexton	13	59%	6.5 / 11
I. Collier	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Filipowski	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Martin	11	92%	5.5 / 6
W. Kessler	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. George	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Juzang	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Springer	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 24 110.3	MIN 114.9 +0.1 UTA 114.7
Pace	25 98.1 7 100.8	MIN 104.9 +6.6 UTA 98.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 13 14.7	MIN 13.7 −0.9 UTA 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 21 53.3%	MIN 53.5% UTA 58.7% +5.2%
TO %	19 13.9% 30 16.2%	MIN 6.1% −10.8% UTA 16.9%
ORB %	14 25.7% 6 26.9%	MIN 19.6% UTA 34.1% +14.5%
FTrt	11 24.9 7 25.2	MIN 13.9 UTA 15.2 +1.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 18 63.3%	MIN 79.5% +5.0% UTA 74.5%
STL %	16 8.1% 30 6.6%	MIN 16.8% +13.9% UTA 2.9%
BLK %	14 9.5% 25 8.5%	MIN 7.0% UTA 8.2% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 20 55.4%	MIN 53.7% UTA 58.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 15 63.8%	MIN 56.5% UTA 71.9% +15.4%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 17 43.1%	MIN 42.3% +2.3% UTA 40.0%
3P %	4 37.7% 22 35.0%	MIN 38.5% UTA 40.0% +1.5%
FT %	10 78.9% 22 77.4%	MIN 57.1% UTA 64.3% +7.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 27 28.8%	MIN 22.8% UTA 34.8% +12.0%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 15 26.2%	MIN 25.7% −1.4% UTA 27.2%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 7 44.9%	MIN 51.5% +13.4% UTA 38.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	UTA
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	116	117
Rebounds	40	60
Assists	35	35
Steals	17	3
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	13	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	45 (1)
Field Goals	44-101	47-92
At-the-Rim FG	13-23	23-32
Midrange FG	11-26	10-25
2-Point FG	24-49	33-57
3-Point FG	20-52	14-35
Free Throws	8-14	9-14
Fast Break Pts	7	15
2nd Chance Pts	14	18
Points in Paint	40	60
Pts off Turnovers	24	4
Bench Points	37	53
Biggest Lead	13	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg