Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	76ers	14%	103	105	111.7	94	94.4
	1	Celtics	86%	119	123	132.3	93	92.6

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+24

-15

103

BOS

+17

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.02 51.0%

BOS

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 29	33.9	27	59%	5	6	3	0	3	5	2	3	6-7	86%	6-15	40%	3-5	60%
Quentin Grimes #5 · PG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.7	6	27%	8	5	1	0	3	1	2	6	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	31.4	4	29%	4	4	0	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Edwards #19 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 21	29.9	14	100%	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	24.7	9	45%	10	2	1	0	2	2	4	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	27.6	17	65%	1	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	17.5	10	83%	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	13.3	6	60%	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #12 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	11.4	5	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	9.7	3	30%	3	1	0	2	0	0	3	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	7.8	4	29%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	51%	45	29	6	5	15	15	18	27	10-12	83%	25-56	45%	15-39	38%

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27 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 29	33.9	27	59%	5	6	3	0	3	5	2	3	6-7	86%	6-15	40%	3-5	60%
Quentin Grimes #5 · PG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.7	6	27%	8	5	1	0	3	1	2	6	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	31.4	4	29%	4	4	0	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Edwards #19 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 21	29.9	14	100%	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	24.7	9	45%	10	2	1	0	2	2	4	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	27.6	17	65%	1	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	17.5	10	83%	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	13.3	6	60%	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #12 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	11.4	5	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	9.7	3	30%	3	1	0	2	0	0	3	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	7.8	4	29%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	51%	45	29	6	5	15	15	18	27	10-12	83%	25-56	45%	15-39	38%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	32.5	9	90%	7	4	0	4	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	31.5	35	73%	7	2	3	0	4	2	1	6	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	5-11	45%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	24.2	12	40%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Neemias Queta #88 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 26	24.1	8	40%	9	4	0	2	2	2	4	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Drew Peterson #13 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 25	15.7	0	0%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	32.3	19	68%	4	6	2	0	0	1	3	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	4-8	50%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	29.8	15	68%	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	20.2	12	100%	4	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 21	12.7	5	83%	4	3	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	6.5	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 26	6.5	5	63%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Miles Norris #44 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25	4.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Impingement
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Mallet Finger
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	62%	46	32	8	6	10	16	16	30	12-13	92%	27-43	63%	19-48	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.02 51.0%

BOS

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

58%

BOS

70%

Midrange

PHI

33%

BOS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

22.5

38%

58%

BOS

28.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

PHI

83%

BOS

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Oubre	27	59%	13.5 / 23
L. Walker IV	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Edwards	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Dowtin	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Drummond	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Q. Grimes	6	27%	3.0 / 11
A. Bona	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Butler	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Yabusele	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Council	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Reese	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	35	73%	17.5 / 24
P. Pritchard	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Scheierman	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. White	12	40%	6.0 / 15
T. Craig	12	100%	6.0 / 6
L. Kornet	9	90%	4.5 / 5
N. Queta	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Walsh	5	83%	2.5 / 3
X. Tillman	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Davison	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Peterson	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.9 2 119.5	PHI 111.7 BOS 132.3 +20.6
Pace	22 98.2 29 96.6	PHI 94.4 +1.9 BOS 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 2 15.5	PHI 15.2 −0.3 BOS 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.7% 5 56.1%	PHI 50.0% BOS 61.0% +11.0%
TO %	9 13.0% 2 11.7%	PHI 13.8% BOS 10.2% −3.6%
ORB %	22 23.4% 15 25.6%	PHI 37.5% +0.3% BOS 37.2%
FTrt	6 25.7 30 21.2	PHI 12.6 BOS 14.3 +1.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.4% 20 62.8%	PHI 72.5% +2.9% BOS 69.6%
STL %	5 9.3% 26 7.4%	PHI 6.4% BOS 8.6% +2.2%
BLK %	19 9.1% 4 10.5%	PHI 11.6% +0.9% BOS 10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.8% 6 57.8%	PHI 51.0% BOS 61.5% +10.5%
Rim FG%	23 61.8% 4 67.3%	PHI 57.7% BOS 70.4% +12.7%
Mid FG%	19 42.0% 14 43.9%	PHI 33.3% BOS 50.0% +16.7%
3P %	27 34.1% 10 36.8%	PHI 38.5% BOS 39.6% +1.1%
FT %	15 78.0% 6 79.9%	PHI 83.3% BOS 92.3% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.0% 29 26.2%	PHI 27.4% BOS 29.7% +2.3%
Mid Att. %	8 23.5% 1 20.2%	PHI 31.6% BOS 17.6% −14.0%
3P Att. %	14 42.5% 1 53.6%	PHI 41.1% BOS 52.7% +11.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	PHI	BOS
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	105	123
Rebounds	45	46
Assists	29	32
Steals	6	8
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (6)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	40-95	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	19-27
Midrange FG	10-30	8-16
2-Point FG	25-56	27-43
3-Point FG	15-39	19-48
Free Throws	10-12	12-13
Fast Break Pts	18	15
2nd Chance Pts	11	21
Points in Paint	38	42
Pts off Turnovers	6	23
Bench Points	45	59
Biggest Lead	0	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg