Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Hawks	32%	117	132	130.7	101	105.4
	9	Grizzlies	68%	123	130	128.7	101	96.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+15

-12

104

MEM

+24

-19

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.27 63.5%

MEM

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.3	12	35%	2	15	0	0	5	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-15	33%	0-2	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.4	14	58%	3	7	3	0	2	5	0	3	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	32.1	27	104%	1	0	4	1	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	6-6	100%	5-7	71%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.8	16	62%	12	2	1	1	1	3	5	7	0-2	0%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #0 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 22	12.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	31.8	25	66%	3	5	3	1	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.0	7	58%	2	3	0	1	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	16.2	11	55%	4	1	1	1	0	2	2	2	3-6	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	13.8	11	92%	2	1	0	2	0	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	2.8	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	32	35	12	7	12	24	14	18	9-17	53%	42-68	62%	13-28	46%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.3	12	35%	2	15	0	0	5	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-15	33%	0-2	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.4	14	58%	3	7	3	0	2	5	0	3	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	32.1	27	104%	1	0	4	1	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	6-6	100%	5-7	71%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.8	16	62%	12	2	1	1	1	3	5	7	0-2	0%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #0 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 22	12.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	31.8	25	66%	3	5	3	1	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.0	7	58%	2	3	0	1	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	16.2	11	55%	4	1	1	1	0	2	2	2	3-6	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	13.8	11	92%	2	1	0	2	0	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	2.8	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	32	35	12	7	12	24	14	18	9-17	53%	42-68	62%	13-28	46%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.9	35	70%	10	10	0	0	5	3	3	7	14-14	100%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	34.9	17	57%	3	7	2	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	32.6	12	50%	2	6	2	0	1	3	2	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	26.8	15	94%	5	2	0	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	28.1	11	42%	7	3	0	1	5	1	2	5	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	24.9	15	83%	3	3	0	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	21.2	11	69%	7	1	0	1	0	2	4	3	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	16.3	9	56%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	14.8	5	83%	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	2.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendonitis
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	61%	43	36	7	3	19	16	17	26	23-25	92%	34-60	57%	13-33	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.27 63.5%

MEM

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

75%

MEM

65%

Midrange

ATL

50%

MEM

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

46%

70%

MEM

19.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

ATL

53%

MEM

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Risacher	27	104%	13.5 / 13
C. LeVert	25	66%	12.5 / 19
O. Okongwu	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Daniels	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Young	12	35%	6.0 / 17
C. Capela	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Mathews	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Mann	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Barlow	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Wallace	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	35	70%	17.5 / 25
L. Kennard	17	57%	8.5 / 15
Z. Edey	15	94%	7.5 / 8
V. Williams	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Wells	12	50%	6.0 / 12
G. Jackson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Clarke	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. Pippen	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Konchar	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 0
L. Stevens	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 6 117.2	ATL 130.7 +2.0 MEM 128.7
Pace	3 103.4 1 103.7	ATL 105.4 +8.5 MEM 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 28 13.4	ATL 13.7 −1.2 MEM 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 12 55.4%	ATL 64.1% +6.6% MEM 57.5%
TO %	23 14.1% 25 14.4%	ATL 10.4% −5.7% MEM 16.1%
ORB %	10 26.3% 3 28.7%	ATL 35.0% MEM 48.6% +13.6%
FTrt	8 25.2 10 24.9	ATL 17.7 MEM 26.9 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 15 63.5%	ATL 63.6% MEM 76.6% +13.0%
STL %	4 9.4% 7 8.5%	ATL 11.9% +5.0% MEM 6.9%
BLK %	11 9.7% 3 10.8%	ATL 11.7% +7.3% MEM 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 10 57.4%	ATL 63.5% +2.8% MEM 60.7%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 11 65.3%	ATL 75.0% +10.5% MEM 64.5%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 9 45.4%	ATL 50.0% +1.7% MEM 48.3%
3P %	18 35.8% 12 36.7%	ATL 46.4% +7.0% MEM 39.4%
FT %	18 77.5% 12 78.6%	ATL 52.9% MEM 92.0% +39.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 22 30.5%	ATL 33.3% MEM 33.3%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 26 29.0%	ATL 37.5% MEM 31.2% −6.3%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 20 40.6%	ATL 29.2% MEM 35.5% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MEM
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	132	130
Rebounds	32	43
Assists	35	36
Steals	12	7
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	24	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	26 (3)
Field Goals	55-96	47-93
At-the-Rim FG	24-32	20-31
Midrange FG	18-36	14-29
2-Point FG	42-68	34-60
3-Point FG	13-28	13-33
Free Throws	9-17	23-25
Fast Break Pts	15	12
2nd Chance Pts	17	21
Points in Paint	82	58
Pts off Turnovers	29	13
Bench Points	57	51
Biggest Lead	8	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg