Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Pacers	59%	120	103	95.4	108	114.0
	21	Bulls	41%	117	121	113.1	107	101.7

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+14

-9

113

CHI

+14

-18

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.91 45.6%

CHI

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	24.2	13	50%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.1	9	50%	5	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	23.1	15	54%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	22.9	5	28%	2	3	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	21.7	8	50%	3	3	3	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	20.3	10	56%	3	1	2	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	19.5	12	75%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	17.9	4	40%	8	0	3	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	14.1	6	50%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	14.1	5	31%	3	5	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	10.9	2	25%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	7.5	2	20%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	7.5	6	75%	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	46%	39	30	14	4	9	13	8	31	13-19	68%	30-61	49%	10-40	25%

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15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	24.2	13	50%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.1	9	50%	5	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	23.1	15	54%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	22.9	5	28%	2	3	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	21.7	8	50%	3	3	3	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	20.3	10	56%	3	1	2	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	19.5	12	75%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	17.9	4	40%	8	0	3	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	14.1	6	50%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	14.1	5	31%	3	5	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	10.9	2	25%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	7.5	2	20%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	7.5	6	75%	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	46%	39	30	14	4	9	13	8	31	13-19	68%	30-61	49%	10-40	25%

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21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	34.5	29	69%	7	4	0	0	3	2	1	6	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	3-6	50%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	33.7	8	33%	3	8	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 22	27.9	29	76%	10	4	0	1	3	1	0	10	5-5	100%	9-13	69%	2-5	40%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	24.2	8	44%	4	1	0	1	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Zach Collins #12 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	22.6	7	88%	9	6	1	1	2	1	2	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	34.3	13	43%	4	1	3	1	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-10	30%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	23.6	11	79%	11	1	0	0	2	2	2	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	17.4	9	75%	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	12.7	2	25%	3	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	2.9	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	56	30	4	6	18	19	10	46	11-14	79%	37-65	57%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.91 45.6%

CHI

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

59%

CHI

60%

Midrange

IND

38%

CHI

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

15.0

25%

38%

CHI

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

IND

68%

CHI

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	15	54%	7.5 / 14
P. Siakam	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Sheppard	12	75%	6.0 / 8
O. Toppin	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Nesmith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Nembhard	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Walker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. McConnell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Bradley	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Mathurin	5	28%	2.5 / 9
Q. Jackson	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Furphy	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Bryant	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Dennis	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Giddey	29	76%	14.5 / 19
K. Huerter	13	43%	6.5 / 15
N. Vučević	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Phillips	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Jones	8	33%	4.0 / 12
M. Buzelis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
Z. Collins	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Carter	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 20 113.2	IND 95.4 CHI 113.1 +17.7
Pace	6 100.9 2 103.7	IND 114.0 +12.3 CHI 101.7
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 29 13.3	IND 12.6 −1.5 CHI 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 13 55.3%	IND 44.6% CHI 56.1% +11.5%
TO %	3 12.0% 17 13.4%	IND 8.4% −6.3% CHI 14.7%
ORB %	29 21.3% 28 22.3%	IND 14.8% CHI 24.4% +9.6%
FTrt	17 24.1 29 21.4	IND 18.8 +4.5 CHI 14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 7 67.2%	IND 75.0% +13.8% CHI 61.2%
STL %	10 8.3% 29 7.2%	IND 13.0% +9.3% CHI 3.7%
BLK %	8 10.2% 26 8.5%	IND 6.2% CHI 9.8% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 13 57.0%	IND 45.6% CHI 58.7% +13.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 24 61.6%	IND 59.4% CHI 60.5% +1.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 3 46.2%	IND 37.9% CHI 50.0% +12.1%
3P %	9 36.8% 13 36.7%	IND 25.0% CHI 36.4% +11.4%
FT %	9 78.9% 3 80.9%	IND 68.4% CHI 78.6% +10.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 11 33.2%	IND 31.7% CHI 43.9% +12.2%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 2 21.1%	IND 28.7% CHI 22.4% −6.3%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 4 45.7%	IND 39.6% +5.9% CHI 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	CHI
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	103	121
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	30	30
Steals	14	4
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	13	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	46 (3)
Field Goals	40-101	49-98
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	26-43
Midrange FG	11-29	11-22
2-Point FG	30-61	37-65
3-Point FG	10-40	12-33
Free Throws	13-19	11-14
Fast Break Pts	17	17
2nd Chance Pts	19	13
Points in Paint	48	68
Pts off Turnovers	15	9
Bench Points	53	40
Biggest Lead	6	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg