Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Grizzlies	68%	119	122	116.2	105	105.2
	26	Mavericks	32%	112	111	105.7	105	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+22

-11

116

DAL

+16

-12

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.6%

DAL

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	37.7	27	54%	16	6	3	2	1	4	0	16	3-3	100%	9-18	50%	2-6	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	35.3	31	50%	4	8	1	0	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	12-24	50%	1-5	20%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.8	8	36%	12	0	0	3	1	4	9	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	21.2	6	50%	5	3	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	21.0	5	63%	5	1	0	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.3	17	71%	8	2	0	4	0	2	2	6	5-6	83%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	25.8	7	50%	1	3	2	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	24.2	12	86%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	14.1	4	40%	2	4	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	12.7	5	63%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	53%	59	28	9	12	11	20	17	42	14-16	88%	42-85	49%	8-21	38%

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10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	37.7	27	54%	16	6	3	2	1	4	0	16	3-3	100%	9-18	50%	2-6	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	35.3	31	50%	4	8	1	0	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	12-24	50%	1-5	20%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.8	8	36%	12	0	0	3	1	4	9	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	21.2	6	50%	5	3	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	21.0	5	63%	5	1	0	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.3	17	71%	8	2	0	4	0	2	2	6	5-6	83%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	25.8	7	50%	1	3	2	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	24.2	12	86%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	14.1	4	40%	2	4	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	12.7	5	63%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	53%	59	28	9	12	11	20	17	42	14-16	88%	42-85	49%	8-21	38%

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26 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 27	39.9	29	52%	17	2	2	0	2	3	6	11	8-9	89%	9-17	53%	1-6	17%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	34.0	8	36%	5	3	1	1	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	29.0	15	39%	4	1	0	3	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-10	30%	3-9	33%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	28.6	13	65%	3	3	2	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	20.4	3	25%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	34.0	31	82%	5	6	1	0	2	1	1	4	7-8	88%	6-7	86%	4-8	50%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	31.5	10	36%	3	4	0	1	2	0	0	3	5-5	100%	1-6	17%	1-6	17%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	14.4	2	100%	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	8.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	NWT - Not With Team \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain/ACL tear
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	45	24	7	7	12	13	11	34	22-24	92%	22-55	40%	15-41	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.6%

DAL

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

48%

DAL

71%

Midrange

MEM

50%

DAL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

12.0

38%

57%

DAL

22.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

MEM

88%

DAL

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	31	50%	15.5 / 31
D. Bane	27	54%	13.5 / 25
B. Clarke	17	71%	8.5 / 12
V. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
Z. Edey	8	36%	4.0 / 11
L. Kennard	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Aldama	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Wells	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Jackson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Pippen	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Williams	31	82%	15.5 / 19
N. Marshall	29	52%	14.5 / 28
K. Thompson	15	39%	7.5 / 19
K. Edwards	13	65%	6.5 / 10
S. Dinwiddie	10	36%	5.0 / 14
M. Christie	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Exum	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Martin	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 18 113.6	MEM 116.2 +10.5 DAL 105.7
Pace	1 103.7 11 100.3	MEM 105.2 +0.5 DAL 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 16 14.4	MEM 13.7 −0.1 DAL 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 14 54.9%	MEM 50.9% +4.5% DAL 46.4%
TO %	25 14.4% 12 13.2%	MEM 8.9% −1.2% DAL 10.1%
ORB %	3 28.7% 23 23.4%	MEM 33.3% +12.5% DAL 20.8%
FTrt	10 24.9 4 26.3	MEM 15.1 DAL 25.0 +9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 27 60.1%	MEM 56.0% DAL 64.9% +8.9%
STL %	7 8.5% 22 7.7%	MEM 8.6% +1.9% DAL 6.7%
BLK %	3 10.8% 10 9.7%	MEM 21.8% +13.6% DAL 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 14 56.9%	MEM 52.6% +1.7% DAL 50.9%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 8 66.0%	MEM 48.4% DAL 71.4% +23.0%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 15 43.7%	MEM 50.0% +14.6% DAL 35.4%
3P %	12 36.7% 15 36.4%	MEM 38.1% +1.5% DAL 36.6%
FT %	12 78.6% 24 77.0%	MEM 87.5% DAL 91.7% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 16 31.4%	MEM 29.2% +22.0% DAL 7.3%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 27 29.6%	MEM 50.9% DAL 50.0% −0.9%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 24 38.9%	MEM 19.8% DAL 42.7% +22.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	DAL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	122	111
Rebounds	59	45
Assists	28	24
Steals	9	7
Blocks	12	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (5)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	50-106	37-96
At-the-Rim FG	15-31	5-7
Midrange FG	27-54	17-48
2-Point FG	42-85	22-55
3-Point FG	8-21	15-41
Free Throws	14-16	22-24
Fast Break Pts	10	18
2nd Chance Pts	26	18
Points in Paint	74	38
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	45	43
Biggest Lead	11	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg