Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	35%	110	109	103.8	105	94.9
	24	Raptors	65%	116	118	114.6	103	115.3

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+25

-24

106

TOR

+25

-8

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.03 51.4%

TOR

0.98 48.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	33.2	18	64%	25	0	0	8	4	2	13	12	2-7	29%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	29.9	6	43%	3	6	0	0	4	3	0	3	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	24.1	17	45%	2	3	0	1	6	2	1	1	5-8	63%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	22.7	11	61%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
KJ Martin #99 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 24	22.2	5	50%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	31.5	18	45%	6	8	1	0	2	1	0	6	9-13	69%	3-6	50%	1-8	13%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	27.3	17	77%	5	3	2	0	3	2	3	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	21.6	10	63%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	14.4	5	42%	2	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	13.3	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	56	21	5	10	24	18	19	37	23-39	59%	31-53	58%	8-31	26%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	33.2	18	64%	25	0	0	8	4	2	13	12	2-7	29%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	29.9	6	43%	3	6	0	0	4	3	0	3	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	24.1	17	45%	2	3	0	1	6	2	1	1	5-8	63%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	22.7	11	61%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
KJ Martin #99 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 24	22.2	5	50%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	31.5	18	45%	6	8	1	0	2	1	0	6	9-13	69%	3-6	50%	1-8	13%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	27.3	17	77%	5	3	2	0	3	2	3	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	21.6	10	63%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	14.4	5	42%	2	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	13.3	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	56	21	5	10	24	18	19	37	23-39	59%	31-53	58%	8-31	26%

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24 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	32.4	22	48%	12	6	2	3	3	0	7	5	6-8	75%	8-16	50%	0-3	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	29.0	34	71%	5	5	3	0	1	0	2	3	8-8	100%	4-7	57%	6-13	46%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SF · 6'6" 179 · 25	26.6	6	21%	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-9	11%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	24.7	7	35%	7	2	2	1	2	2	2	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-2	50%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	18.3	14	54%	5	2	1	0	0	3	3	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%

Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	27.6	14	54%	5	1	1	0	0	3	3	2	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	25.9	8	40%	2	5	0	0	1	5	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	23.3	2	33%	7	5	2	0	1	6	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	22.8	11	92%	1	0	0	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	9.3	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	DND – Rest
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Mouth; Wisdom Tooth Extraction
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	49%	48	27	13	5	8	29	22	26	24-28	86%	26-58	45%	14-46	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.03 51.4%

TOR

0.98 48.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

60%

TOR

43%

Midrange

UTA

55%

TOR

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

12.0

26%

39%

TOR

21.0

30%

46%

Free Throws

UTA

59%

TOR

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Kessler	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. George	18	45%	9.0 / 20
C. Sexton	17	45%	8.5 / 19
K. Filipowski	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Sensabaugh	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Williams	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Collier	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Martin	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Juzang	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Potter	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	34	71%	17.0 / 24
S. Barnes	22	48%	11.0 / 23
J. Walter	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Rhoden	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Battle	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Shead	8	40%	4.0 / 10
O. Robinson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
A. Lawson	6	21%	3.0 / 14
C. Castleton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Temple	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.3 26 109.5	UTA 103.8 TOR 114.6 +10.8
Pace	7 100.8 9 100.6	UTA 94.9 TOR 115.3 +20.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 27 13.8	UTA 15.2 TOR 12.5 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.3% 24 52.2%	UTA 51.2% +6.0% TOR 45.2%
TO %	30 16.2% 26 14.5%	UTA 19.8% TOR 7.9% −11.9%
ORB %	6 26.9% 4 27.3%	UTA 42.2% +4.9% TOR 37.3%
FTrt	7 25.2 25 23.2	UTA 46.4 +19.5 TOR 26.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 63.3% 2 68.5%	UTA 53.8% TOR 67.5% +13.7%
STL %	30 6.6% 18 8.0%	UTA 4.8% TOR 12.6% +7.8%
BLK %	25 8.5% 27 8.4%	UTA 17.2% +7.8% TOR 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.4% 25 53.8%	UTA 51.4% +2.6% TOR 48.8%
Rim FG%	15 63.8% 28 60.2%	UTA 59.5% +16.3% TOR 43.2%
Mid FG%	17 43.1% 21 41.5%	UTA 54.5% +6.9% TOR 47.6%
3P %	22 35.0% 23 34.8%	UTA 25.8% TOR 30.4% +4.6%
FT %	22 77.4% 29 74.8%	UTA 59.0% TOR 85.7% +26.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.8% 3 36.2%	UTA 50.0% +14.4% TOR 35.6%
Mid Att. %	15 26.2% 17 26.5%	UTA 13.1% −7.1% TOR 20.2%
3P Att. %	7 44.9% 29 37.3%	UTA 36.9% TOR 44.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	TOR
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	26.6	21.4
Points	109	118
Rebounds	56	48
Assists	21	27
Steals	5	13
Blocks	10	5
Turnovers (Team)	24 (1)	8 (2)
Fouls	18	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (6)	22 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	26 (2)
Field Goals	39-84	40-104
At-the-Rim FG	25-42	16-37
Midrange FG	6-11	10-21
2-Point FG	31-53	26-58
3-Point FG	8-31	14-46
Free Throws	23-39	24-28
Fast Break Pts	17	29
2nd Chance Pts	20	22
Points in Paint	60	44
Pts off Turnovers	12	28
Bench Points	52	35
Biggest Lead	0	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg