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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 6, 2025
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers54%119118
19Hawks46%117124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
35.0
30.3
21
68%
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
59%
4-9
44%
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.9
33.6
29.0
17
87%
9
1
1
1
2
1
0
9
4-4
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
59%
1-2
50%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 30.9
33.6
30.0
35
80%
9
3
0
1
0
3
2
7
8-9
89%
9-13
6-11
69%
56%
3-5
60%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'4" 191 · 25.1
30.4
33.0
15
52%
1
10
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
55%
2-5
40%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.5
25.5
8.8
8
44%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-1
57%
55%
0-2
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
26.3
14.8
9
45%
4
6
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.6
22.6
18.0
8
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
59%
2-5
40%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
19.3
16.5
3
30%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
67%
1-3
33%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.6
13.7
17.1
2
20%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
66%
0-4
0%
RayJ Dennis
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Johnny Furphy
G · 6'9" 200 · 20.2
2.0
0
0-0
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 38.0
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Tony Bradley
C-F · 6'11" 248 · 27.2
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 26.5
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Enrique Freeman
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 26.5
35.9
34.4
22
55%
3
16
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-7
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.0
34.7
31.9
17
71%
4
5
1
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
55%
1-1
100%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
34.4
29.2
20
90%
13
2
1
1
1
0
4
9
6-7
86%
7-7
5-8
100%
65%
0-1
0%
Zaccharie Risacher
F · 6'8" 200 · 19.9
24.9
26.9
11
61%
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
54%
3-3
100%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 22.3
22.9
14.4
4
29%
5
0
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
59%
0-4
0%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
26.9
28.0
8
34%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-4
0%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
24.8
23.9
24
80%
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
2-3
86%
56%
4-8
50%
Terance Mann
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.4
21.9
23.5
12
61%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 30.8
13.6
17.4
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
61%
0-0
-
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.4
6.8
0
0-0
54%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
5.8
0
1-1
54%
Keaton Wallace
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
4.0
0
0-1
51%
Jacob Toppin
F · 6'8" 200 · 24.8
Vít Krejčí
G · 6'8" 195 · 24.7
Daeqwon Plowden
G-F · 6'6" 216 · 26.5
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.5
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.2
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.