Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Cavaliers	71%	120	112	112.0	100	106.0
	17	Bucks	29%	111	100	101.0	99	94.8

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+15

-15

100

MIL

+19

-18

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.12 56.0%

MIL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.4	11	79%	6	3	3	1	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	29.9	15	42%	5	6	1	0	4	0	1	4	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	28.6	13	43%	5	5	0	0	3	2	1	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	28.3	13	59%	7	2	3	1	3	1	2	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	22.3	17	77%	9	2	1	0	2	2	4	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	19.9	9	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	18.7	6	43%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	18.4	9	45%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	16.1	5	83%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	15.2	9	150%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	3.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	3.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	44	25	11	2	15	15	13	31	15-19	79%	20-41	49%	19-47	40%

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2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.4	11	79%	6	3	3	1	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	29.9	15	42%	5	6	1	0	4	0	1	4	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	28.6	13	43%	5	5	0	0	3	2	1	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	28.3	13	59%	7	2	3	1	3	1	2	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	22.3	17	77%	9	2	1	0	2	2	4	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	19.9	9	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	18.7	6	43%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	18.4	9	45%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	16.1	5	83%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	15.2	9	150%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	3.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	3.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	44	25	11	2	15	15	13	31	15-19	79%	20-41	49%	19-47	40%

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17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	34.8	22	52%	5	4	2	0	2	2	1	4	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	1-7	14%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	33.7	30	54%	9	3	2	0	4	1	4	5	4-8	50%	13-24	54%	0-0	-
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	32.0	14	54%	6	1	1	0	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	30.0	7	58%	9	0	0	2	3	4	4	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	29.8	6	43%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	19.9	5	25%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	19.6	2	33%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	18.0	0	0%	10	3	1	0	0	0	4	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	10.2	2	33%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	3.0	10	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.0	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	3.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	INACTIVE
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	50	17	9	2	18	15	15	35	13-18	72%	30-60	50%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.12 56.0%

MIL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

67%

MIL

57%

Midrange

CLE

24%

MIL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

28.5

40%

61%

MIL

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

CLE

79%

MIL

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Strus	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Mitchell	15	42%	7.5 / 18
D. Garland	13	43%	6.5 / 15
E. Mobley	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Allen	11	79%	5.5 / 7
S. Merrill	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Jerome	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Wade	9	150%	4.5 / 3
D. Hunter	6	43%	3.0 / 7
I. Okoro	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Thompson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	54%	15.0 / 28
D. Lillard	22	52%	11.0 / 21
K. Kuzma	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Rollins	10	100%	5.0 / 5
B. Lopez	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Prince	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Trent	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Porter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Livingston	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Sims	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 120.9 10 115.2	CLE 112.0 +11.0 MIL 101.0
Pace	10 100.4 14 99.9	CLE 106.0 +11.2 MIL 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 14 14.6	CLE 13.6 −1.6 MIL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 3 56.8%	CLE 55.1% +7.3% MIL 47.8%
TO %	5 12.4% 7 12.7%	CLE 13.5% −1.9% MIL 15.4%
ORB %	13 25.9% 30 19.3%	CLE 27.1% MIL 32.6% +5.5%
FTrt	18 24.1 3 26.8	CLE 21.6 +1.8 MIL 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 63.1% 23 60.7%	CLE 64.1% +20.5% MIL 43.6%
STL %	15 8.1% 27 7.3%	CLE 11.0% +1.9% MIL 9.1%
BLK %	28 7.9% 20 9.1%	CLE 3.3% MIL 4.9% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.2% 3 58.6%	CLE 56.0% +6.0% MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%	9 66.0% 5 66.9%	CLE 66.7% +10.0% MIL 56.7%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 13 44.1%	CLE 23.5% MIL 43.3% +19.8%
3P %	2 38.3% 1 38.7%	CLE 40.4% +11.4% MIL 29.0%
FT %	17 77.6% 28 75.0%	CLE 78.9% +6.7% MIL 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.6% 24 30.0%	CLE 27.3% MIL 33.0% +5.7%
Mid Att. %	9 23.7% 21 27.5%	CLE 19.3% −13.6% MIL 33.0%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 15 42.4%	CLE 53.4% +19.3% MIL 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MIL
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.1
Points	112	100
Rebounds	44	50
Assists	25	17
Steals	11	9
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	35 (1)
Field Goals	39-88	39-91
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	17-30
Midrange FG	4-17	13-30
2-Point FG	20-41	30-60
3-Point FG	19-47	9-31
Free Throws	15-19	13-18
Fast Break Pts	16	9
2nd Chance Pts	17	16
Points in Paint	36	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	14
Bench Points	43	21
Biggest Lead	19	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg