Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Wizards	43%	110	118	116.8	101	100.7
	25	Raptors	57%	113	117	114.7	102	102.2

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+27

-15

113

TOR

+25

-15

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.2%

TOR

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	35.6	18	53%	10	4	4	0	4	2	8	2	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	31.4	34	81%	2	5	3	1	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	7-12	58%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.0	5	42%	6	3	0	3	2	4	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	28.1	10	29%	14	3	0	1	3	2	3	11	0-2	0%	5-13	38%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.3	12	55%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	27.4	12	67%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	20.6	8	44%	2	3	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	19.9	10	45%	11	4	2	1	0	2	7	4	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	17.5	9	45%	1	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	INACTIVE
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	52%	50	29	12	7	15	18	22	28	17-23	74%	31-62	50%	13-38	34%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	35.6	18	53%	10	4	4	0	4	2	8	2	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	31.4	34	81%	2	5	3	1	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	7-12	58%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.0	5	42%	6	3	0	3	2	4	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	28.1	10	29%	14	3	0	1	3	2	3	11	0-2	0%	5-13	38%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.3	12	55%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	27.4	12	67%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	20.6	8	44%	2	3	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	19.9	10	45%	11	4	2	1	0	2	7	4	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	17.5	9	45%	1	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	INACTIVE
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	52%	50	29	12	7	15	18	22	28	17-23	74%	31-62	50%	13-38	34%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	32.0	7	29%	3	2	1	0	0	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	28.7	11	46%	5	9	1	0	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	27.8	23	61%	9	3	1	1	5	1	2	7	5-5	100%	3-12	25%	4-5	80%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.2	18	43%	2	4	4	0	2	0	0	2	9-10	90%	3-13	23%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	24.2	21	75%	5	5	2	0	2	4	2	3	3-3	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-

Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	28.9	13	59%	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	2	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	25.9	6	50%	6	0	0	2	0	2	4	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	24.1	7	50%	7	1	2	2	1	3	3	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	21.2	11	79%	8	0	0	0	1	1	4	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	DND – Rest
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	52%	49	24	11	6	15	17	22	27	27-30	90%	30-69	43%	10-26	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.2%

TOR

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

55%

TOR

57%

Midrange

WAS

33%

TOR

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

34%

51%

TOR

15.0

38%

58%

Free Throws

WAS

74%

TOR

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	34	81%	17.0 / 21
B. Coulibaly	18	53%	9.0 / 17
K. Middleton	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Kispert	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Sarr	10	29%	5.0 / 17
R. Holmes	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Smart	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Carrington	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. George	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	23	61%	11.5 / 19
J. Poeltl	21	75%	10.5 / 14
S. Barnes	18	43%	9.0 / 21
J. Rhoden	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Shead	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Battle	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Lawson	7	29%	3.5 / 12
O. Robinson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Castleton	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 26 109.5	WAS 116.8 +2.1 TOR 114.7
Pace	4 101.8 9 100.6	WAS 100.7 TOR 102.2 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 27 13.8	WAS 14.3 TOR 14.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 24 52.2%	WAS 50.5% +3.1% TOR 47.4%
TO %	27 14.6% 26 14.5%	WAS 12.7% TOR 12.2% −0.5%
ORB %	25 22.7% 4 27.3%	WAS 44.9% +0.9% TOR 44.0%
FTrt	26 22.9 25 23.2	WAS 23.0 TOR 31.6 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 2 68.5%	WAS 65.9% +5.9% TOR 60.0%
STL %	25 7.4% 18 8.0%	WAS 11.9% +1.1% TOR 10.8%
BLK %	12 9.6% 27 8.4%	WAS 10.1% +0.4% TOR 9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 25 53.8%	WAS 52.2% TOR 52.2%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 28 60.2%	WAS 55.3% TOR 56.8% +1.5%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 21 41.5%	WAS 33.3% +13.3% TOR 20.0%
3P %	29 33.5% 23 34.8%	WAS 34.2% TOR 38.5% +4.3%
FT %	16 77.8% 29 74.8%	WAS 73.9% TOR 90.0% +16.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 3 36.2%	WAS 47.0% +0.7% TOR 46.3%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 17 26.5%	WAS 15.0% −11.3% TOR 26.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 29 37.3%	WAS 38.0% +10.6% TOR 27.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	118	117
Rebounds	50	49
Assists	29	24
Steals	12	11
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (5)	22 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	27 (5)
Field Goals	44-100	40-95
At-the-Rim FG	26-47	25-44
Midrange FG	5-15	5-25
2-Point FG	31-62	30-69
3-Point FG	13-38	10-26
Free Throws	17-23	27-30
Fast Break Pts	21	22
2nd Chance Pts	21	35
Points in Paint	56	60
Pts off Turnovers	16	22
Bench Points	39	37
Biggest Lead	13	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg