Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	81%	118	146	143.1	102	99.0
	21	Spurs	19%	105	132	129.4	102	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+15

-7

110

SAS

+10

-12

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.33 66.4%

SAS

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	34.8	19	68%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	32.9	41	79%	6	6	1	1	0	2	0	6	7-7	100%	11-16	69%	4-8	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	31.8	31	67%	4	8	1	2	0	1	2	2	8-9	89%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	29.0	10	63%	11	7	0	1	2	2	3	8	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	23.5	9	50%	9	2	1	0	0	2	4	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-6	17%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	24.1	17	65%	3	2	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	5-8	63%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	20.3	10	71%	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	16.2	7	70%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.4	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	10.1	0	0%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	66%	45	34	7	6	7	16	12	33	17-20	85%	36-57	63%	19-44	43%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	34.8	19	68%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	32.9	41	79%	6	6	1	1	0	2	0	6	7-7	100%	11-16	69%	4-8	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	31.8	31	67%	4	8	1	2	0	1	2	2	8-9	89%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	29.0	10	63%	11	7	0	1	2	2	3	8	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	23.5	9	50%	9	2	1	0	0	2	4	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-6	17%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	24.1	17	65%	3	2	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	5-8	63%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	20.3	10	71%	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	16.2	7	70%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.4	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	10.1	0	0%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	66%	45	34	7	6	7	16	12	33	17-20	85%	36-57	63%	19-44	43%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.9	20	53%	4	4	0	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-8	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	32.7	15	47%	3	5	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	28.7	14	70%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.2	6	150%	3	6	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	18.3	2	50%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	31.9	32	67%	8	3	0	0	4	2	4	4	4-7	57%	8-11	73%	4-10	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	24.5	17	94%	4	4	1	1	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	19.2	7	70%	6	5	0	0	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	10.8	8	100%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	2.3	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	2.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	2.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	2.3	3	150%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	66%	35	36	2	3	12	17	6	29	12-16	75%	33-48	69%	18-43	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.33 66.4%

SAS

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

73%

SAS

74%

Midrange

OKC

50%

SAS

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

28.5

43%

65%

SAS

27.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

OKC

85%

SAS

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	41	79%	20.5 / 26
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	67%	15.5 / 23
C. Wallace	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Wiggins	17	65%	8.5 / 13
I. Hartenstein	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Caruso	10	71%	5.0 / 7
L. Dort	9	50%	4.5 / 9
O. Dieng	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	32	67%	16.0 / 24
D. Fox	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Sochan	17	94%	8.5 / 9
D. Vassell	15	47%	7.5 / 16
H. Barnes	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Johnson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Paul	6	150%	3.0 / 2
S. Mamukelashvili	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Branham	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. McLaughlin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
B. Biyombo	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 19 113.5	OKC 143.1 +13.7 SAS 129.4
Pace	5 100.9 13 100.1	OKC 99.0 SAS 105.1 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 20 14.3	OKC 14.5 SAS 13.7 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 18 54.4%	OKC 63.9% SAS 65.9% +2.0%
TO %	1 10.9% 11 13.2%	OKC 6.0% −5.7% SAS 11.7%
ORB %	21 24.2% 20 24.3%	OKC 29.3% +13.9% SAS 15.4%
FTrt	28 22.0 22 23.4	OKC 19.8 +2.2 SAS 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 3 68.5%	OKC 61.8% SAS 70.6% +8.8%
STL %	1 10.2% 14 8.2%	OKC 6.9% +4.9% SAS 2.0%
BLK %	2 11.9% 5 10.5%	OKC 12.5% +7.2% SAS 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 18 56.3%	OKC 66.4% +0.4% SAS 66.0%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 14 63.9%	OKC 72.7% SAS 74.1% +1.4%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 20 41.8%	OKC 50.0% SAS 61.9% +11.9%
3P %	6 37.4% 20 35.7%	OKC 43.2% +1.3% SAS 41.9%
FT %	1 81.9% 21 77.4%	OKC 85.0% +10.0% SAS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 8 33.7%	OKC 32.7% +3.0% SAS 29.7%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 4 22.2%	OKC 23.8% SAS 23.1% −0.7%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 8 44.1%	OKC 43.6% SAS 47.3% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	146	132
Rebounds	45	35
Assists	34	36
Steals	7	2
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	29 (3)
Field Goals	55-101	51-91
At-the-Rim FG	24-33	20-27
Midrange FG	12-24	13-21
2-Point FG	36-57	33-48
3-Point FG	19-44	18-43
Free Throws	17-20	12-16
Fast Break Pts	15	6
2nd Chance Pts	21	13
Points in Paint	60	60
Pts off Turnovers	12	9
Bench Points	36	75
Biggest Lead	22	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg