Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Spurs	41%	113	109	116.0	94	101.7
	18	Kings	59%	116	127	133.7	95	88.3

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-7

SAC

+19

-8

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.5%

SAC

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	34.0	10	38%	2	3	3	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.1	16	42%	4	8	1	0	2	1	0	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	0-6	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.4	9	64%	4	6	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	25.7	12	86%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	18.6	5	42%	4	1	2	1	0	3	3	1	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	26.4	25	74%	2	3	0	0	1	6	2	0	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	24.6	9	41%	8	2	0	0	1	3	3	5	1-4	25%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	23.1	11	69%	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	11.5	1	25%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	8.0	7	88%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	2.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	36	27	7	4	7	17	9	27	13-23	57%	24-45	53%	16-42	38%

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20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	34.0	10	38%	2	3	3	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.1	16	42%	4	8	1	0	2	1	0	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	0-6	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.4	9	64%	4	6	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	25.7	12	86%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	18.6	5	42%	4	1	2	1	0	3	3	1	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	26.4	25	74%	2	3	0	0	1	6	2	0	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	24.6	9	41%	8	2	0	0	1	3	3	5	1-4	25%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	23.1	11	69%	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	11.5	1	25%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	8.0	7	88%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	2.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	36	27	7	4	7	17	9	27	13-23	57%	24-45	53%	16-42	38%

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18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	38.6	36	82%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	7-11	64%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	38.1	22	50%	9	7	0	0	3	3	2	7	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	34.9	19	68%	9	1	0	2	0	1	2	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	32.6	10	56%	3	4	4	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	27.1	15	83%	12	6	2	1	2	4	3	9	1-2	50%	7-8	88%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	26.7	6	30%	8	3	0	0	1	1	5	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	16.0	6	43%	3	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	14.4	8	67%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Skal Labissière #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 29	1.9	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	51	31	6	4	8	16	16	35	12-19	63%	32-58	55%	17-38	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.5%

SAC

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

71%

SAC

84%

Midrange

SAS

43%

SAC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

24.0

38%

57%

SAC

25.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

SAS

57%

SAC

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	25	74%	12.5 / 17
D. Fox	16	42%	8.0 / 19
H. Barnes	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Johnson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Vassell	10	38%	5.0 / 13
C. Paul	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Sochan	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Biyombo	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Wesley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. McLaughlin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Champagnie	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	36	82%	18.0 / 22
D. DeRozan	22	50%	11.0 / 22
K. Murray	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	15	83%	7.5 / 9
K. Ellis	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Carter	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. LaRavia	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Lyles	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Labissière	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 7 115.9	SAS 116.0 SAC 133.7 +17.7
Pace	13 100.1 19 98.9	SAS 101.7 +13.3 SAC 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 15 14.4	SAS 14.2 −2.1 SAC 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 15 54.8%	SAS 55.2% SAC 59.9% +4.7%
TO %	11 13.2% 6 12.6%	SAS 7.6% SAC 7.1% −0.5%
ORB %	20 24.3% 16 25.4%	SAS 20.5% SAC 37.2% +16.7%
FTrt	22 23.4 21 23.5	SAS 26.4 +6.6 SAC 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 22 61.5%	SAS 67.5% +4.2% SAC 63.3%
STL %	14 8.2% 23 7.6%	SAS 7.4% +1.1% SAC 6.3%
BLK %	5 10.5% 23 8.8%	SAS 6.9% SAC 8.9% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 15 56.8%	SAS 54.5% SAC 59.9% +5.4%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 2 67.6%	SAS 70.6% SAC 84.2% +13.6%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 4 46.0%	SAS 42.9% +1.9% SAC 41.0%
3P %	20 35.7% 19 35.7%	SAS 38.1% SAC 44.7% +6.6%
FT %	21 77.4% 4 80.6%	SAS 56.5% SAC 63.2% +6.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 28 26.8%	SAS 19.5% SAC 19.8% +0.3%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 29 34.1%	SAS 32.2% −8.4% SAC 40.6%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 23 39.1%	SAS 48.3% +8.7% SAC 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAS	SAC
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	109	127
Rebounds	36	51
Assists	27	31
Steals	7	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	35 (6)
Field Goals	40-87	49-96
At-the-Rim FG	12-17	16-19
Midrange FG	12-28	16-39
2-Point FG	24-45	32-58
3-Point FG	16-42	17-38
Free Throws	13-23	12-19
Fast Break Pts	9	9
2nd Chance Pts	16	30
Points in Paint	36	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	57	25
Biggest Lead	8	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg