Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Pelicans	64%	118	128	125.5	102	97.9
	30	Jazz	36%	113	121	118.6	102	106.5

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+18

-11

109

UTA

+15

-11

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.17 58.7%

UTA

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 25	36.4	20	50%	6	6	2	1	4	2	2	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	3-13	23%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	32.6	25	69%	3	8	0	1	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	5-12	42%
Zion Williamson #1 · SF · 6'6" 284 · 25	29.4	24	63%	6	9	2	0	1	1	1	5	2-3	67%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	27.9	8	67%	7	0	1	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	26.0	26	81%	9	4	1	0	1	1	3	6	3-5	60%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	23.8	3	21%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	22.2	8	67%	8	2	2	0	0	1	1	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	21.9	8	50%	4	3	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.8	6	50%	5	1	0	2	0	4	2	3	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	48	35	8	5	11	15	13	35	7-13	54%	38-58	66%	15-44	34%

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25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 25	36.4	20	50%	6	6	2	1	4	2	2	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	3-13	23%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	32.6	25	69%	3	8	0	1	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	5-12	42%
Zion Williamson #1 · SF · 6'6" 284 · 25	29.4	24	63%	6	9	2	0	1	1	1	5	2-3	67%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	27.9	8	67%	7	0	1	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	26.0	26	81%	9	4	1	0	1	1	3	6	3-5	60%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	23.8	3	21%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	22.2	8	67%	8	2	2	0	0	1	1	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	21.9	8	50%	4	3	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.8	6	50%	5	1	0	2	0	4	2	3	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	48	35	8	5	11	15	13	35	7-13	54%	38-58	66%	15-44	34%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 21	30.7	21	58%	2	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	28.9	11	55%	2	8	1	2	0	2	0	2	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	27.6	12	50%	11	7	0	0	3	2	2	9	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	25.9	5	63%	2	1	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Johnny Juzang #33 · PF · 6'7" 226 · 24	18.4	8	44%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-7	14%

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	31.1	28	61%	3	6	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	21.9	8	57%	6	3	1	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	20.4	16	89%	13	1	1	0	0	1	4	9	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	17.8	7	58%	0	3	0	1	0	3	0	0	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	17.3	5	63%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	41	35	4	4	11	14	9	32	13-17	76%	30-52	58%	16-44	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.17 58.7%

UTA

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

73%

UTA

63%

Midrange

NOP

57%

UTA

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

22.5

34%

51%

UTA

24.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

NOP

54%

UTA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk	26	81%	13.0 / 16
C. McCollum	25	69%	12.5 / 18
Z. Williamson	24	63%	12.0 / 19
T. Murphy	20	50%	10.0 / 20
Y. Missi	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Brown	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Hawkins	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Matković	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Alvarado	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	28	61%	14.0 / 23
B. Sensabaugh	21	58%	10.5 / 18
O. Tshiebwe	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Filipowski	12	50%	6.0 / 12
I. Collier	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Juzang	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Potter	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Springer	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Martin	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Williams	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 24 110.3	NOP 125.5 +6.9 UTA 118.6
Pace	15 99.8 7 100.8	NOP 97.9 UTA 106.5 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 13 14.7	NOP 14.7 UTA 13.5 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 21 53.3%	NOP 59.3% +3.0% UTA 56.3%
TO %	20 13.9% 30 16.2%	NOP 9.3% −1.9% UTA 11.2%
ORB %	9 26.3% 6 26.9%	NOP 28.9% +8.4% UTA 20.5%
FTrt	15 24.4 7 25.2	NOP 12.7 UTA 17.7 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 18 63.3%	NOP 66.0% UTA 76.1% +10.1%
STL %	8 8.5% 30 6.6%	NOP 7.8% +3.9% UTA 3.9%
BLK %	7 10.4% 25 8.5%	NOP 9.6% +2.7% UTA 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 20 55.4%	NOP 58.7% +1.6% UTA 57.1%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 15 63.8%	NOP 73.3% +10.3% UTA 63.0%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 17 43.1%	NOP 57.1% +5.1% UTA 52.0%
3P %	24 34.7% 22 35.0%	NOP 34.1% UTA 36.4% +2.3%
FT %	27 75.4% 22 77.4%	NOP 53.8% UTA 76.5% +22.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 27 28.8%	NOP 29.4% +1.3% UTA 28.1%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 15 26.2%	NOP 27.5% UTA 26.0% −1.4%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 7 44.9%	NOP 43.1% UTA 45.8% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	UTA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	128	121
Rebounds	48	41
Assists	35	35
Steals	8	4
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls	15	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	32 (2)
Field Goals	53-102	46-96
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	17-27
Midrange FG	16-28	13-25
2-Point FG	38-58	30-52
3-Point FG	15-44	16-44
Free Throws	7-13	13-17
Fast Break Pts	17	11
2nd Chance Pts	20	16
Points in Paint	76	56
Pts off Turnovers	13	10
Bench Points	25	64
Biggest Lead	18	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg