Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	76ers	28%	109	123	120.6	102	99.4
	20	Hawks	72%	117	132	129.4	102	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+10

-10

102

ATL

+18

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.21 60.3%

ATL

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	39.4	35	67%	7	5	3	1	4	2	1	6	2-2	100%	9-14	64%	5-11	45%
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 26	30.4	11	37%	5	5	0	0	2	0	1	4	1-3	33%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	27.0	7	50%	3	4	0	0	1	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	23.8	11	61%	3	6	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	20.4	6	43%	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	29.4	19	68%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-5	20%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	28.0	17	94%	3	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	23.9	12	100%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	17.7	5	42%	3	0	2	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	31	29	8	3	10	15	6	25	15-20	75%	30-49	61%	16-42	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	39.4	35	67%	7	5	3	1	4	2	1	6	2-2	100%	9-14	64%	5-11	45%
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 26	30.4	11	37%	5	5	0	0	2	0	1	4	1-3	33%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	27.0	7	50%	3	4	0	0	1	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	23.8	11	61%	3	6	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	20.4	6	43%	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	29.4	19	68%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-5	20%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	28.0	17	94%	3	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	23.9	12	100%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	17.7	5	42%	3	0	2	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	31	29	8	3	10	15	6	25	15-20	75%	30-49	61%	16-42	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.1	25	78%	6	9	2	0	4	3	1	5	4-5	80%	9-12	75%	1-2	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	31.3	22	69%	8	2	0	0	4	1	1	7	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	30.6	7	32%	2	6	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	29.9	15	83%	5	3	0	0	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	21.3	14	70%	7	2	1	2	0	0	3	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	32.8	19	73%	6	4	0	1	1	1	1	5	1-1	100%	9-11	82%	0-2	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	26.3	18	53%	4	3	0	0	2	3	1	3	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	18.1	4	40%	9	1	1	2	0	0	3	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	16.7	8	67%	1	4	0	1	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Middle Finger; Sprain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	63%	48	34	4	6	15	18	14	34	11-14	79%	38-61	62%	15-37	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.21 60.3%

ATL

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

67%

ATL

68%

Midrange

PHI

59%

ATL

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

24.0

38%

57%

ATL

22.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

PHI

75%

ATL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Grimes	35	67%	17.5 / 26
R. Council	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Dowtin	17	94%	8.5 / 9
A. Bona	12	100%	6.0 / 6
L. Walker IV	11	37%	5.5 / 15
J. Butler	11	61%	5.5 / 9
G. Yabusele	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Edwards	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Reese	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Daniels	25	78%	12.5 / 16
Z. Risacher	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Mann	19	73%	9.5 / 13
G. Niang	18	53%	9.0 / 17
O. Okongwu	15	83%	7.5 / 9
M. Gueye	14	70%	7.0 / 10
V. Krejčí	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Wallace	7	32%	3.5 / 11
C. Capela	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.9 17 113.7	PHI 120.6 ATL 129.4 +8.8
Pace	22 98.2 3 103.4	PHI 99.4 ATL 104.7 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 30 13.3	PHI 14.5 ATL 13.8 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.7% 17 54.6%	PHI 59.3% ATL 61.7% +2.4%
TO %	9 13.0% 23 14.1%	PHI 9.9% −2.7% ATL 12.6%
ORB %	22 23.4% 10 26.3%	PHI 15.0% ATL 35.9% +20.9%
FTrt	6 25.7 8 25.2	PHI 22.0 +7.7 ATL 14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.4% 5 68.3%	PHI 63.0% ATL 64.2% +1.2%
STL %	5 9.3% 4 9.4%	PHI 7.8% +3.9% ATL 3.9%
BLK %	19 9.1% 11 9.7%	PHI 4.9% ATL 12.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.8% 17 56.5%	PHI 60.3% ATL 62.9% +2.6%
Rim FG%	23 61.8% 20 62.9%	PHI 66.7% ATL 68.4% +1.7%
Mid FG%	19 42.0% 11 44.5%	PHI 58.8% ATL 59.5% +0.7%
3P %	27 34.1% 18 35.8%	PHI 38.1% ATL 40.5% +2.4%
FT %	15 78.0% 18 77.5%	PHI 75.0% ATL 78.6% +3.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.0% 6 34.1%	PHI 16.5% ATL 19.4% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	8 23.5% 10 24.8%	PHI 37.4% −5.5% ATL 42.9%
3P Att. %	14 42.5% 19 41.0%	PHI 46.2% +8.4% ATL 37.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	ATL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	123	132
Rebounds	31	48
Assists	29	34
Steals	8	4
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	34 (2)
Field Goals	46-91	53-98
At-the-Rim FG	10-15	13-19
Midrange FG	20-34	25-42
2-Point FG	30-49	38-61
3-Point FG	16-42	15-37
Free Throws	15-20	11-14
Fast Break Pts	22	29
2nd Chance Pts	13	15
Points in Paint	46	76
Pts off Turnovers	21	15
Bench Points	53	49
Biggest Lead	3	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg