Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Timberwolves	57%	107	106	112.8	94	91.9
	15	Heat	43%	105	104	109.5	95	97.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.9	13	54%	13	6	0	0	2	1	1	12	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	34.9	13	54%	6	4	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	34.0	15	58%	4	3	0	2	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	33.6	13	54%	10	9	0	0	5	1	1	9	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	24.6	15	83%	2	2	2	1	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	31.1	15	54%	6	4	1	1	1	0	2	4	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	22.9	12	50%	2	0	1	2	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	11.6	4	100%	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	8.4	6	150%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	59%	43	28	6	6	13	12	7	36	8-14	57%	22-36	61%	18-45	40%

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8 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.9	13	54%	13	6	0	0	2	1	1	12	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	34.9	13	54%	6	4	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	34.0	15	58%	4	3	0	2	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	33.6	13	54%	10	9	0	0	5	1	1	9	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	24.6	15	83%	2	2	2	1	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	31.1	15	54%	6	4	1	1	1	0	2	4	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	22.9	12	50%	2	0	1	2	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	11.6	4	100%	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	8.4	6	150%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	59%	43	28	6	6	13	12	7	36	8-14	57%	22-36	61%	18-45	40%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	43.1	29	60%	13	4	1	0	2	3	1	12	6-7	86%	10-16	63%	1-5	20%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	39.3	22	52%	6	7	2	2	2	1	0	6	0-1	0%	5-13	38%	4-8	50%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	38.2	7	39%	4	10	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	18.3	5	31%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	10.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	31.5	9	64%	5	4	1	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	27.8	15	75%	4	1	2	0	1	1	0	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	12.5	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	8.9	2	33%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	41	29	7	2	9	16	7	34	8-11	73%	27-55	49%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.18 58.9%

MIA

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

18

25

72%

MIA

17

29

59%

Midrange

MIN

4

11

36%

MIA

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18

27.0

45

40%

60%

MIA

14

21.0

34

41%

62%

Free Throws

MIN

8

14

57%

MIA

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Conley	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo	15	54%	7.5 / 14
A. Edwards	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. McDaniels	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Randle	13	54%	6.5 / 12
N. Alexander-Walker	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Shannon	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Clark	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	29	60%	14.5 / 24
T. Herro	22	52%	11.0 / 21
D. Robinson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
H. Highsmith	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Mitchell	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Love	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Larsson	5	31%	2.5 / 8
T. Rozier	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Jaquez	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Anderson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 21 112.4	MIN 112.8 +3.3 MIA 109.5
Pace	25 98.1 27 97.2	MIN 91.9 MIA 97.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 9 14.9	MIN 15.7 MIA 14.8 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 19 54.4%	MIN 60.5% +6.6% MIA 53.9%
TO %	19 13.9% 8 12.8%	MIN 13.8% MIA 8.8% −5.0%
ORB %	14 25.7% 27 22.3%	MIN 17.1% +0.8% MIA 16.3%
FTrt	11 24.9 24 23.2	MIN 17.3 +4.9 MIA 12.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 10 65.3%	MIN 70.0% MIA 70.7% +0.7%
STL %	16 8.1% 12 8.3%	MIN 6.4% MIA 7.4% +1.0%
BLK %	14 9.5% 30 7.6%	MIN 10.9% +5.3% MIA 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 19 56.0%	MIN 58.9% +4.7% MIA 54.2%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 22 62.5%	MIN 72.0% +13.4% MIA 58.6%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 12 44.4%	MIN 36.4% MIA 38.5% +2.1%
3P %	4 37.7% 11 36.7%	MIN 40.0% MIA 41.2% +1.2%
FT %	10 78.9% 8 79.1%	MIN 57.1% MIA 72.7% +15.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 25 29.6%	MIN 30.9% MIA 32.6% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 20 27.5%	MIN 13.6% −15.6% MIA 29.2%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 12 42.9%	MIN 55.6% +17.4% MIA 38.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MIA
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	106	104
Rebounds	43	41
Assists	28	29
Steals	6	7
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	12	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	34 (0)
Field Goals	40-81	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	17-29
Midrange FG	4-11	10-26
2-Point FG	22-36	27-55
3-Point FG	18-45	14-34
Free Throws	8-14	8-11
Fast Break Pts	15	11
2nd Chance Pts	3	6
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	9	12
Bench Points	37	35
Biggest Lead	11	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg