FinalWin Prob.pScore
857%107
106
1543%105
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
112.89491.9
MIA logo MIA
109.59597.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound106
96.6%
104
3.4%
Q4 - 0:01.1HeatBam Adebayo misses three point fadeaway jump shot106
97.7%
104
2.3%
Q4 - 0:01.9TimberwolvesMike Conley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)106
92.3%
104
7.7%
Q4 - 0:03.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot106
98.7%
104
1.3%
Q4 - 0:08.4HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 0:08.4TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 0:08.4TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.4HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)105
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 0:11.9HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup105
99.3%
101
0.7%
Q4 - 0:17.8TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 0:17.8TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 0:17.8HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)104
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.8TimberwolvesJulius Randle offensive rebound104
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:19.7TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 2 of 2104
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 0:19.7TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.7HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)104
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)104
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 0:26.3TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound104
99.1%
99
0.9%
Q4 - 0:29.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot104
98.5%
99
1.5%
Q4 - 0:38.9TimberwolvesJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)104
95.9%
99
4.1%
Q4 - 0:55.3TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound104
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 0:57.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot104
96.2%
99
3.8%
Q4 - 1:05TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point floating jump shot104
93.5%
99
6.5%
Q4 - 1:25TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound102
88.0%
99
12.0%
Q4 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot102
85.6%
99
14.4%
Q4 - 1:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound102
77.7%
99
22.3%
Q4 - 1:43TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot102
80.0%
99
20.0%
Q4 - 2:00TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound102
85.2%
99
14.8%
Q4 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot102
83.9%
99
16.1%
Q4 - 2:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
77.4%
99
22.6%
Q4 - 2:25TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point floating jump shot102
80.7%
99
19.3%
Q4 - 2:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
86.9%
99
13.1%
Q4 - 2:54TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
87.8%
97
12.2%
Q4 - 2:54TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
86.9%
97
13.1%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)100
85.8%
97
14.2%
Q4 - 2:56HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)100
83.9%
97
16.1%
Q4 - 3:07TimberwolvesTimberwolves turnover (shot clock violation)100
75.6%
97
24.4%
Q4 - 3:07TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound100
84.3%
97
15.7%
Q4 - 3:07TimberwolvesTyler Herro blocks Nickeil Alexander-Walker's three point jump shot100
78.6%
97
21.4%
Q4 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)100
79.2%
97
20.8%
Q4 - 4:01TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving hook shot (Julius Randle assists)100
84.5%
95
15.5%
Q4 - 4:18TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound98
79.9%
95
20.1%
Q4 - 4:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot98
77.9%
95
22.1%
Q4 - 4:42TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point pullup jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)98
72.8%
95
27.2%
Q4 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)95
57.3%
95
42.7%
Q4 - 5:12TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot95
70.9%
92
29.1%
Q4 - 5:25TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound92
57.3%
92
42.7%
Q4 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot92
54.6%
92
45.4%
Q4 - 5:51HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound92
48.4%
92
51.6%
Q4 - 5:54TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses two point driving finger roll layup92
51.1%
92
48.9%
Q4 - 6:01TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards offensive rebound92
57.7%
92
42.3%
Q4 - 6:05TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point bank jump shot92
52.0%
92
48.0%
Q4 - 6:10TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound92
57.7%
92
42.3%
Q4 - 6:12HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot92
55.2%
92
44.8%
Q4 - 6:39TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Naz Reid assists)92
49.4%
92
50.6%
Q4 - 6:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot89
36.7%
92
63.3%
Q4 - 7:12TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving layup (Julius Randle assists)89
43.8%
90
56.2%
Q4 - 7:23HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)87
39.1%
90
60.9%
Q4 - 7:23TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound87
39.1%
90
60.9%
Q4 - 7:25HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving finger roll layup87
36.7%
90
63.3%
Q4 - 7:38TimberwolvesNaz Reid turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)87
31.7%
90
68.3%
Q4 - 7:52TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound87
39.0%
90
61.0%
Q4 - 7:54HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 187
37.9%
90
62.1%
Q4 - 7:54TimberwolvesJaylen Clark shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
33.6%
90
66.4%
Q4 - 8:00HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound87
43.7%
88
56.3%
Q4 - 8:03HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot87
49.7%
88
50.3%
Q4 - 8:23TimberwolvesJaylen Clark makes two point layup (Jaden McDaniels assists)87
45.0%
88
55.0%
Q4 - 8:34HeatKyle Anderson makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)85
39.8%
88
60.2%
Q4 - 8:42HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound85
45.0%
86
55.0%
Q4 - 8:46TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot85
47.0%
86
53.0%
Q4 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)85
52.2%
86
47.8%
Q4 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)85
45.6%
86
54.4%
Q4 - 9:18TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point driving floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)85
45.6%
86
54.4%
Q4 - 9:33TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound83
40.8%
86
59.2%
Q4 - 9:35HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot83
38.9%
86
61.1%
Q4 - 9:52TimberwolvesNaz Reid personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
34.6%
86
65.4%
Q4 - 10:01TimberwolvesJaylen Clark personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)83
36.1%
86
63.9%
Q4 - 10:04TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
36.1%
86
63.9%
Q4 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
36.0%
86
64.0%
Q4 - 10:15TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses two point driving floating jump shot83
37.7%
86
62.3%
Q4 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 283
41.7%
86
58.3%
Q4 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 283
42.2%
85
57.8%
Q4 - 10:34TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)83
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 10:56TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point stepback jump shot (Mike Conley assists)83
41.0%
85
59.0%
Q4 - 11:13HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)80
32.6%
85
67.4%
Q4 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
42.0%
82
58.0%
Q4 - 11:33TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot80
43.5%
82
56.5%
Q4 - 11:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)80
47.2%
82
52.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q3 - 0:11.9HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 0:15.1TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot80
54.2%
80
45.8%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)80
57.5%
80
42.5%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 0:44.4TimberwolvesTerrence Shannon Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 0:46.4TimberwolvesTerrence Shannon Jr. turnover (lost ball)80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 0:49.3TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound80
57.5%
80
42.5%
Q3 - 0:52.4HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot80
56.1%
80
43.9%
Q3 - 1:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q3 - 1:06TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point running jump shot80
54.4%
80
45.6%
Q3 - 1:10TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound80
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q3 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup80
56.2%
80
43.8%
Q3 - 1:40TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)80
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q3 - 2:04HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running dunk77
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q3 - 2:06TimberwolvesJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)77
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q3 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)77
53.4%
78
46.6%
Q3 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
57.3%
76
42.7%
Q3 - 2:37TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses two point turnaround jump shot77
58.7%
76
41.3%
Q3 - 2:48HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)77
61.9%
76
38.1%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
65.6%
74
34.4%
Q3 - 2:55TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point fadeaway jump shot77
66.8%
74
33.2%
Q3 - 3:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running alley-oop layup (Davion Mitchell assists)77
69.5%
74
30.5%
Q3 - 3:23HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound77
72.3%
72
27.7%
Q3 - 3:26TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot77
73.5%
72
26.5%
Q3 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)77
76.1%
72
23.9%
Q3 - 4:00TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 277
78.5%
70
21.5%
Q3 - 4:00TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 276
77.9%
70
22.1%
Q3 - 4:00HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)76
80.0%
70
20.0%
Q3 - 4:05HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)76
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 4:12TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound76
78.3%
70
21.7%
Q3 - 4:12HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup76
77.4%
70
22.6%
Q3 - 4:29TimberwolvesTerrence Shannon Jr. makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)76
75.2%
70
24.8%
Q3 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)73
69.1%
70
30.9%
Q3 - 4:44TimberwolvesJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)73
72.1%
68
27.9%
Q3 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot73
75.5%
68
24.5%
Q3 - 4:56TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)73
80.7%
65
19.3%
Q3 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)73
82.5%
65
17.5%
Q3 - 5:32TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)73
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 5:42TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound70
82.6%
62
17.4%
Q3 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot70
81.8%
62
18.2%
Q3 - 5:50HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound70
80.1%
62
19.9%
Q3 - 5:54HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot70
81.8%
62
18.2%
Q3 - 6:00TimberwolvesJulius Randle turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)70
80.1%
62
19.9%
Q3 - 6:15TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound70
82.1%
62
17.9%
Q3 - 6:15HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot70
81.3%
62
18.7%
Q3 - 6:41TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)70
79.5%
62
20.5%
Q3 - 7:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 268
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q3 - 7:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 268
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 7:01TimberwolvesNaz Reid shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
77.6%
60
22.4%
Q3 - 7:17TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running layup (Jaden McDaniels assists)68
78.7%
60
21.3%
Q3 - 7:17TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound66
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot66
75.7%
60
24.3%
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
73.6%
60
26.4%
Q3 - 7:32TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot66
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)66
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 7:59TimberwolvesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)66
78.8%
58
21.2%
Q3 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)63
73.7%
58
26.3%
Q3 - 8:30TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)63
78.2%
55
21.8%
Q3 - 8:38TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound60
73.7%
55
26.3%
Q3 - 8:40HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot60
72.7%
55
27.3%
Q3 - 8:58TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)60
70.4%
55
29.6%
Q3 - 9:14HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)58
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 9:19TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound58
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot58
66.9%
55
33.1%
Q3 - 9:45TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point finger roll layup58
64.3%
55
35.7%
Q3 - 9:58TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound56
61.8%
55
38.2%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
60.7%
55
39.3%
Q3 - 10:19TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point pullup jump shot56
58.0%
55
42.0%
Q3 - 10:24TimberwolvesMike Conley offensive rebound54
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q3 - 10:27TimberwolvesMike Conley misses two point driving floating jump shot54
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 10:52TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound54
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q3 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 254
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q3 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 254
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q3 - 10:52TimberwolvesJulius Randle shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q3 - 10:54HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound54
54.8%
54
45.2%
Q3 - 10:58TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point driving layup54
56.0%
54
44.0%
Q3 - 11:12HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup54
58.5%
54
41.5%
Q3 - 11:25TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes two point reverse layup54
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatKevin Love personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)52
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q3 - 11:41HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)52
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound52
55.9%
52
44.1%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot52
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q2 - 0:08.7TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
55.9%
52
44.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound52
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q2 - 0:29.7HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup52
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q2 - 0:35.2TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)52
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q2 - 0:46.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)50
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q2 - 0:56.2TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point cutting layup (Naz Reid assists)50
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q2 - 1:10HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)48
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q2 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound48
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q2 - 1:15TimberwolvesTyler Herro blocks Jaden McDaniels's two point driving layup48
60.1%
47
39.9%
Q2 - 1:20TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo offensive rebound48
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q2 - 1:24TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot48
60.1%
47
39.9%
Q2 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 148
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q2 - 1:45TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)48
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q2 - 1:59TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point cutting layup (Julius Randle assists)48
67.7%
44
32.3%
Q2 - 2:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q2 - 2:43TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup46
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q2 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 3:11TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
72.5%
40
27.5%
Q2 - 3:18TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound46
74.4%
40
25.6%
Q2 - 3:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot46
73.6%
40
26.4%
Q2 - 3:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 3:45TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot46
72.5%
40
27.5%
Q2 - 4:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)46
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 4:26TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)46
75.8%
38
24.2%
Q2 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
71.9%
38
28.1%
Q2 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 4:42TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses two point fadeaway jump shot43
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 4:53TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound43
71.9%
38
28.1%
Q2 - 4:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot43
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 5:05HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound43
69.2%
38
30.8%
Q2 - 5:12TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses three point jump shot43
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 5:26HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
72.0%
38
28.0%
Q2 - 5:31HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
75.7%
35
24.3%
Q2 - 5:35TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot43
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q2 - 5:38TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels offensive rebound43
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 5:43TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point running finger roll layup43
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Clark steals)43
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 5:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
75.7%
35
24.3%
Q2 - 6:02TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot43
76.2%
35
23.8%
Q2 - 6:19HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)43
77.8%
35
22.2%
Q2 - 6:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound43
80.9%
32
19.1%
Q2 - 6:30TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point jump shot43
81.5%
32
18.5%
Q2 - 6:50TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound43
82.8%
32
17.2%
Q2 - 6:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot43
82.2%
32
17.8%
Q2 - 7:13TimberwolvesMike Conley makes three point pullup jump shot43
80.6%
32
19.4%
Q2 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot40
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q2 - 7:33TimberwolvesJulius Randle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)40
80.6%
29
19.4%
Q2 - 7:42TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound40
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 7:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 8:08TimberwolvesJaylen Clark makes two point running finger roll layup40
80.2%
29
19.8%
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Clark steals)38
78.8%
29
21.2%
Q2 - 8:22TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)38
76.8%
29
23.2%
Q2 - 8:27TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound36
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 8:30HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup36
74.6%
29
25.4%
Q2 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
73.0%
29
27.0%
Q2 - 8:41TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot36
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 8:54TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound36
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 8:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot36
74.6%
29
25.4%
Q2 - 9:06TimberwolvesMike Conley turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)36
72.7%
29
27.3%
Q2 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)36
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 9:33TimberwolvesJaylen Clark personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)36
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:33HeatHeat offensive rebound36
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:33HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup36
77.8%
27
22.2%
Q2 - 9:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound36
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:40TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point jump shot36
77.1%
27
22.9%
Q2 - 9:54HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Mike Conley steals)36
78.3%
27
21.7%
Q2 - 10:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound36
76.4%
27
23.6%
Q2 - 10:09TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot36
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 10:14TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo offensive rebound36
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 10:17TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot36
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 10:24TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound36
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot36
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 10:55TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running dunk (Anthony Edwards assists)36
76.4%
27
23.6%
Q2 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)34
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
72.3%
27
27.7%
Q2 - 11:11TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot34
72.9%
27
27.1%
Q2 - 11:19HeatKyle Anderson personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)34
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 11:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot34
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 11:46TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 234
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q2 - 11:46TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 233
75.7%
25
24.3%
Q2 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)33
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound33
75.7%
25
24.3%
Q1 - 0:01.7TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point pullup jump shot33
74.5%
25
25.5%
Q1 - 0:02.9TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound33
75.7%
25
24.3%
Q1 - 0:03.8HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot33
75.2%
25
24.8%
Q1 - 0:28.2TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo makes three point running pullup jump shot (Julius Randle assists)33
74.0%
25
26.0%
Q1 - 0:32.3TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound30
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q1 - 0:34.7HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot30
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 230
68.2%
25
31.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 229
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)28
67.3%
25
32.7%
Q1 - 1:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)28
66.2%
25
33.8%
Q1 - 1:20TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving layup28
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q1 - 1:26TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound26
68.2%
22
31.8%
Q1 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot26
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 1:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
66.2%
22
33.8%
Q1 - 1:35TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving finger roll layup26
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q1 - 1:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Davion Mitchell assists)26
68.2%
22
31.8%
Q1 - 2:04HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound26
69.7%
20
30.3%
Q1 - 2:07TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo misses three point running jump shot26
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q1 - 2:12TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound26
71.9%
20
28.1%
Q1 - 2:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot26
71.2%
20
28.8%
Q1 - 2:37TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
69.8%
20
30.2%
Q1 - 2:49TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound26
71.9%
20
28.1%
Q1 - 2:53HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot26
71.3%
20
28.7%
Q1 - 3:12TimberwolvesTerrence Shannon Jr. makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)26
69.4%
20
30.6%
Q1 - 3:28TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound23
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot23
65.3%
20
34.7%
Q1 - 3:41TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)23
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 4:00HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)20
59.7%
20
40.3%
Q1 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
63.0%
17
37.0%
Q1 - 4:11TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point putback layup20
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 4:12TimberwolvesNaz Reid offensive rebound20
65.1%
17
34.9%
Q1 - 4:16TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot20
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 4:35TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound20
65.0%
17
35.0%
Q1 - 4:39HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot20
64.4%
17
35.6%
Q1 - 4:42HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound20
62.9%
17
37.1%
Q1 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot20
64.4%
17
35.6%
Q1 - 4:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound20
62.9%
17
37.1%
Q1 - 4:58HeatDonte DiVincenzo blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup20
64.3%
17
35.7%
Q1 - 5:18HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound20
62.9%
17
37.1%
Q1 - 5:21TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot20
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot20
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 6:01TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes two point running finger roll layup (Anthony Edwards assists)20
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q1 - 6:01TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound18
64.3%
15
35.7%
Q1 - 6:05HeatNaz Reid blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot18
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 6:16TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point stepback jump shot18
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 6:32HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)15
59.5%
15
40.5%
Q1 - 6:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound15
62.4%
12
37.6%
Q1 - 6:50TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses two point jump shot15
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 6:58TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound15
63.9%
12
36.1%
Q1 - 7:02HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot15
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 7:15TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Naz Reid assists)15
62.2%
12
37.8%
Q1 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)12
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 7:42HeatKevin Love offensive rebound12
60.6%
10
39.4%
Q1 - 7:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot12
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 7:43HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound12
60.6%
10
39.4%
Q1 - 7:47HeatMike Conley blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup12
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
60.6%
10
39.4%
Q1 - 8:09TimberwolvesJulius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot12
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 8:28TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound12
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 8:29HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot12
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 8:49TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes two point running layup12
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 8:55TimberwolvesMike Conley defensive rebound10
59.2%
10
40.8%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup10
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 9:09TimberwolvesMike Conley makes three point stepback jump shot10
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)7
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound7
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 9:39TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses three point pullup jump shot7
58.1%
7
41.9%
Q1 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
58.7%
7
41.3%
Q1 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 27
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 9:51TimberwolvesNaz Reid shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
59.1%
5
40.9%
Q1 - 9:56HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound7
59.4%
5
40.6%
Q1 - 10:00TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point running jump shot7
59.6%
5
40.4%
Q1 - 10:05HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Mike Conley steals)7
60.0%
5
40.0%
Q1 - 10:07HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound7
59.1%
5
40.9%
Q1 - 10:09HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup7
59.7%
5
40.3%
Q1 - 10:23TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point driving finger roll layup (Julius Randle assists)7
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)5
58.1%
5
41.9%
Q1 - 10:51TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)5
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 10:57TimberwolvesJulius Randle defensive rebound2
57.4%
3
42.6%
Q1 - 11:01HeatNaz Reid blocks Kevin Love's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 11:22TimberwolvesJulius Randle makes two point pullup jump shot2
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 11:44HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 10
56.7%
3
43.3%
Q1 - 11:44TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)0
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 12:00Naz Reid vs. Bam Adebayo (Kevin Love gains possession)0
56.8%
0
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.18 58.9%
MIA
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
18
25
72%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
MIN
4
11
36%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
18
27.0
45
40%
60%
MIA
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIN
8
14
57%
MIA
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Reid1558%7.5 / 13
M. Conley1583%7.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo1554%7.5 / 14
A. Edwards1354%6.5 / 12
J. McDaniels1354%6.5 / 12
J. Randle1354%6.5 / 12
N. Alexander-Walker1250%6.0 / 12
T. Shannon6150%3.0 / 2
J. Clark4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2960%14.5 / 24
T. Herro2252%11.0 / 21
D. Robinson1575%7.5 / 10
H. Highsmith964%4.5 / 7
D. Mitchell739%3.5 / 9
K. Love675%3.0 / 4
P. Larsson531%2.5 / 8
T. Rozier583%2.5 / 3
J. Jaquez450%2.0 / 4
K. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
81
+9
-13
90
MIA
86
+10
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.18 58.9%
MIA
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.7
112.4
MIN 112.8 +3.3
MIA 109.5
Pace
98.1
97.2
MIN 91.9
MIA 97.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.9
MIN 15.7
MIA 14.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
54.4%
MIN 60.5% +6.6%
MIA 53.9%
TO %
13.9%
12.8%
MIN 13.8%
MIA 8.8% +5.0%
ORB %
25.7%
22.3%
MIN 17.1% +0.8%
MIA 16.3%
FTrt
24.9
23.2
MIN 17.3 +4.9
MIA 12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
65.3%
MIN 70.0%
MIA 70.7% +0.7%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
MIN 6.4%
MIA 7.4% +1.0%
BLK %
9.5%
7.6%
MIN 10.9% +5.3%
MIA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
56.0%
MIN 58.9% +4.7%
MIA 54.2%
Rim FG%
64.8%
62.5%
MIN 72.0% +13.4%
MIA 58.6%
Mid FG%
39.5%
44.4%
MIN 36.4%
MIA 38.5% +2.1%
3P %
37.7%
36.7%
MIN 40.0%
MIA 41.2% +1.2%
FT %
78.9%
79.1%
MIN 57.1%
MIA 72.7% +15.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
29.6%
MIN 30.9%
MIA 32.6% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
22.3%
27.5%
MIN 13.6% +15.6%
MIA 29.2%
3P Att. %
45.5%
42.9%
MIN 55.6% +17.4%
MIA 38.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points106104
Rebounds4341
Assists2829
Steals67
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)9 (0)
Fouls1216
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (4)34 (0)
Field Goals40-8141-89
At-the-Rim FG18-2517-29
Midrange FG4-1110-26
2-Point FG22-3627-55
3-Point FG18-4514-34
Free Throws8-148-11
Fast Break Pts1511
2nd Chance Pts36
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers912
Bench Points3735
Biggest Lead115

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24
38.9
13
54%
13
6
0
0
2
1
1
12
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
#3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24
34.9
13
54%
6
4
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
#11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26
34.0
15
58%
4
3
0
2
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-7
43%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30
33.6
13
54%
10
9
0
0
5
1
1
9
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
#10 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 37
24.6
15
83%
2
2
2
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28
31.1
15
54%
6
4
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27
22.9
12
50%
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
#22 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23
11.6
4
100%
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25
8.4
6
150%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 20
#55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26
#8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22
#33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21
#14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25
#13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Injury Maintenance
#77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
59%
43
28
6
6
13
12
7
36
8-14
57%
22-36
61%
18-45
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.