Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	54%	119	118	119.2	99	97.7
	19	Hawks	46%	117	124	124.0	100	101.3

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+11

-11

ATL

+14

-8

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.19 59.6%

ATL

1.17 58.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	35.0	21	70%	3	2	1	2	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.6	17	85%	9	1	1	2	1	4	0	9	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	33.6	35	80%	9	3	0	0	3	1	2	7	8-9	89%	9-13	69%	3-5	60%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	30.4	15	54%	1	10	0	0	2	4	0	1	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	25.5	8	44%	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	26.3	9	45%	4	6	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	22.6	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	19.3	3	30%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	13.7	2	20%	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	42	27	5	5	11	18	10	32	16-17	94%	30-52	58%	14-39	36%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	35.0	21	70%	3	2	1	2	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.6	17	85%	9	1	1	2	1	4	0	9	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	33.6	35	80%	9	3	0	0	3	1	2	7	8-9	89%	9-13	69%	3-5	60%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	30.4	15	54%	1	10	0	0	2	4	0	1	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	25.5	8	44%	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	26.3	9	45%	4	6	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	22.6	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	19.3	3	30%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	13.7	2	20%	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	42	27	5	5	11	18	10	32	16-17	94%	30-52	58%	14-39	36%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	35.9	22	55%	3	16	0	0	1	2	0	3	7-7	100%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	34.7	17	71%	4	5	1	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	34.4	20	91%	13	2	1	1	0	2	4	9	6-7	86%	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	24.9	11	61%	4	2	0	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	3-3	100%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	22.9	4	29%	5	0	3	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	26.9	8	33%	2	4	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	24.8	24	80%	6	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	4-8	50%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	21.9	12	60%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	13.6	6	50%	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	43	32	5	4	8	16	11	32	14-18	78%	40-64	63%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.19 59.6%

ATL

1.17 58.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

62%

ATL

59%

Midrange

IND

55%

ATL

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

21.0

36%

54%

ATL

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

IND

94%

ATL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	35	80%	17.5 / 22
A. Nesmith	21	70%	10.5 / 15
M. Turner	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Nembhard	15	54%	7.5 / 14
T. McConnell	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Walker	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Sheppard	8	50%	4.0 / 8
O. Toppin	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Bryant	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Niang	24	80%	12.0 / 15
T. Young	22	55%	11.0 / 20
O. Okongwu	20	91%	10.0 / 11
D. Daniels	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. Mann	12	60%	6.0 / 10
Z. Risacher	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. LeVert	8	33%	4.0 / 12
C. Capela	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Gueye	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 17 113.7	IND 119.2 ATL 124.0 +4.8
Pace	6 100.9 3 103.4	IND 97.7 ATL 101.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 30 13.3	IND 14.7 ATL 14.2 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 17 54.6%	IND 56.0% ATL 58.5% +2.5%
TO %	3 12.0% 23 14.1%	IND 10.0% ATL 8.1% −1.9%
ORB %	29 21.3% 10 26.3%	IND 23.8% ATL 25.6% +1.8%
FTrt	17 24.1 8 25.2	IND 18.7 ATL 19.1 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 5 68.3%	IND 61.4% ATL 64.0% +2.6%
STL %	10 8.3% 4 9.4%	IND 5.1% +0.1% ATL 5.0%
BLK %	8 10.2% 11 9.7%	IND 7.8% +0.1% ATL 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 17 56.5%	IND 59.6% +1.1% ATL 58.5%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 20 62.9%	IND 61.9% +3.1% ATL 58.8%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 11 44.5%	IND 54.8% ATL 66.7% +11.9%
3P %	9 36.8% 18 35.8%	IND 35.9% +2.6% ATL 33.3%
FT %	9 78.9% 18 77.5%	IND 94.1% +16.3% ATL 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 6 34.1%	IND 23.1% ATL 36.2% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 10 24.8%	IND 34.1% ATL 31.9% −2.2%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 19 41.0%	IND 42.9% +10.9% ATL 31.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	ATL
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	118	124
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	27	32
Steals	5	5
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (4)
Field Goals	44-91	50-94
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	20-34
Midrange FG	17-31	20-30
2-Point FG	30-52	40-64
3-Point FG	14-39	10-30
Free Throws	16-17	14-18
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	15	17
Points in Paint	46	74
Pts off Turnovers	10	14
Bench Points	22	50
Biggest Lead	12	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg