Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Rockets	17%	104	128	118.5	108	102.9
	1	Thunder	83%	118	137	124.5	110	115.7

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+17

-16

109

OKC

+16

-13

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.17 58.7%

OKC

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	39.8	27	64%	11	3	2	3	0	2	4	7	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	4-6	67%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	31.4	25	69%	2	5	2	1	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	27.6	11	39%	8	1	0	1	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-11	36%	1-3	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	24.5	18	53%	6	4	2	0	2	3	0	6	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	21.3	6	50%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	23.5	6	30%	1	0	1	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	19.3	14	88%	1	2	0	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	18.6	10	71%	9	1	0	2	1	4	4	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	15.9	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	11.3	2	25%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	7.0	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	NWT - Not With Team
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Strain
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	49	20	8	7	16	21	15	34	14-17	82%	33-66	50%	16-35	46%

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26 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	39.8	27	64%	11	3	2	3	0	2	4	7	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	4-6	67%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	31.4	25	69%	2	5	2	1	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	27.6	11	39%	8	1	0	1	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-11	36%	1-3	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	24.5	18	53%	6	4	2	0	2	3	0	6	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	21.3	6	50%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	23.5	6	30%	1	0	1	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	19.3	14	88%	1	2	0	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	18.6	10	71%	9	1	0	2	1	4	4	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	15.9	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	11.3	2	25%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	7.0	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	NWT - Not With Team
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Strain
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	49	20	8	7	16	21	15	34	14-17	82%	33-66	50%	16-35	46%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.6	51	75%	5	7	1	1	2	1	2	3	10-10	100%	13-21	62%	5-9	56%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	31.9	24	63%	4	3	1	1	1	3	0	4	4-6	67%	4-11	36%	4-5	80%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	30.1	11	42%	11	3	2	3	4	4	3	8	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.7	11	69%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	25.2	8	80%	5	6	1	1	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	32.3	14	64%	5	4	3	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	25.1	8	44%	7	2	1	0	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	17.3	7	58%	7	2	0	0	1	2	5	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	9.1	3	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	4.8	0	0%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	61%	49	31	11	6	13	18	14	35	24-27	89%	31-60	52%	17-37	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.17 58.7%

OKC

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

44%

OKC

81%

Midrange

HOU

52%

OKC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

24.0

46%

69%

OKC

25.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

HOU

82%

OKC

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Whitmore	27	64%	13.5 / 21
R. Sheppard	25	69%	12.5 / 18
J. Green	18	53%	9.0 / 17
A. Holiday	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Smith	11	39%	5.5 / 14
N. Dante	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Landale	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Williams	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. McVeigh	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Tate	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	51	75%	25.5 / 34
J. Williams	24	63%	12.0 / 19
C. Wallace	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Holmgren	11	42%	5.5 / 13
L. Dort	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Hartenstein	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Wiggins	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Williams	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 114.9 3 119.2	HOU 118.5 OKC 124.5 +6.0
Pace	18 99.0 5 100.9	HOU 102.9 OKC 115.7 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 25 13.9	HOU 14.0 OKC 12.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 52.3% 7 56.0%	HOU 56.4% OKC 58.2% +1.8%
TO %	10 13.1% 1 10.9%	HOU 12.9% OKC 10.7% −2.2%
ORB %	1 31.7% 21 24.2%	HOU 30.0% +0.8% OKC 29.2%
FTrt	16 24.2 28 22.0	HOU 16.8 OKC 27.8 +11.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 54.9% 26 60.2%	HOU 40.8% OKC 64.6% +23.8%
STL %	9 8.4% 1 10.2%	HOU 7.4% OKC 10.0% +2.6%
BLK %	15 9.3% 2 11.9%	HOU 11.7% +2.6% OKC 9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 53.9% 4 57.9%	HOU 58.7% OKC 60.6% +1.9%
Rim FG%	25 61.5% 10 65.7%	HOU 43.8% OKC 81.3% +37.5%
Mid FG%	24 40.4% 7 45.7%	HOU 52.0% +11.1% OKC 40.9%
3P %	21 35.3% 6 37.4%	HOU 45.7% OKC 45.9% +0.2%
FT %	30 73.8% 1 81.9%	HOU 82.4% OKC 88.9% +6.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 33.3% 26 29.5%	HOU 15.8% OKC 16.5% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 25 28.6%	HOU 49.5% OKC 45.4% −4.1%
3P Att. %	27 38.4% 16 41.9%	HOU 34.7% OKC 38.1% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	HOU	OKC
Possessions	108	110
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	128	137
Rebounds	49	49
Assists	20	31
Steals	8	11
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	49-101	48-97
At-the-Rim FG	7-16	13-16
Midrange FG	26-50	18-44
2-Point FG	33-66	31-60
3-Point FG	16-35	17-37
Free Throws	14-17	24-27
Fast Break Pts	21	24
2nd Chance Pts	13	23
Points in Paint	50	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	20
Bench Points	41	32
Biggest Lead	9	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg