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All Games Sunday, March 2, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Knicks
58%112
116
15
Heat
42%109
112
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
116.010090.0
MIA logo MIA
112.010091.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0End of 1st OT.116
100%
112
0%
OT1 - 0:06.1KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound116
99.7%
112
0.3%
OT1 - 0:06.1HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot116
99.5%
112
0.5%
OT1 - 0:17.3KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Mikal Bridges assists)116
96.1%
112
3.9%
OT1 - 0:27.3HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)114
90.0%
112
10.0%
OT1 - 0:30.2KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)114
97.1%
109
2.9%
OT1 - 0:30.5HeatHeat offensive rebound114
97.1%
109
2.9%
OT1 - 0:32.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot114
98.6%
109
1.4%
OT1 - 0:42.3KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
95.6%
109
4.4%
OT1 - 0:42.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 1 of 2113
95.1%
109
4.9%
OT1 - 0:42.3HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)113
97.1%
109
2.9%
OT1 - 1:02KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound113
94.4%
109
5.6%
OT1 - 1:02HeatJosh Hart blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot113
93.2%
109
6.8%
OT1 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound113
89.3%
109
10.7%
OT1 - 1:04HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot113
93.1%
109
6.9%
OT1 - 1:15KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)113
88.1%
109
11.9%
OT1 - 1:36KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound111
79.9%
109
20.1%
OT1 - 1:37HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup111
76.8%
109
23.2%
OT1 - 1:52HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound111
67.5%
109
32.5%
OT1 - 1:54KnicksOG Anunoby misses regular free throw 2 of 2111
69.2%
109
30.8%
OT1 - 1:54KnicksOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
75.3%
109
24.7%
OT1 - 1:54HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)110
73.4%
109
26.6%
OT1 - 2:04Jump ball. OG Anunoby vs. Bam Adebayo (Josh Hart gains possession)110
70.9%
109
29.1%
OT1 - 2:27KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot110
56.2%
109
43.8%
OT1 - 2:46KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound107
36.2%
109
63.8%
OT1 - 2:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot107
31.5%
109
68.5%
OT1 - 2:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound107
22.3%
109
77.7%
OT1 - 2:53KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot107
29.3%
109
70.7%
OT1 - 3:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot107
37.6%
109
62.4%
OT1 - 3:34HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound107
48.1%
107
51.9%
OT1 - 3:35KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point fadeaway jump shot107
51.0%
107
49.0%
OT1 - 3:51KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound107
57.7%
107
42.3%
OT1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot107
54.7%
107
45.3%
OT1 - 4:13KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot107
47.7%
107
52.3%
OT1 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot105
39.6%
107
60.4%
OT1 - 5:00Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Kel'el Ware (Tyler Herro gains possession)105
47.6%
105
52.4%
Q4 - 0:00.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound105
48.9%
105
51.1%
Q4 - 0:00.4KnicksMikal Bridges misses three point jump shot105
45.1%
105
54.9%
Q4 - 0:03.5KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound105
57.6%
105
42.4%
Q4 - 0:03.5HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot105
51.3%
105
48.7%
Q4 - 0:26.8KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point running finger roll layup (Josh Hart assists)105
37.4%
105
62.6%
Q4 - 0:31.3KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound103
25.6%
105
74.4%
Q4 - 0:33.5HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot103
19.6%
105
80.4%
Q4 - 0:51.5KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point tip layup103
18.1%
105
81.9%
Q4 - 0:52.6KnicksOG Anunoby offensive rebound101
11.7%
105
88.3%
Q4 - 0:52.9KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot101
7.5%
105
92.5%
Q4 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (OG Anunoby draws the foul)101
13.7%
105
86.3%
Q4 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot101
15.4%
105
84.6%
Q4 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound101
23.7%
103
76.3%
Q4 - 1:34KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot101
27.2%
103
72.8%
Q4 - 1:46HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)101
35.9%
103
64.1%
Q4 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound101
24.5%
103
75.5%
Q4 - 1:54KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point stepback jump shot101
27.7%
103
72.3%
Q4 - 2:21HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot101
36.2%
103
63.8%
Q4 - 2:39KnicksOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)101
56.2%
100
43.8%
Q4 - 2:42HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (OG Anunoby steals)101
71.7%
100
28.3%
Q4 - 2:58KnicksMiles McBride makes two point pullup jump shot101
56.4%
100
43.6%
Q4 - 3:13HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)99
48.6%
100
51.4%
Q4 - 3:28KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound99
48.7%
100
51.3%
Q4 - 3:31HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 299
47.7%
100
52.3%
Q4 - 3:31HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 299
42.5%
100
57.5%
Q4 - 3:31KnicksMiles McBride personal foul (Loose ball) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)99
36.5%
100
63.5%
Q4 - 3:31KnicksMiles McBride turnover (lost ball)99
27.9%
100
72.1%
Q4 - 3:34KnicksMiles McBride defensive rebound99
49.0%
100
51.0%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot99
46.0%
100
54.0%
Q4 - 3:59KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point running layup99
39.0%
100
61.0%
Q4 - 4:04KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound97
31.6%
100
68.4%
Q4 - 4:06HeatOG Anunoby blocks Tyler Herro's three point pullup jump shot97
29.0%
100
71.0%
Q4 - 4:20KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
23.4%
100
76.6%
Q4 - 4:37KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound95
18.0%
100
82.0%
Q4 - 4:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot95
16.3%
100
83.7%
Q4 - 5:01KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot95
16.6%
100
83.4%
Q4 - 5:09KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound93
13.0%
100
87.0%
Q4 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot93
11.9%
100
88.1%
Q4 - 5:24KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
9.5%
100
90.5%
Q4 - 5:38KnicksMiles McBride makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)93
9.4%
100
90.6%
Q4 - 5:59KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound90
5.3%
100
94.7%
Q4 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 290
7.5%
100
92.5%
Q4 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
6.4%
100
93.6%
Q4 - 6:02KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
6.7%
99
93.3%
Q4 - 6:16KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving layup90
7.4%
99
92.6%
Q4 - 6:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)88
5.9%
99
94.1%
Q4 - 6:50KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 2 of 288
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 6:50KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 287
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 6:50HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)86
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
7.8%
97
92.2%
Q4 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 7:22KnicksMiles McBride misses two point stepback jump shot86
6.3%
97
93.7%
Q4 - 7:41KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound86
7.7%
97
92.3%
Q4 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 286
7.4%
97
92.6%
Q4 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 286
6.3%
97
93.7%
Q4 - 7:43KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 8:03KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Miles McBride assists)86
8.7%
96
91.3%
Q4 - 8:27KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound84
7.1%
96
92.9%
Q4 - 8:29HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 284
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 8:29HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 284
5.8%
96
94.2%
Q4 - 8:29KnicksMiles McBride shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)84
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 8:31KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses technical free throw 1 of 184
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 8:31HeatTerry Rozier technical foul84
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 8:31HeatHeat offensive rebound84
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 8:31HeatOG Anunoby blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup84
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 8:40KnicksMiles McBride misses two point fadeaway jump shot84
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 8:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)84
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 9:10KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot84
13.1%
93
86.9%
Q4 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)84
15.2%
93
84.8%
Q4 - 9:34HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound84
17.9%
91
82.1%
Q4 - 9:35KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot84
19.1%
91
80.9%
Q4 - 9:57KnicksKnicks defensive rebound84
22.0%
91
78.0%
Q4 - 9:57HeatOG Anunoby blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving finger roll layup84
20.7%
91
79.3%
Q4 - 10:11KnicksLandry Shamet turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)84
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)84
23.8%
91
76.2%
Q4 - 10:32KnicksKnicks turnover (shot clock violation)84
27.3%
89
72.7%
Q4 - 10:56HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)84
32.4%
89
67.6%
Q4 - 10:56KnicksKnicks defensive rebound84
32.4%
89
67.6%
Q4 - 10:56HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot84
30.8%
89
69.2%
Q4 - 11:22KnicksCameron Payne makes three point jump shot (Miles McBride assists)84
28.8%
89
71.2%
Q4 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
21.2%
89
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
24.7%
87
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound81
26.5%
87
73.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot81
27.7%
87
72.3%
Q3 - 0:13.7HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot81
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q3 - 0:28.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
39.1%
84
60.9%
Q3 - 0:31.8KnicksMikal Bridges misses three point running pullup jump shot81
40.5%
84
59.5%
Q3 - 0:35.7KnicksMikal Bridges defensive rebound81
43.8%
84
56.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot81
42.4%
84
57.6%
Q3 - 0:52.5KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point tip layup81
39.1%
84
60.9%
Q3 - 0:52.5KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound79
34.5%
84
65.5%
Q3 - 0:53.4KnicksMikal Bridges misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot79
31.5%
84
68.5%
Q3 - 1:10HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds lost ball)79
36.0%
84
64.0%
Q3 - 1:30KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)79
31.7%
84
68.3%
Q3 - 1:31KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound76
24.5%
84
75.5%
Q3 - 1:34KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot76
22.1%
84
77.9%
Q3 - 1:56KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound76
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q3 - 1:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot76
23.4%
84
76.6%
Q3 - 2:18KnicksMikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)76
22.6%
84
77.4%
Q3 - 2:35KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound73
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q3 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot73
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q3 - 2:50KnicksJosh Hart makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Brunson assists)73
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q3 - 2:59KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound71
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q3 - 3:03HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot71
13.3%
84
86.7%
Q3 - 3:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound71
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q3 - 3:13KnicksKel'el Ware blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup71
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q3 - 3:34HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)71
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q3 - 3:34HeatDavion Mitchell offensive foul (Charge) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)71
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q3 - 3:53HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound71
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q3 - 3:54KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot71
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q3 - 4:13KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound71
15.2%
84
84.8%
Q3 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot71
14.5%
84
85.5%
Q3 - 4:39KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point pullup jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)71
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q3 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup68
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q3 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q3 - 4:59HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot68
12.5%
82
87.5%
Q3 - 5:06KnicksOG Anunoby personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 5:22KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)68
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 5:43HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)65
9.4%
82
90.6%
Q3 - 5:57KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving dunk (OG Anunoby assists)65
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q3 - 6:10KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound63
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 6:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot63
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q3 - 6:20KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 263
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q3 - 6:20KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 1 of 262
10.0%
79
90.0%
Q3 - 6:20HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)62
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 6:26KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound62
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q3 - 6:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot62
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 6:34KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)62
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 6:38KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound62
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q3 - 6:40HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot62
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q3 - 6:50KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot62
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q3 - 7:10HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)60
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 7:24KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point driving dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)60
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 7:39HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot58
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 7:50KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving layup (Mikal Bridges assists)58
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 7:56HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Mikal Bridges draws the foul)56
10.0%
74
90.0%
Q3 - 8:10HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)56
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 8:27KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)56
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 8:40HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Alec Burks assists)53
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 8:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound53
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 8:46KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot53
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q3 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Brunson steals)53
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 9:09KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
12.8%
69
87.2%
Q3 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 351
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q3 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 351
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q3 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 351
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 9:33KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)51
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 9:46KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)51
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)51
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 10:13HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound51
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 10:16KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot51
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 10:26HeatAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
21.4%
64
78.6%
Q3 - 10:40KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point cutting layup (Mikal Bridges assists)51
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 10:47KnicksMikal Bridges offensive rebound49
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 10:49KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot49
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)49
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 11:17KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)49
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 11:33HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q3 - 11:44KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)47
15.9%
62
84.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound45
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1KnicksMikal Bridges misses three point jump shot45
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q2 - 0:01.8HeatKel'el Ware turnover (offensive goaltending)45
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q2 - 0:25.4KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point putback layup45
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q2 - 0:25.6KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound43
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q2 - 0:27.3KnicksMikal Bridges misses two point jump shot43
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q2 - 0:32.7KnicksKnicks offensive rebound43
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q2 - 0:33.7KnicksKel'el Ware blocks OG Anunoby's two point driving layup43
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q2 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup43
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q2 - 1:07KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 2 of 243
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q2 - 1:07KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 242
14.5%
60
85.5%
Q2 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)41
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q2 - 1:07KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound41
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q2 - 1:07KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup41
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 241
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q2 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 241
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q2 - 1:24KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q2 - 1:31KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 2 of 241
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q2 - 1:31KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 240
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q2 - 1:31HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)39
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q2 - 1:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 239
13.1%
58
86.9%
Q2 - 1:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 1:43KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q2 - 1:56KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)39
14.6%
56
85.4%
Q2 - 1:56HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound39
14.6%
56
85.4%
Q2 - 1:57KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot39
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q2 - 2:18HeatKel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)39
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 2:38HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound39
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q2 - 2:40KnicksMikal Bridges misses three point jump shot39
19.3%
54
80.7%
Q2 - 2:50HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)39
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q2 - 3:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot39
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q2 - 3:13HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound39
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 3:14KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot39
26.6%
51
73.4%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup39
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q2 - 3:37HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound39
30.2%
49
69.8%
Q2 - 3:40KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot39
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q2 - 3:50HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)39
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q2 - 4:07KnicksKnicks offensive rebound39
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q2 - 4:07KnicksKel'el Ware blocks Josh Hart's two point floating jump shot39
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 139
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q2 - 4:27KnicksLandry Shamet shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)39
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
38.8%
46
61.2%
Q2 - 4:45KnicksLandry Shamet misses three point stepback jump shot39
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)39
41.8%
46
58.2%
Q2 - 5:19HeatHeat defensive rebound39
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 5:19KnicksJosh Hart misses three point stepback jump shot39
45.5%
44
54.5%
Q2 - 5:44HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)39
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q2 - 5:58KnicksCameron Payne makes two point running layup39
49.9%
42
50.1%
Q2 - 6:05HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Cameron Payne steals)37
48.2%
42
51.8%
Q2 - 6:10HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound37
45.1%
42
54.9%
Q2 - 6:14KnicksMiles McBride misses three point pullup jump shot37
46.0%
42
54.0%
Q2 - 6:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)37
48.2%
42
51.8%
Q2 - 6:36KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving floating jump shot37
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 6:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)35
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 7:04KnicksMiles McBride makes regular free throw 2 of 235
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 7:04KnicksMiles McBride misses regular free throw 1 of 234
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 7:04HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Miles McBride draws the foul)34
57.5%
36
42.5%
Q2 - 7:16KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound34
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 7:16KnicksLandry Shamet misses three point jump shot34
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 7:24KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound34
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 7:27HeatKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround hook shot34
55.3%
36
44.8%
Q2 - 7:50KnicksMiles McBride makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)34
53.3%
36
46.7%
Q2 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)31
48.6%
36
51.4%
Q2 - 8:15KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 8:20KnicksCameron Payne defensive rebound31
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 8:24HeatKarl-Anthony Towns blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup31
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 8:38HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound31
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 8:40KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot31
51.7%
34
48.3%
Q2 - 8:47KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound31
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q2 - 8:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot31
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 9:02KnicksLandry Shamet makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)31
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 9:19HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)28
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 9:36KnicksLandry Shamet personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)28
48.3%
32
51.7%
Q2 - 9:43KnicksCameron Payne personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)28
48.3%
32
51.7%
Q2 - 9:49KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving layup (Cameron Payne assists)28
48.3%
32
51.7%
Q2 - 10:04HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)26
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 10:20KnicksLandry Shamet makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cameron Payne assists)26
51.3%
29
48.7%
Q2 - 10:41HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup24
48.9%
29
51.1%
Q2 - 10:50KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
51.2%
27
48.8%
Q2 - 10:52KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound24
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 10:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
53.0%
27
47.0%
Q2 - 11:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound24
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 11:10KnicksCameron Payne misses three point jump shot24
52.3%
27
47.7%
Q2 - 11:17KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound24
54.0%
27
46.0%
Q2 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot24
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 11:40KnicksJosh Hart makes two point pullup jump shot (Cameron Payne assists)24
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot22
48.6%
27
51.4%
Q1 - 0:05.3KnicksMiles McBride makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:23.9KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound19
42.4%
27
57.6%
Q1 - 0:25.9HeatKel'el Ware misses three point pullup jump shot19
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)19
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 0:54.5KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 0:57.1KnicksMiles McBride defensive rebound19
42.4%
27
57.6%
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot19
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 1:03HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound19
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q1 - 1:09KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot19
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q1 - 1:21KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound19
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q1 - 1:21HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot19
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 1:29KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point running layup19
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q1 - 1:34HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Brunson steals)17
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 1:44KnicksKnicks turnover (shot clock violation)17
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q1 - 1:44KnicksKnicks offensive rebound17
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 1:44KnicksMikal Bridges misses two point jump shot17
36.9%
27
63.1%
Q1 - 1:44KnicksKnicks offensive rebound17
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 1:44KnicksKel'el Ware blocks Jalen Brunson's two point driving layup17
36.9%
27
63.1%
Q1 - 2:09HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)17
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q1 - 2:27KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point tip layup17
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q1 - 2:27KnicksOG Anunoby offensive rebound15
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 2:28KnicksOG Anunoby misses two point tip layup15
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q1 - 2:29KnicksOG Anunoby offensive rebound15
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 2:30KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot15
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk15
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound15
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 2:57HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot15
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q1 - 3:02HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound15
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 3:03KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot15
42.0%
23
58.0%
Q1 - 3:13KnicksMikal Bridges defensive rebound15
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 3:14HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Tyler Herro's two point running finger roll layup15
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 3:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound15
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 3:22KnicksKel'el Ware blocks Mikal Bridges's two point driving layup15
42.0%
23
58.0%
Q1 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)15
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup15
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 4:05KnicksJosh Hart makes two point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)15
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q1 - 4:31HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)13
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 4:51KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)13
47.4%
19
52.6%
Q1 - 5:02HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Alec Burks assists)10
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 5:22KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)10
46.6%
17
53.4%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot10
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 5:53HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound10
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 5:56KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot10
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)10
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 6:43KnicksMikal Bridges makes two point fadeaway jump shot10
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 7:04HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving reverse layup8
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 7:20KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot8
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 7:21KnicksJalen Brunson offensive rebound5
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 7:24KnicksMikal Bridges misses three point running pullup jump shot5
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 7:27KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound5
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 7:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot5
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 7:42HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound5
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 7:43KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot5
50.9%
11
49.1%
Q1 - 7:57HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)5
52.2%
11
47.8%
Q1 - 8:15KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (offensive foul)5
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 8:15KnicksJalen Brunson offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)5
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)5
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:37HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound5
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:40KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot5
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 8:45KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound5
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 8:49HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot5
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 9:03KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)5
58.0%
6
42.0%
Q1 - 9:21HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot2
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 9:32KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving dunk2
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 9:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Davion Mitchell assists)0
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound0
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:10KnicksKel'el Ware blocks OG Anunoby's two point turnaround hook shot0
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:23HeatKel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:23HeatKel'el Ware offensive foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)0
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 10:31KnicksKnicks turnover (shot clock violation)0
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 10:31KnicksKnicks offensive rebound0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:31KnicksJosh Hart misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:09KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point floating jump shot0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:11KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound0
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:13KnicksOG Anunoby misses two point turnaround jump shot0
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:32KnicksMikal Bridges defensive rebound0
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 12:00Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Kel'el Ware (Davion Mitchell gains possession)0
57.8%
0
42.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
22
29
76%
MIA
19
29
66%
Midrange
NYK
10
22
45%
MIA
15
20
75%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
14
21.0
44
32%
48%
MIA
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
Free Throws
NYK
10
15
67%
MIA
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brunson3157%15.5 / 27
O. Anunoby2361%11.5 / 19
K. Towns1968%9.5 / 14
J. Hart1458%7.0 / 12
M. McBride1255%6.0 / 11
M. Bridges523%2.5 / 11
L. Shamet563%2.5 / 4
C. Payne583%2.5 / 3
M. Robinson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3079%15.0 / 19
T. Herro2244%11.0 / 25
K. Ware1286%6.0 / 7
A. Burks12120%6.0 / 5
D. Mitchell1155%5.5 / 10
D. Robinson1050%5.0 / 10
H. Highsmith880%4.0 / 5
T. Rozier536%2.5 / 7
K. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
90
+18
-10
108
MIA
88
+6
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.3
112.4
NYK 116.0 +4.0
MIA 112.0
Pace
97.7
97.2
NYK 90.0
MIA 91.2 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.9
NYK 16.0
MIA 15.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.6%
54.4%
NYK 55.8%
MIA 60.1% +4.3%
TO %
12.3%
12.8%
NYK 11.3% +1.2%
MIA 12.5%
ORB %
26.0%
22.3%
NYK 26.2% +18.3%
MIA 7.9%
FTrt
23.2
23.2
NYK 15.8
MIA 19.0 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
65.3%
NYK 58.7%
MIA 64.4% +5.7%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
NYK 5.0%
MIA 5.0%
BLK %
7.6%
7.6%
NYK 12.2% +0.4%
MIA 11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
56.0%
NYK 53.7%
MIA 59.6% +5.9%
Rim FG%
63.7%
62.5%
NYK 75.9% +10.4%
MIA 65.5%
Mid FG%
45.9%
44.4%
NYK 45.5%
MIA 75.0% +29.5%
3P %
36.9%
36.7%
NYK 31.8% +0.4%
MIA 31.4%
FT %
80.0%
79.1%
NYK 66.7%
MIA 68.8% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
29.6%
NYK 30.5%
MIA 34.5% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
27.3%
27.5%
NYK 23.2% +0.7%
MIA 23.8%
3P Att. %
38.2%
42.9%
NYK 46.3% +4.6%
MIA 41.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes26.726.3
Points116112
Rebounds4634
Assists2729
Steals55
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)12 (1)
Fouls1616
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals46-9545-84
At-the-Rim FG22-2919-29
Midrange FG10-2215-20
2-Point FG32-5134-49
3-Point FG14-4411-35
Free Throws10-1511-16
Fast Break Pts95
2nd Chance Pts198
Points in Paint5856
Pts off Turnovers1117
Bench Points2425
Biggest Lead519

BOXSCORE

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8 New York Knicks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Hart
#3 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 30
43.1
14
58%
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
OG Anunoby
#8 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 28
43.0
23
61%
9
5
2
3
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
4-9
44%
Jalen Brunson
#11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 29
42.4
31
57%
5
6
2
0
3
5
1
4
2-4
50%
10-14
71%
3-11
27%
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 29
39.8
19
68%
16
0
0
1
3
4
4
12
6-7
86%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Mikal Bridges
#25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 29
28.5
5
23%
4
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-6
17%
Miles McBride
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
30.5
12
55%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
Landry Shamet
#44 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 28
14.4
5
63%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Mitchell Robinson
#23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
13.3
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
#1 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 31
10.2
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · C · 6'9" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Delon Wright
#0 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
Pacôme Dadiet
#4 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin
#00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin McCullar Jr.
#9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan
#37 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Kolek
#13 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Ariel Hukporti
#55 · C · 6'11" 246 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
116
54%
46
27
5
6
10
16
11
35
10-15
67%
32-51
63%
14-44
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.