Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Kings	44%	114	122	129.8	94	84.5
	15	Mavericks	56%	116	98	105.4	93	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-7

DAL

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.24 62.2%

DAL

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	30.2	20	63%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	29.2	22	85%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	4-5	80%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	24.6	18	82%	5	3	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	23.4	14	44%	9	3	0	2	0	2	3	6	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.3	13	65%	1	8	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	27.8	8	57%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	26.9	0	0%	2	1	0	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	20.5	9	113%	9	6	0	0	0	1	1	8	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	16.3	6	60%	1	4	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	8.6	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	5.2	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Skal Labissière #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 29	4.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	37	34	4	4	7	16	9	28	12-12	100%	31-56	55%	16-34	47%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	30.2	20	63%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	29.2	22	85%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	4-5	80%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	24.6	18	82%	5	3	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	23.4	14	44%	9	3	0	2	0	2	3	6	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.3	13	65%	1	8	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	27.8	8	57%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	26.9	0	0%	2	1	0	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	20.5	9	113%	9	6	0	0	0	1	1	8	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	16.3	6	60%	1	4	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	8.6	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	5.2	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Skal Labissière #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 29	4.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	37	34	4	4	7	16	9	28	12-12	100%	31-56	55%	16-34	47%

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15 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	24.6	3	38%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Danté Exum #0 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 30	22.1	5	25%	0	4	0	0	4	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-3	33%
Kessler Edwards #20 · PF · 6'8" 203 · 25	22.1	6	100%	4	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	9.6	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	9.4	7	70%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	33.6	21	88%	8	0	0	1	1	2	2	6	3-4	75%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	29.7	18	60%	5	6	2	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	0-3	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	29.1	10	45%	5	4	1	0	1	0	0	5	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	27.2	10	33%	3	6	1	0	3	3	0	3	5-6	83%	1-7	14%	1-5	20%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	16.6	8	67%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	5-6	83%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	15.9	8	67%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	37	28	5	1	13	13	7	30	21-24	88%	28-51	55%	7-26	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.24 62.2%

DAL

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

DAL

79%

Midrange

SAC

48%

DAL

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

24.0

47%

71%

DAL

10.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

SAC

100%

DAL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. DeRozan	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Murray	18	82%	9.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	14	44%	7.0 / 16
M. Monk	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Lyles	9	113%	4.5 / 4
J. LaRavia	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Fultz	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Jones	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. McDermott	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Jones	21	88%	10.5 / 12
N. Marshall	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Christie	10	45%	5.0 / 11
S. Dinwiddie	10	33%	5.0 / 15
O. Prosper	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Hardy	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Irving	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Edwards	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Exum	5	25%	2.5 / 10
K. Thompson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 18 113.6	SAC 129.8 +24.4 DAL 105.4
Pace	19 98.9 11 100.3	SAC 84.5 DAL 104.7 +20.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 16 14.4	SAC 17.0 DAL 13.8 −3.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 14 54.9%	SAC 61.1% +11.1% DAL 50.0%
TO %	6 12.6% 12 13.2%	SAC 6.8% −7.0% DAL 13.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 23 23.4%	SAC 23.1% +3.1% DAL 20.0%
FTrt	21 23.5 4 26.3	SAC 13.3 DAL 31.2 +17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 27 60.1%	SAC 72.3% DAL 80.0% +7.7%
STL %	23 7.6% 22 7.7%	SAC 4.3% DAL 5.4% +1.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 10 9.7%	SAC 7.8% +6.0% DAL 1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 14 56.9%	SAC 62.2% +7.8% DAL 54.4%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 8 66.0%	SAC 64.0% DAL 78.6% +14.6%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 15 43.7%	SAC 48.4% +22.3% DAL 26.1%
3P %	19 35.7% 15 36.4%	SAC 47.1% +20.2% DAL 26.9%
FT %	4 80.6% 24 77.0%	SAC 100.0% +12.5% DAL 87.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 16 31.4%	SAC 27.8% DAL 36.4% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 27 29.6%	SAC 34.4% DAL 29.9% −4.6%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 24 38.9%	SAC 37.8% +4.0% DAL 33.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	DAL
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	26.7	21.3
Points	122	98
Rebounds	37	37
Assists	34	28
Steals	4	5
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	16	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	30 (2)
Field Goals	47-90	35-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	22-28
Midrange FG	15-31	6-23
2-Point FG	31-56	28-51
3-Point FG	16-34	7-26
Free Throws	12-12	21-24
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	11	17
Points in Paint	42	54
Pts off Turnovers	13	15
Bench Points	35	75
Biggest Lead	32	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg