Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Cavaliers	82%	126	139	128.7	108	108.3
	28	Bulls	18%	112	117	108.3	108	109.0

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

100

+15

-8

115

CHI

101

+15

-7

116

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.21 60.4%

CHI

1.01 50.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.2	25	96%	17	3	2	0	1	1	3	14	5-5	100%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	30.2	19	43%	3	7	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-11	18%	5-11	45%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	27.8	28	61%	7	5	1	0	1	3	1	6	13-14	93%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	24.6	11	79%	3	5	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 27	23.7	6	38%	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	22.9	16	57%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	9-9	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	20.5	4	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	19.9	6	43%	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	18.1	11	92%	6	2	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	15.1	11	92%	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	2.4	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	2.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	60%	53	27	4	4	8	14	11	42	30-33	91%	29-50	58%	17-48	35%

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2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.2	25	96%	17	3	2	0	1	1	3	14	5-5	100%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	30.2	19	43%	3	7	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-11	18%	5-11	45%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	27.8	28	61%	7	5	1	0	1	3	1	6	13-14	93%	6-11	55%	1-6	17%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	24.6	11	79%	3	5	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 27	23.7	6	38%	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	22.9	16	57%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	9-9	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	20.5	4	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	19.9	6	43%	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	18.1	11	92%	6	2	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	15.1	11	92%	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	2.4	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	2.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	60%	53	27	4	4	8	14	11	42	30-33	91%	29-50	58%	17-48	35%

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28 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	38.5	25	50%	4	7	2	1	2	0	0	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	3-12	25%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	33.5	9	45%	8	7	0	1	2	0	1	7	0-2	0%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	31.1	17	47%	7	3	0	1	0	5	3	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-7	14%
Zach Collins #12 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	28.1	20	63%	12	2	3	1	1	4	4	8	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	16.5	4	40%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	31.4	22	58%	4	6	0	0	2	3	1	3	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	3-6	50%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	20.3	4	40%	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	17.5	13	72%	11	0	0	1	0	1	1	10	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	15.9	3	30%	2	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	2.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep Tendon; Tendinosis
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadricep; Contusion
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	50%	50	32	6	6	7	21	10	40	12-17	71%	36-62	58%	11-44	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.21 60.4%

CHI

1.01 50.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

65%

CHI

59%

Midrange

CLE

52%

CHI

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

25.5

35%

53%

CHI

16.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

CLE

91%

CHI

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	28	61%	14.0 / 23
J. Allen	25	96%	12.5 / 13
D. Garland	19	43%	9.5 / 22
T. Jerome	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Strus	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Green	11	92%	5.5 / 6
S. Merrill	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Hunter	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Wade	6	43%	3.0 / 7
I. Okoro	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Tyson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	25	50%	12.5 / 25
T. Horton-Tucker	22	58%	11.0 / 19
Z. Collins	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Buzelis	17	47%	8.5 / 18
J. Smith	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Jones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Terry	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Phillips	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Carter	3	30%	1.5 / 5
E. Liddell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 120.9 20 113.2	CLE 128.7 +20.4 CHI 108.3
Pace	10 100.4 2 103.7	CLE 108.3 CHI 109.0 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 29 13.3	CLE 13.3 CHI 13.2 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 13 55.3%	CLE 55.6% +6.1% CHI 49.5%
TO %	5 12.4% 17 13.4%	CLE 7.4% CHI 5.8% −1.6%
ORB %	13 25.9% 28 22.3%	CLE 21.6% +2.4% CHI 19.2%
FTrt	18 24.1 29 21.4	CLE 33.7 +17.7 CHI 16.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 63.1% 7 67.2%	CLE 58.7% CHI 68.1% +9.4%
STL %	15 8.1% 29 7.2%	CLE 3.7% CHI 5.6% +1.9%
BLK %	28 7.9% 26 8.5%	CLE 6.5% CHI 12.0% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.2% 13 57.0%	CLE 60.4% +10.0% CHI 50.4%
Rim FG%	9 66.0% 24 61.6%	CLE 65.2% +5.9% CHI 59.3%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 3 46.2%	CLE 51.9% +1.9% CHI 50.0%
3P %	2 38.3% 13 36.7%	CLE 35.4% +10.4% CHI 25.0%
FT %	17 77.6% 3 80.9%	CLE 90.9% +20.3% CHI 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.6% 11 33.2%	CLE 23.5% CHI 50.9% +27.5%
Mid Att. %	9 23.7% 2 21.1%	CLE 27.6% CHI 7.5% −20.0%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 4 45.7%	CLE 49.0% +7.5% CHI 41.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	CHI
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.8
Points	139	117
Rebounds	53	50
Assists	27	32
Steals	4	6
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls	14	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	40 (0)
Field Goals	46-98	47-106
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	32-54
Midrange FG	14-27	4-8
2-Point FG	29-50	36-62
3-Point FG	17-48	11-44
Free Throws	30-33	12-17
Fast Break Pts	7	14
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	52	68
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	50	42
Biggest Lead	24	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg