Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Warriors	77%	117	119	114.4	104	108.0
	28	Hornets	23%	106	101	98.1	103	99.3

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+15

-8

111

CHA

+13

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.07 53.6%

CHA

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	31.8	19	53%	11	2	2	0	1	3	4	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	4-11	36%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.3	13	65%	3	4	1	0	3	1	1	2	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	30.3	21	58%	3	10	1	1	1	3	1	2	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	28.4	16	50%	12	7	2	0	0	4	3	9	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	21.1	5	36%	5	0	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	31.2	22	79%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	18.6	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.1	6	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	14.4	4	50%	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	10.1	9	64%	2	0	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	1.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	54%	54	33	10	4	8	23	12	42	21-24	88%	22-45	49%	18-50	36%

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5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	31.8	19	53%	11	2	2	0	1	3	4	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	4-11	36%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.3	13	65%	3	4	1	0	3	1	1	2	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	30.3	21	58%	3	10	1	1	1	3	1	2	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	28.4	16	50%	12	7	2	0	0	4	3	9	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	21.1	5	36%	5	0	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	31.2	22	79%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	18.6	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.1	6	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	14.4	4	50%	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	10.1	9	64%	2	0	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	1.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	54%	54	33	10	4	8	23	12	42	21-24	88%	22-45	49%	18-50	36%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	34.4	25	52%	9	7	1	1	6	4	2	7	5-8	63%	4-12	33%	4-9	44%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.7	35	76%	9	3	0	2	3	2	1	8	9-9	100%	7-11	64%	4-9	44%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	31.4	12	60%	13	1	1	2	1	0	2	11	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	29.0	6	25%	0	1	1	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-8	0%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	26.1	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	28.3	6	30%	2	6	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	15.8	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	15.1	10	125%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-3	33%	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	14.8	5	42%	5	2	0	1	1	2	1	4	3-6	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	7.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 27	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	47	20	3	6	17	19	8	39	22-33	67%	23-46	50%	11-40	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.07 53.6%

CHA

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

65%

CHA

61%

Midrange

GSW

36%

CHA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

27.0

36%

54%

CHA

16.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

GSW

88%

CHA

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	22	79%	11.0 / 14
S. Curry	21	58%	10.5 / 18
B. Podziemski	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Green	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Butler	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Payton	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Q. Post	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Moody	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Looney	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Knox	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Spencer	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	35	76%	17.5 / 23
L. Ball	25	52%	12.5 / 24
M. Williams	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Salaün	10	125%	5.0 / 4
N. Smith	6	25%	3.0 / 12
D. Baugh	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Nurkić	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Jeffries	0	-	0.0 / 5
S. Curry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 29 106.7	GSW 114.4 +16.4 CHA 98.1
Pace	17 99.4 23 98.2	GSW 108.0 +8.7 CHA 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 8 14.9	GSW 13.3 −1.2 CHA 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 30 50.3%	GSW 51.6% +5.7% CHA 45.9%
TO %	13 13.2% 28 15.1%	GSW 7.9% −6.6% CHA 14.5%
ORB %	5 27.3% 8 26.5%	GSW 23.5% +7.5% CHA 16.0%
FTrt	14 24.4 27 22.2	GSW 25.3 CHA 38.4 +13.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 16 63.5%	GSW 82.5% +23.7% CHA 58.8%
STL %	3 9.4% 24 7.5%	GSW 9.6% +6.7% CHA 2.9%
BLK %	13 9.5% 18 9.2%	GSW 8.7% CHA 13.3% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 30 52.5%	GSW 53.6% +2.6% CHA 51.0%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 30 59.7%	GSW 65.0% +4.3% CHA 60.7%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 29 38.5%	GSW 36.0% +2.7% CHA 33.3%
3P %	16 36.4% 28 33.9%	GSW 36.0% +8.5% CHA 27.5%
FT %	25 76.3% 14 78.3%	GSW 87.5% +20.8% CHA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 19 30.7%	GSW 21.1% CHA 32.6% +11.5%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 16 26.3%	GSW 26.3% CHA 20.9% −5.4%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 11 43.0%	GSW 52.6% +6.1% CHA 46.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	CHA
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	119	101
Rebounds	54	47
Assists	33	20
Steals	10	3
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (2)	39 (3)
Field Goals	40-95	34-86
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	17-28
Midrange FG	9-25	6-18
2-Point FG	22-45	23-46
3-Point FG	18-50	11-40
Free Throws	21-24	22-33
Fast Break Pts	22	12
2nd Chance Pts	17	12
Points in Paint	36	44
Pts off Turnovers	16	4
Bench Points	45	21
Biggest Lead	19	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg