Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Bulls	24%	115	112	113.1	99	103.0
	7	Pacers	76%	126	127	129.6	98	94.3

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+14

-12

101

IND

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.11 55.4%

IND

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	34.4	26	68%	7	1	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	4-9	44%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	33.9	18	45%	9	7	0	0	2	1	3	6	8-11	73%	5-11	45%	0-4	0%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	30.2	18	56%	6	3	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Zach Collins #12 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	29.2	16	80%	5	2	0	0	3	1	2	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-5	40%
Dalen Terry #25 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	18.6	2	20%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	27.0	11	92%	0	6	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	20.3	3	38%	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	17.8	10	71%	6	2	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	14.8	6	50%	3	1	1	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	13.8	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep Tendon; Tendinosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	42	24	6	4	12	17	12	30	14-18	78%	34-55	62%	10-33	30%

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27 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	34.4	26	68%	7	1	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	4-9	44%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	33.9	18	45%	9	7	0	0	2	1	3	6	8-11	73%	5-11	45%	0-4	0%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	30.2	18	56%	6	3	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Zach Collins #12 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	29.2	16	80%	5	2	0	0	3	1	2	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-5	40%
Dalen Terry #25 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	18.6	2	20%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	27.0	11	92%	0	6	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	20.3	3	38%	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	17.8	10	71%	6	2	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	14.8	6	50%	3	1	1	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	13.8	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep Tendon; Tendinosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	42	24	6	4	12	17	12	30	14-18	78%	34-55	62%	10-33	30%

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7 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	37.1	11	110%	2	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	31.3	16	53%	6	2	1	1	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-7	29%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	30.8	20	59%	6	4	0	2	3	3	1	5	3-7	43%	7-9	78%	1-5	20%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	30.7	17	71%	5	12	3	0	1	1	1	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	29.3	27	75%	5	1	0	0	1	3	2	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	6-11	55%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	20.6	9	75%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	16.3	11	92%	1	6	1	0	2	0	0	1	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	16.2	6	60%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	15.7	7	50%	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	8.9	3	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	66%	36	34	7	4	10	16	5	31	12-18	67%	29-43	67%	19-44	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.11 55.4%

IND

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

58%

IND

67%

Midrange

CHI

71%

IND

69%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

15.0

30%

45%

IND

28.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

CHI

78%

IND

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	26	68%	13.0 / 19
J. Giddey	18	45%	9.0 / 20
M. Buzelis	18	56%	9.0 / 16
Z. Collins	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Jones	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Smith	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Phillips	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Terry	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Carter	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nesmith	27	75%	13.5 / 18
P. Siakam	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Haliburton	17	71%	8.5 / 12
M. Turner	16	53%	8.0 / 15
A. Nembhard	11	110%	5.5 / 5
T. McConnell	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Sheppard	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Bryant	7	50%	3.5 / 7
O. Toppin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Walker	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.2 9 115.3	CHI 113.1 IND 129.6 +16.5
Pace	2 103.7 6 100.9	CHI 103.0 +8.7 IND 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.3 24 14.0	CHI 14.0 −1.3 IND 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.3% 4 56.2%	CHI 55.7% IND 66.1% +10.4%
TO %	17 13.4% 3 12.0%	CHI 12.7% IND 11.2% −1.5%
ORB %	28 22.3% 29 21.3%	CHI 27.9% +13.6% IND 14.3%
FTrt	29 21.4 17 24.1	CHI 20.5 IND 20.7 +0.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 8 67.1%	CHI 54.5% IND 70.8% +16.3%
STL %	29 7.2% 10 8.3%	CHI 6.1% IND 7.1% +1.0%
BLK %	26 8.5% 8 10.2%	CHI 9.3% +2.0% IND 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.0% 7 57.6%	CHI 55.4% IND 65.5% +10.1%
Rim FG%	24 61.6% 6 66.7%	CHI 57.9% IND 66.7% +8.8%
Mid FG%	3 46.2% 6 45.8%	CHI 70.6% +1.8% IND 68.8%
3P %	13 36.7% 9 36.8%	CHI 30.3% IND 43.2% +12.9%
FT %	3 80.9% 9 78.9%	CHI 77.8% +11.1% IND 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 33.2% 17 31.4%	CHI 43.2% +12.1% IND 31.0%
Mid Att. %	2 21.1% 24 28.6%	CHI 19.3% IND 18.4% −0.9%
3P Att. %	4 45.7% 21 40.0%	CHI 37.5% IND 50.6% +13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	IND
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	112	127
Rebounds	42	36
Assists	24	34
Steals	6	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	10 (2)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	31 (1)
Field Goals	44-88	48-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	18-27
Midrange FG	12-17	11-16
2-Point FG	34-55	29-43
3-Point FG	10-33	19-44
Free Throws	14-18	12-18
Fast Break Pts	18	15
2nd Chance Pts	15	6
Points in Paint	60	48
Pts off Turnovers	25	16
Bench Points	32	36
Biggest Lead	9	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg