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All Games Monday, March 3, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
29
Wizards
26%106
90
12
Heat
74%116
106
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
91.89898.6
MIA logo MIA
108.29897.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:04.3WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point driving layup (Bub Carrington assists)90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:15.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:39.6WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 1 of 188
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.6HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.8HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 284
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42HeatKyle Anderson misses two point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49WizardsBub Carrington misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23WizardsAJ Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 183
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (AJ Johnson draws the foul)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (AJ Johnson steals)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52WizardsBilal Coulibaly turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HeatPelle Larsson misses three point stepback jump shot80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28WizardsJustin Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 180
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17HeatHeat defensive rebound77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19WizardsAlex Sarr misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 276
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 276
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 276
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14WizardsKhris Middleton shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22WizardsKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28WizardsKhris Middleton defensive rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48WizardsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23WizardsBub Carrington makes two point tip layup76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23WizardsBub Carrington offensive rebound74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27WizardsBub Carrington misses two point running finger roll layup74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34HeatPelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 274
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 274
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13WizardsMarcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball) (Terry Rozier draws the foul)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13HeatHeat defensive rebound74
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:15WizardsBub Carrington misses three point jump shot74
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 274
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 274
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35WizardsJustin Champagnie shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:52WizardsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup bank jump shot74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)74
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:19HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:21WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:39HeatPelle Larsson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)74
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:43WizardsBub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 8:49WizardsJustin Champagnie offensive rebound74
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 8:52WizardsCorey Kispert misses two point driving floating jump shot74
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 9:13HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)74
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:18WizardsBub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)74
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 274
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 274
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:41WizardsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting finger roll layup74
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:02WizardsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kyshawn George assists)74
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:23HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 171
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 10:23WizardsCorey Kispert shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)71
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 10:44WizardsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 271
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 10:44WizardsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 270
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 10:44HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)69
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 11:02HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 11:02WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 11:06HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot69
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 11:13WizardsKyshawn George personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)69
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 11:21WizardsRichaun Holmes makes regular free throw 2 of 269
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 11:21WizardsRichaun Holmes misses regular free throw 1 of 268
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 11:21HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 11:38HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound68
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot68
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 0:04.2WizardsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 268
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:04.2WizardsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 267
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 0:04.2HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)67
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 0:12.1WizardsJustin Champagnie offensive rebound67
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:15.9WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot67
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound67
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup67
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:43.5HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:47.3WizardsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot67
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 1:12HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup (Pelle Larsson assists)67
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 1:14WizardsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)67
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 1:28HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 267
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 1:28HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 267
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 1:28WizardsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)67
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:30HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound67
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 1:33WizardsKyle Anderson blocks Corey Kispert's two point driving floating bank jump shot67
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 1:44HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)67
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 1:44WizardsWizards offensive rebound67
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 1:45WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot67
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 2:04HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)67
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 2:23WizardsRichaun Holmes makes two point layup (Bub Carrington assists)67
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 2:45HeatPelle Larsson makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Anderson assists)65
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 2:52HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound65
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 2:55WizardsKyshawn George misses three point jump shot65
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 3:03WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound65
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q3 - 3:06HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot65
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q3 - 3:25WizardsRichaun Holmes makes two point cutting layup (Kyshawn George assists)65
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 3:31WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound63
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 3:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot63
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q3 - 3:47WizardsRichaun Holmes makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyshawn George assists)63
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 4:00WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound61
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 4:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point turnaround hook shot61
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 4:20WizardsKyshawn George makes two point running layup (Khris Middleton assists)61
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Khris Middleton steals)59
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 4:42WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point driving floating jump shot59
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 5:04WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound59
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 5:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot59
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 5:24WizardsAlex Sarr makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)59
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)56
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 5:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound56
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 6:01WizardsKyshawn George misses three point pullup jump shot56
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot (Alec Burks assists)56
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 6:39WizardsKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 256
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:39WizardsKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 256
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 6:39HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)55
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 7:17HeatKevin Love defensive rebound55
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 7:19WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses two point driving floating jump shot55
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 7:26HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Bilal Coulibaly steals)55
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 7:40WizardsKyshawn George makes two point running layup55
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 7:44WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound53
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 7:47HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot53
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 7:59WizardsBub Carrington makes three point pullup jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)53
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 8:12HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)50
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 8:31WizardsAlex Sarr makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)50
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 8:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)48
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 8:51WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)48
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 9:08WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound46
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 9:11HeatAlec Burks misses three point running pullup jump shot46
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 9:15WizardsKyshawn George turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)46
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 9:33HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 9:41WizardsKyshawn George personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 9:43HeatKevin Love defensive rebound46
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 9:46WizardsKhris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot46
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 10:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)46
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 10:11WizardsBub Carrington personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)46
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 10:26WizardsKyshawn George makes three point running jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)46
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 10:30WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound43
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 10:49WizardsBub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Kyshawn George assists)43
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 11:03Jump ball. Kyshawn George vs. Bam Adebayo (Khris Middleton gains possession)40
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 11:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 11:05WizardsTyler Herro blocks Kyshawn George's two point driving layup40
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 11:21HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot40
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 11:46WizardsKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 140
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q3 - 11:46HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)39
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.36
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:01.4HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot36
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:19.7WizardsAlex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 236
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 0:19.7WizardsAlex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 235
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 0:19.7HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Alex Sarr draws the foul)34
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 0:19.7WizardsAlex Sarr offensive rebound34
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 0:20.5WizardsBam Adebayo blocks Kyshawn George's two point cutting layup34
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 0:34.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 0:47.2WizardsKyshawn George misses three point running pullup jump shot34
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 0:51.8WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound34
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 0:55.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 1:06WizardsKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 134
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 1:06HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)33
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 1:19WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound31
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 1:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point running reverse layup31
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 1:31WizardsBub Carrington misses two point driving layup31
3.4%
50
96.6%
Q2 - 1:41WizardsWizards defensive rebound31
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 1:43HeatKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot31
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 1:55WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot31
3.4%
50
96.6%
Q2 - 2:21HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)31
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 2:26WizardsKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)31
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 2:40WizardsKhris Middleton defensive rebound31
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q2 - 2:44HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot31
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 2:57WizardsKhris Middleton personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)31
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 3:05HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound31
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 3:06WizardsAlex Sarr misses three point pullup jump shot31
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 3:15HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot31
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 3:20HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 3:24WizardsKyshawn George misses three point jump shot31
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:40WizardsKhris Middleton defensive rebound31
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q2 - 4:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 4:03WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses two point driving floating jump shot31
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 4:16HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)31
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 4:27WizardsBilal Coulibaly personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)31
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 4:33HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound31
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 4:36WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot31
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 4:45WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound31
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 4:48HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot31
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 5:07WizardsAlex Sarr misses three point jump shot31
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 5:13WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound31
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot31
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 5:35WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 6:09HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound31
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 6:13WizardsBub Carrington misses two point driving floating jump shot31
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 6:24WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound31
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 6:24HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving layup31
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 6:35WizardsBub Carrington turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)31
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 6:47HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound31
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 6:51WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point driving layup31
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:00WizardsCorey Kispert makes technical free throw 1 of 131
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 7:00Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)30
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 7:09HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Bub Carrington draws the foul)30
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:09WizardsWizards offensive rebound30
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:11WizardsBub Carrington misses two point tip layup30
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 7:11WizardsBub Carrington offensive rebound30
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:12WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point jump shot30
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 7:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)30
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:44HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound30
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 7:47WizardsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot30
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 7:58WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound30
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot30
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:13WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point pullup jump shot30
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 8:18WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound30
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot30
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 8:41WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point driving layup30
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:50WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound28
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 8:53HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot28
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 9:03WizardsRichaun Holmes misses two point turnaround hook shot28
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 9:04WizardsRichaun Holmes offensive rebound28
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 9:07WizardsKyshawn George misses two point driving floating jump shot28
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)28
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound28
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 9:37HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup28
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 10:01WizardsJustin Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 228
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 10:01WizardsJustin Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 227
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 10:01HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)26
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 10:15WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound26
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 10:17HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot26
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound26
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 10:31WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot26
10.7%
36
89.3%
Q2 - 10:43HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)26
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 11:01WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)26
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound24
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 11:29WizardsKyshawn George misses three point jump shot24
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 11:40HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)24
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 11:43WizardsKyshawn George turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)24
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.2WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound24
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q1 - 0:02.6HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot24
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q1 - 0:11.4WizardsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot24
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q1 - 0:30.1HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)22
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q1 - 0:31.1HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 222
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q1 - 0:31.1HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 222
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q1 - 0:31.1WizardsCorey Kispert personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)22
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q1 - 0:37.2HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point jump shot22
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q1 - 0:59.1HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 222
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q1 - 0:59.1HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 222
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 0:59.1WizardsJustin Champagnie personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)22
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 1:07HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound22
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q1 - 1:10WizardsMarcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot22
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q1 - 1:13HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)22
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 1:22WizardsKyshawn George makes three point jump shot (Richaun Holmes assists)22
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q1 - 1:37WizardsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound19
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q1 - 1:40HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot19
11.2%
29
88.8%
Q1 - 1:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound19
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 1:48WizardsMarcus Smart misses two point running finger roll layup19
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 1:53WizardsMarcus Smart defensive rebound19
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q1 - 1:56HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot19
11.2%
29
88.8%
Q1 - 2:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound19
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q1 - 2:10WizardsRichaun Holmes misses two point driving hook shot19
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 2:17HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Kyshawn George draws the foul)19
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q1 - 2:32HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)19
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q1 - 2:53WizardsKyshawn George turnover (traveling)19
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 2:58HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 3:01HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound19
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 3:02WizardsKyle Anderson blocks Richaun Holmes's two point cutting layup19
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot19
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 3:31WizardsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 3:38HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)19
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 3:45HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)19
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 3:59WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Richaun Holmes assists)19
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 4:13HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 116
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 4:13WizardsBilal Coulibaly shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)16
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 4:16WizardsCorey Kispert turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)16
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 4:23WizardsBilal Coulibaly offensive rebound16
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 4:25WizardsBub Carrington misses three point pullup jump shot16
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)16
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 4:55WizardsBub Carrington makes three point stepback jump shot16
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point running alley-oop layup (Terry Rozier assists)13
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 5:14WizardsBilal Coulibaly turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)13
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 5:28HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 5:42WizardsKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)13
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 5:53WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound11
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot11
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 6:15WizardsAlex Sarr makes two point driving floating jump shot11
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kevin Love assists)9
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 6:39HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound9
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 6:42WizardsBub Carrington misses three point pullup jump shot9
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 6:48WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound9
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 6:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot9
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 6:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound9
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 6:57WizardsKyshawn George misses two point driving reverse layup9
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 7:15WizardsBilal Coulibaly defensive rebound9
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:18HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot9
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 7:25HeatKevin Love defensive rebound9
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:27WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses two point running layup9
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 7:34HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Bub Carrington steals)9
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 7:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound9
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 7:42WizardsKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot9
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 7:58HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround bank hook shot9
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 8:12HeatKevin Love defensive rebound9
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 8:15WizardsKyshawn George misses three point jump shot9
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 8:27WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound9
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot9
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 8:42WizardsKyshawn George personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)9
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 8:52WizardsKhris Middleton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bub Carrington assists)9
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 8:58WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound7
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot7
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 9:16WizardsKhris Middleton makes two point running layup (Kyshawn George assists)7
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:21WizardsBilal Coulibaly defensive rebound5
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:22HeatKevin Love misses two point layup5
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 9:33HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:35WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point cutting layup5
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)5
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:57WizardsBub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)5
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)2
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:29WizardsKhris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:31HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:38WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point driving layup2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 22
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 22
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 10:50WizardsAlex Sarr shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 10:59HeatKevin Love offensive rebound2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:21WizardsKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:34WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:38HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 12:00Alex Sarr vs. Bam Adebayo (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
26.2%
0
73.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
30
50%
MIA
16
19
84%
Midrange
WAS
6
19
32%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
MIA
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
Free Throws
WAS
18
22
82%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton1680%8.0 / 10
B. Carrington1447%7.0 / 15
K. George1036%5.0 / 14
A. Sarr935%4.5 / 13
C. Kispert850%4.0 / 8
M. Smart844%4.0 / 9
J. Champagnie758%3.5 / 6
R. Holmes750%3.5 / 7
B. Coulibaly321%1.5 / 7
A. Johnson3150%1.5 / 1
T. Vukcevic3150%1.5 / 1
A. Gill2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1950%9.5 / 19
D. Robinson1765%8.5 / 13
T. Herro1680%8.0 / 10
P. Larsson1662%8.0 / 13
T. Rozier1554%7.5 / 14
A. Burks964%4.5 / 7
H. Highsmith867%4.0 / 6
K. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
K. Love225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
85
+9
-13
94
MIA
87
+6
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
112.4
WAS 91.8 +16.3
MIA 108.2
Pace
101.8
97.2
WAS 98.6 +1.2
MIA 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
14.9
WAS 14.6 +0.2
MIA 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
54.4%
WAS 42.9%
MIA 55.5% +12.6%
TO %
14.6%
12.8%
WAS 12.2%
MIA 11.8% +0.4%
ORB %
22.7%
22.3%
WAS 14.0% +1.8%
MIA 12.2%
FTrt
22.9
23.2
WAS 26.2 +4.2
MIA 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
65.3%
WAS 71.0%
MIA 79.5% +8.5%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
WAS 8.2%
MIA 10.2% +2.0%
BLK %
9.6%
7.6%
WAS 0.0%
MIA 8.2% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
56.0%
WAS 47.9%
MIA 57.0% +9.1%
Rim FG%
63.7%
62.5%
WAS 50.0%
MIA 84.2% +34.2%
Mid FG%
38.0%
44.4%
WAS 31.6%
MIA 38.5% +6.9%
3P %
33.5%
36.7%
WAS 28.6%
MIA 35.1% +6.5%
FT %
77.8%
79.1%
WAS 81.8%
MIA 83.3% +1.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
29.6%
WAS 35.7% +12.5%
MIA 23.2%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
27.5%
WAS 22.6% +9.1%
MIA 31.7%
3P Att. %
43.6%
42.9%
WAS 41.7%
MIA 45.1% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points90106
Rebounds4348
Assists2231
Steals810
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)43 (2)
Field Goals31-8439-82
At-the-Rim FG15-3016-19
Midrange FG6-1910-26
2-Point FG21-4926-45
3-Point FG10-3513-37
Free Throws18-2215-18
Fast Break Pts1421
2nd Chance Pts510
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers1622
Bench Points3845
Biggest Lead326

BOXSCORE

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29 Washington Wizards
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bub Carrington
#8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20
35.2
14
47%
5
7
1
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
4-8
50%
Bilal Coulibaly
#0 · SG · 6'8" 195 · 21
33.0
3
21%
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Kyshawn George
#18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21
32.1
10
36%
8
5
1
0
3
3
0
8
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-8
25%
Alex Sarr
#20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20
25.4
9
35%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-4
25%
Khris Middleton
#32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34
22.7
16
80%
3
3
3
0
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
Justin Champagnie
#9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24
22.4
7
58%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
Corey Kispert
#24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26
21.4
8
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Richaun Holmes
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31
20.2
7
50%
8
2
0
0
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31
18.5
8
44%
1
1
1
0
3
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
AJ Johnson
#5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20
4.3
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Tristan Vukcevic
#00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22
2.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
#16 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
2.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jalen McDaniels
#2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27
Jaylen Martin
#4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colby Jones
#1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Saddiq Bey
#14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole
#13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Elbow; Hyper-Extension
Malcolm Brogdon
#15 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
JT Thor
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
48%
43
22
8
0
13
17
7
36
18-22
82%
21-49
43%
10-35
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.